The indications are that a recession is looming

1min Snip

00:00

Play full episode

Key takeaways

Transcript

Episode notes

Manufacturing is one of the first things to go into contraction territory because that's sensitive and that's already fallen into contraction territory.
Recession has always happened when LEI's have been negative for six to eight months, which we've seen now.
And we also have to worry about the debt ceiling.

Itay Vinik is the Co-Founder & Chief Investment Officer at Equi, an alternative investment platform that brings investment strategies to accredited investors.

Today, Itay returns to the pod to answer the question: can the Fed thread the needle between inflation and recession?

------ ✨ BECOME A BANKLESS CITIZEN ✨ https://www.bankless.com?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=ChannelLinks&utm_campaign=Website!

------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS:

⚖️ ARBITRUM | SCALING ETHEREUM https://bankless.cc/Arbitrum

🐙KRAKEN | MOST-TRUSTED CRYPTO EXCHANGE https://bankless.cc/kraken

🦄UNISWAP | ON-CHAIN MARKETPLACE https://bankless.cc/uniswap

👻 PHANTOM | FRIENDLY MULTICHAIN WALLET https://bankless.cc/phantom-waitlist

🦊METAMASK LEARN | HELPFUL WEB3 RESOURCE https://bankless.cc/MetaMask

------ Topics Covered

0:00 Intro 6:00 Itay Returns 8:00 Reflecting on 2022 12:04 Equi Portfolio 15:35 Threading the Needle 19:10 Destroying Wealth 26:45 Accelerating Chaos 29:10 Inflation and Monetary Supply 38:30 The Fed is Bleeding 43:30 Small Cap Stocks 46:00 Will the Fed Pivot? 55:14 Economic Recession 1:01:14 Recession Indicators 1:02:59 Hopium 1:06:24 The US Banking System 1:09:44 How to Analyze the Economy

------ Resources:

Itay Vinik https://twitter.com/VinikItay?s=20

Equi https://www.equi.com/

Links to our recent macro series https://youtu.be/pP_HHE0kFhA https://youtu.be/E8lxrsF29u0 https://youtu.be/-DzY_pCFGbI. https://youtube.com/live/eregdZPLYjg. https://youtu.be/5sNCrPAwt6w

----- Not financial or tax advice. This channel is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. This video is not tax advice. Talk to your accountant. Do your own research.

Disclosure. From time-to-time I may add links in this newsletter to products I use. I may receive commission if you make a purchase through one of these links. Additionally, the Bankless writers hold crypto assets. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures