

The David Lin Report
The David Lin Report
Welcome to The David Lin Report! I’ll be reporting on the most impactful market-moving events, as well as interviewing experts in finance, economics, science, and technology.
Episodes
Mentioned books

Oct 14, 2024 • 27min
Why Oil Could 5X To $350, ‘Crater’ World Economy | Bjarne Schieldrop
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Bjarne Schieldrop, Chief Commodities Analyst at SEB, discusses the outlook for the energy sector, and a "worst-case" that could cause an oil market shock and send prices beyond $200 a barrel.
*This video was recorded on October 11, 2024
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
00:00 - $350 Oil “Worst-Case” Scenario
02:02 - Strait of Hormuz’s Strategic Importance
04:07 - Alternative Pipelines and Strategic Reserves
05:18 - Iran-Israel Conflict Scenarios and Oil Impact
07:21 - Sponsor Message: Bitcoin IRA with iTrustCapital
08:03 - U.S. and China’s Role in Strait of Hormuz Crisis
09:18 - War's Influence on Oil Prices
11:25 - Impact of Retaliatory Strikes on Oil Refineries
12:59 - Global Oil Market's Ability to Adapt
15:17 - Geopolitical Risk Premium in Oil Prices
16:08 - Future Oil Supply and Demand Dynamics
18:01 - Emerging Markets’ Role in Oil Demand
19:17 - Long-Term Projections for Oil Prices
22:13 - OPEC's Strategy and Influence on Prices
24:44 - Finding the Long-Term Oil Price Balance
25:26 - The Economic Impact of High Oil Prices
26:08 - Conclusion and Guest’s Research Platform
#oil #investing #economy

Oct 13, 2024 • 46min
The Biggest 'Black Swan': How Will Israel Strike Iran? | Marko Papic
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Marko Papic, Chief Strategist of GeoMacro Strategy at BCA Research, discusses Israel's likely next retaliatory move against Iran, the economic ramifications of this attack, and the impact on the U.S. economy of the Presidential election outcome.
*This video was recorded on
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00:00 - Intro
03:20 - Why Israel Delays Retaliation
05:23 - U.S. Influence on Israel's Decisions
08:04 - Iran’s Military vs. Israel’s Limits
12:09 - Nuclear Threats: U.S. vs. Israel
15:52 - Iran’s Strategy with Arab Allies
17:47 - Strait of Hormuz and Oil Markets
20:14 - Putin’s Role and Russia’s Limits
22:38 - What If Israel Nukes Iran?
26:23 - Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions
29:10 - Trump vs. Harris on Foreign Policy
32:07 - Future U.S. Geopolitical Strategy
38:11 - Trump’s Tariff Strategy
42:42 - Market Risks if Trump Wins
44:05 - Outro and Conclusion
*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
#geopolitics #israel #economy

Oct 12, 2024 • 44min
China’s Economic Crisis And What It Means For The World | Shaun Rein
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Shaun Rein, Founder of the China Market Research Group, discusses the recent China stimulus package, whether China can recover from deflation and the worst property market collapse in its history, and the future of political tensions between China and the U.S.
*This video was recorded on October 10, 2024
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FOLLOW SHAUN REIN:
China Market Research Group: http://www.cmrconsulting.com.cn/
X (@shaunrein): https://x.com/shaunrein
"The Split: Finding the Opportunities in China's Economy in the New World Order": https://www.amazon.ca/Split-Finding-Opportunities-Chinas-Economy/dp/139981639X
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
0:00 - Intro
1:50 - “Nothing Going Right In China’s Economy”
5:52 - China’s stimulus explained
11:20 - Wealthy consumers
12:17 - Political tensions “wreaking havoc”
14:30 - Impact of tariffs
17:00 - Changing consumption trends
19:20 - Chinese investment in foreign markets
21:47 - Will China’s stimulus help real estate?
24:25 - China’s stock market outlook
29:44 - China’s stock market crash in 2014
31:45 - Is China turning into Japan?
35:00 - Future of U.S.-China relations
38:23 - Reunification of Taiwan
#china #economy #geopolitics

