Trump's Secret Agenda
The Macro Trading Floor
00:00
Avoid Reflexive Contrarianism
- Don't simply bet against the majority view, as trends can persist.
- Instead, analyze the current market equilibrium and supporting data points.
- Look for evidence of a potential narrative shift, such as policy changes or economic data trends.
- Assess if new information supports the trend or pushes against it.
- Be aware of positioning and unwinds' impact.
- Look for asymmetry: small fundamental changes can cause large rallies if many investors are short.
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