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Brian Klaas | How To Think About An Unlimited Future Of Possibilities - Flukes, Chance, Randomness & Nassim Taleb
Curious Worldview Podcast
Using Outcomes to Influence Public Opinion and Policy Decisions
In modern politics, people care about outcomes and are swayed by evidence that things work. The decline in public services can lead to the loss of support from conservative voters. There is a large group of persuadable people motivated by outcomes, and an experimental approach to public policy could lead them in the right direction. However, the ethical concerns and potential harms of experimentation need to be minimized. Natural experiments and randomized control trials can provide evidence for policy decisions. Agreeing on metrics and finding common ground on contentious issues like abortion is challenging, but reducing child poverty is a more widely accepted goal. There is also an insight into the phenomenon of how an immovable minority can outweigh a flexible majority in politics.
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