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S7 E9: At the Tipping Point

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Limits to Growth - Standard Run

  • In the 'Standard Run' scenario, the MIT team modeled what would happen if industrial and population growth continued at the rate of the early 1970s.
  • Initially, the global economy and pollution grow rapidly.
  • By 2020, the planet's condition becomes critical due to rising consumption and pollution, affecting food supplies and human health.
  • Around 2040-2050, the model predicts a collapse of the industrial system, not necessarily the Earth's systems, due to exceeding planetary limits.
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