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CIO Weekly Investment Outlook cover image

China and Japan: on different paths

CIO Weekly Investment Outlook

NOTE

Monitor Data to Navigate Economic Policy

Economists and central banks must closely monitor economic data, particularly regarding wage growth, as it can significantly influence policy decisions. For the Bank of Japan, indications of faster wage growth could validate expectations for a rate hike, whereas disappointing data may necessitate a reassessment. Similarly, the Reserve Bank of Australia has moderated its previous concerns about inflation overshooting, leading to a consensus that rates are likely to remain unchanged at 4.35%. India’s central bank is also expected to hold its rate at 6.5%, but may adopt a more neutral monetary stance. In China, upcoming data releases are crucial, especially following signals of economic weakness, which contrast with government messaging from recent political meetings.

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