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Michael Pettis: China's Economic Growth Model Is Dying

Forward Guidance

NOTE

Learning from History of Lending to Developing Countries

Historically, major economies such as the US, the Soviet Union, and Japan have made similar mistakes to China when lending heavily to developing countries. China's approach to lending to countries like Ecuador, Venezuela, and Argentina in a rapid manner mirrors historical trends. The preference to invest excess savings in advanced countries rather than developing ones is due to the perceived safety associated with the former.

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