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Are Flukes Actually the Norm?
Inquiring Minds
Embracing Chaos Theory in Decision-Making
The world oscillates between order and disorder, contingency and convergence, akin to evolution. Chaos theory emphasizes that small changes can lead to significant outcomes, making future predictions impossible. Yet, despite radical uncertainty, decisions must be made. The key lies in discerning problems where data can guide decisions in predictable, closed systems from those with radical uncertainty. In situations like Barack Obama authorizing the raid on Osama bin Laden, where no information can offer guidance, decisions still need to be made amidst the unknown and unpredictable.
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