Forward Guidance cover image

“Accident Brewing” | Neil Dutta on Rising Slowdown Risks And Why He Thinks The Fed Will Cut Sooner Rather Than Later

Forward Guidance

NOTE

Analyzing Labor Market Data and Economic Indicators

Examining a broad range of data points related to the labor market reveals two key aspects: the level of activity (e.g., unemployment rate, wage growth) and momentum indicators (e.g., employment growth rate). The labor market momentum appears to be weakening, evident from indicators like initial jobless claims increasing and hiring rates declining. Furthermore, the analysis suggests that if economic growth slows, there is a risk of further rises in the unemployment rate, prompting potential preemptive policy adjustments by the Federal Reserve. Survey data, like the ISM and PMI, indicates a slowdown in the economy, although not a drastic decline.

00:00
Transcript
Play full episode

Remember Everything You Learn from Podcasts

Save insights instantly, chat with episodes, and build lasting knowledge - all powered by AI.
App store bannerPlay store banner