The Future of Warfare and the Defense Industry

The defense industry has become concentrated with five main contractors in an Oligopoly, leading to the inefficiency of defense spending by the US government. The current cost-plus procurement system allows these contractors to raise prices, and there is a lack of transparency in what the money is being used for. To enhance defense effectiveness, disruption in the industry by innovative startups is necessary. Drones are seen as the future of warfare, shifting towards autonomous systems that can operate independently, target and make decisions on their own. The evolution towards autonomous drones is crucial to circumvent disruption by electronic warfare and ensure success in future battles, where humans play a diminishing role and technology becomes central, turning wars into resource and technology conflicts.