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What Really Goes Into the Fed's Favorite Measure of Inflation?

Odd Lots

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Fed switch from focus on CPI to PCE

The Federal Reserve historically focused on CPI for tracking inflationary pressures until around the year 2000 when the attention switched to PCE. Unlike CPI, PCE adjusts dynamically to reflect changes in what consumers are spending on, providing a more accurate representation. Although the Fed did not explicitly state a target for PCE, it was assumed to be around one to two percent. Notably, CPI tends to show slightly higher readings than PCE, leading to inherent differences in interpreting a two percent target between the two measures.

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