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Credit Creation Defies Rate Logic
The current cycle demonstrates that traditional relationships between interest rates and private sector credit creation have been altered. Rather than being influenced by individual borrowing decisions in response to rate changes, the surge in credit is largely driven by fiscal policy and central bank actions. This suggests that despite interest rate increases potentially having a delayed negative impact, easing rates may not significantly stimulate private sector credit growth due to the prevailing influence of macroeconomic factors over personal financial behavior.