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A Breakdown of CPI and Outlook for Rates

Bloomberg Surveillance

NOTE

Implications of Economic Data on Interest Rates

The recent economic data indicates a slowing disinflationary environment, making it difficult for the Fed Reserve to justify cutting interest rates. It is likely that the first full rate cut may be postponed to November, as cutting in July or September seems less probable. The market is expected to start pricing for a November cut, considering historical trends and the upcoming election.

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