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Megan McArdle on the Oedipus Trap

EconTalk

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Question the Consensus

Scientific consensus should guide decisions, but scrutiny is essential, especially in high-stakes scenarios. Not all scientists are objective; personal stakes, such as reputation, can impact their integrity and willingness to embrace dissenting views. A Bayesian approach recognizes that while the consensus is usually more reliable, individuals are encouraged to critically assess motivations behind scientific conclusions and their implications.

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