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1008: Brian Klaas | Embracing Uncertainty in a World of Flukes
The Jordan Harbinger Show
Chaos Theory and Weather Forecasting
The discovery of chaos theory resulted from a computer printout error where the numbers were truncated after three decimal places, causing drastic variations in future weather predictions even with a tiny discrepancy. This incident highlights the complexity and sensitivity of weather systems and other complex systems, leading to the understanding that even small inaccuracies can lead to significant deviations in outcomes. Despite advancements in supercomputers, the intricate nature of these systems makes accurate long-term weather forecasting challenging and perhaps impossible, as they are highly sensitive to minuscule fluctuations, mirroring the unpredictability of complex societal and life systems.
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