
Episode 022: Deciding, Fast and Slow with Dr. Daniel Kahneman
The Decision Education Podcast
Evaluate Investments: Promise Over Probability
When considering an investment, it is more effective to assess its promise on a scale from one to seven rather than judging its likelihood of success. This approach simplifies decision-making, as people find it easier to evaluate intensity rather than probability. Explicitly determining the likelihood of success is important for investment decisions, yet individuals often hesitate to articulate these probabilities.
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