argument put forward by hans morvek, the reboticist and futurist. There's a more sophisticated version developed maybe ten years later by nick bostrum which he calls the simulation argument. Either we're probably in assimulation, or most civilizations will go extinct, or they won't create simulation. So i think he ended up maybe round 33%.
Philosopher David Chalmers reckons there’s a 25% chance that we are living in a simulation. And he’s OK with it.
David's new book is "Reality+: Virtual Worlds and the Problems of Philosophy."
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