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#50 Ta(l)king Risks & Embracing Uncertainty, with David Spiegelhalter

Learning Bayesian Statistics

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Embrace Uncertainty: Recognize Individuality Over Probabilities

Engaging with the concepts of probability and risk often leads to speculative discussions that lack definitive answers, similar to philosophical musings about fate or divine will. The focus should be on recognizing the uniqueness of individuals rather than reducing complex human experiences to deterministic probabilities. In creating software for the public, it is essential to convey these philosophical ideas in practical terms, acknowledging that while we can identify commonalities among groups, each person's outcome remains uncertain. Avoid terminology like chance and probability, which can mislead; instead, emphasize the unique characteristics and expectations when dealing with people, reinforcing that their experiences cannot be precisely predicted.

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