"The Riff" with Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg cover image

E10: Prediction markets are a trillion dollar opportunity. Why aren’t they working yet?

"The Riff" with Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg

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The Challenge of Implementing Innovative Ideas

Innovative ideas that could create significant value often face resistance when they require changing established practices. This is especially true in the case of prediction markets, which could potentially generate a trillion-dollar opportunity by optimizing human capital allocations. However, the need for even slight adjustments to existing processes is met with resistance from interest groups and individuals who are content with the status quo. These stakeholders resist changes that may alter their control over the hiring process or add new metrics to their decision-making, leading to significant barriers in implementing valuable but disruptive innovations.

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