3min snip

Scraping Bits cover image

#109 - Noah Silverman: Complex System Statistical Modeling, Decisions Under Uncertainty, Probabilities Of Probabilities

Scraping Bits

NOTE

Understand Uncertainty in Stochastic Systems

Most individuals do not effectively utilize their vocabulary, which reflects a broader problem with understanding complex dynamic systems. The concept of martingales, often misconstrued as a guaranteed winning strategy in gambling, emphasizes the inherent flaws in relying on theoretical constructs without acknowledging practical limitations such as table betting limits, leading to financial loss rather than profit. Stochastic systems represent variable outcomes, allowing for modeling and probability analysis within a controlled range of possibilities. Exploring these probabilities aids in comprehending the random nature of outcomes and is essential for learning and adapting within unpredictable environments.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode