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The Science of Achievement, With Adam Grant
Plain English with Derek Thompson
The Importance of Context in Quarterback Performance
The advantage of earlier drafted quarterbacks is more about opportunity than ability. This aligns with the theme of hidden potential. Research by Danny Southwick, an ex-football player and doctoral candidate, revealed that the match between the quarterback and the system has a greater impact on performance than individual ability. Context accounts for about two-thirds of the variance in quarterback performance. This explains how a bad quarterback can thrive in a different team, often observed in the NFL. It's the Kurt Warner effect.
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