4min snip

Venture Unlocked: The playbook for venture capital managers cover image

Brad Gerstner talks AI, Tech Super cycles vs. Market cycles, and the start of Altimeter as a $3MM fund

Venture Unlocked: The playbook for venture capital managers

NOTE

Market conditions, hedges, and the cyclical nature of the venture business

The venture capital market experienced a period of high valuations and excess capital deployment in 2021, leading to concerns about a market dislocation. Recognizing the likelihood of a market correction, Altimeter implemented hedges on the public side and reduced market exposure by Q3 of 2021. The venture business was seen as cyclical and subject to economic laws of gravity, leading to a focus on finding the right entry pricing at the bottom of the cycle. Looking ahead to Q3 of 2023, it is believed that the pricing cycle is at the bottom third and that a new super cycle in AI is emerging, reminiscent of periods from 2002 to 2005 or 2010 to 2013.

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