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Forward Guidance cover image

Powell’s Last Stand | Danielle DiMartino Booth on May Fed Meeting 2024

Forward Guidance

NOTE

Having Conviction in Views

Having conviction in views and backing it with analysis is crucial even when others may doubt your perspective. The speaker highlights instances where their predictions were initially dismissed but later proved correct based on their strong convictions. They emphasize the importance of having a clear view and making a case rather than just presenting data points. The discussion focuses on the prediction of the inversion of two's tens bonds, highlighting the need to sustain one's beliefs until they are validated by concrete indicators like the unemployment rate reaching a specific threshold.

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