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A Soft Landing Is Unrealistic | Andy Constan
On The Margin
Navigating Economic Landscapes: Higher for Longer and the Recession Scenario
The economic outlook suggests a prolonged period of higher interest rates as the Fed navigates complex pressures. A return to a 'recession island' scenario is possible, where economic growth contracts, leading to job losses and rising unemployment, typically accompanied by decreasing inflation. Despite the adverse conditions, there exists an ideal scenario symbolized as 'Nirvana' where the economy achieves both target inflation and growth. However, achieving this optimal outcome appears unlikely given the current economic challenges.
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