Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy cover image

A Conversation with Charlie Munger & John Collison - [Invest Like the Best, EP.355]

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy

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Investing Difficulty and Historical Returns

  • Investing has become significantly harder due to increased wealth, more investment options, larger sums to manage, and increased competition.
  • The historical returns of 8-10% per annum, adjusted for inflation, were achieved because the Great Depression had demoralized investors and the economic system improved.
  • Returns of 2.5% were the norm in England at the beginning of the 20th century for safe investments, highlighting how unusual the last 100 years were.
  • The past performance should not be extrapolated to predict future returns because the conditions that enabled those returns are unlikely to persist.
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