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#129 Marc Andreessen: Interview with an Icon

The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish

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Embracing Probabilistic Thinking in Real Life

In real life, success is not about achieving perfection but about embracing probabilistic thinking. Unlike the education system that expects perfection in every test, real-life endeavors, such as starting businesses, writing books, composing music, playing sports, or engaging in any activity, exist in a probabilistic domain. In this domain, the focus is not on scoring 100%, but rather achieving around 60% in world-class performance. Examining the records of basketball legends like Kobe Bryant and LeBron reveals that even the best players miss numerous baskets, demonstrating that success in real life is not about perfection, but about understanding and navigating the probabilistic nature of the world.

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