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Forward Guidance cover image

Portrait Of A Sick Market | Milton Berg On How The Stock Market’s Exhaustive Rally Is Reminiscent of 2000, 1968, and 1929

Forward Guidance

NOTE

Fed Policy and Market Peaks

Historically, bull markets tend to peak after the Federal Reserve implements two successive negative changes in policy, which is typically defined as the Fed raising interest rates twice. The maximum instances before a market peak occurred in 2007 when the Fed raised rates 17 times incrementally. This indicates that a significant number of Fed policy changes, particularly rate hikes, can precede a market peak.

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