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We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network cover image

TIP597: Darwin's Investing Lessons w/ Kyle Grieve

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

NOTE

Investing Based on Historical Analysis

Investing based on historical analysis allows for a deeper understanding of a business's trajectory, without relying on faith for future success. However, this approach has downsides, as there is no guarantee that a historically successful or unsuccessful business will continue on the same path. PULAC emphasizes the fallibility of forecasting, noting that analysts, economists, management, and portfolio managers are often wrong. Instead of predicting the future, PULAC advocates for focusing on historical analysis, particularly absolute and relative, to understand the reasons behind a business's performance.

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