The evidence of AI progress is forcing people to confront its rapid advancement. A significant number of respondents expressed uncertainty about the long-term value of AI progress. Most respondents thought good outcomes from superhuman AI are more likely than bad, with a significant portion giving at least a 5% chance of extremely bad outcomes such as human extinction. Similarly, a notable percentage of respondents gave at least a 10% chance of advanced AI leading to outcomes as bad as human extinction.

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