Oct 11, 2024 • 42min
Trader Called 2024 Bull Rally, Has This Year-End Market Prediction | Jason Shapiro
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Jason Shapiro, Founder of Crowded Market Report, discusses the current market momentum, and the most "crowded" trades at the moment.
Watch Jason's last interview with me: https://youtu.be/IJmCbP8EY98?si=cGo62CoFST1pp6Q7
Watch Jason's first interview with me in 2023: https://youtu.be/DcsuTuCZO88?si=gZYlIscA2W3Duddo
*This video was recorded on October 10, 2024
Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/
Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s
Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report
FOLLOW JASON SHAPIRO:
Crowded Market Report: https://www.crowdedmarketreport.com/
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For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com
*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
00:00 - Introduction and Market Sentiment
01:23 - China's Stimulus and Global Impact
03:39 - The Role of Central Banks in Stimulus
04:21 - Crypto IRA and Investment Strategy
05:07 - How China's Stimulus Affected Jason’s Trading
06:05 - The Ponzi Scheme of Stimulus
09:06 - Energy Prices and Inflation Predictions
10:35 - Geopolitical Tensions and Their Impact on Markets
11:29 - Why Jason Avoids Shorting at All-Time Highs
13:32 - Crowded Trades and Market Momentum
14:42 - Jason’s Take on Shorting the Russell Index
16:29 - Sector Performance and AI’s Role in Utilities
17:36 - Major Market Drop in August
19:35 - Jason’s Trading Strategy for Buying Dips
21:06 - Jason's Views on Gold
24:12 - Correlation Between Assets and Overcrowded Trades
25:12 - Bonds, Currency, and Metals
28:02 - Trading Tech Stocks Like Nvidia
30:58 - Economic Data and Trading Decisions
32:56 - Bullish Sentiment and Market Conditions
34:45 - Election Uncertainty and Market Impact
36:14 - Final Thoughts on Market Timing
38:42 - Where to Follow Jason Shapiro
#stocks #trading #economy

Oct 10, 2024 • 37min
Household Bankruptcies Surge: Why 20% Of Americans Are On Welfare | Danielle DiMartino Booth
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Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of QI Research, discusses the state of the economy, outlook for monetary policy, and major risks to the markets today.
Watch the last video with Danielle: https://youtu.be/sVgvMJ8t9T4?si=3FqHaO8wq1i_NPIj
*This video was recorded on October 9, 2024
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FOLLOW DANIELLE DIMARTINO BOOTH:
QI Research Substack - Use this link to receive a 20% discount: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/MEM24
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
0:00 - Intro
0:50 - Geopolitical risks
2:45 - Reaction to Fed’s 50 bps cut
5:20 - Labor market cooling
10:31 - Foreign workers
11:33 - Bankruptcy cycle
12:50 - Fed monetary policy outlook
14:40 - Welfare
17:30 - Widening deficit
20:35 - Banks’ unrealized losses
22:30 - Declining liquidity
26:00 - Soft vs. Hard landings
28:30 - Stocks vs. Yields
31:00 - Homes and natural disasters
32:10 - Major risks and asset allocation
35:47 - QI Research
#economy #investing #stocks

Oct 10, 2024 • 51min
Crises Will 'Deepen' As 'Fourth Turning' Hits, What Happens To Markets? | Darius Dale
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Darius Dale, Founder of 42 Macro, discusses what will happen to markets during a "Fourth Turning" and what investors can expect.
*This video was recorded on October 8, 2024
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FOLLOW DARIUS DALE:
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
00:00 - Intro & Market Overview
01:23 - Risk Factors for Markets
02:30 - U.S. Economic Resilience
03:50 - Liquidity & Fed’s Dovish Stance
05:00 - Trump vs. Harris: Impact on the Dollar
06:50 - Tariffs & Inflation: The Real Story
08:13 - Populism & Inflation Risks
10:00 - The Fourth Turning Explained
12:30 - Fiscal Support & Market Impact
16:00 - Medium-Term Bullish Outlook
18:20 - Geopolitical Conflicts & Market Response
23:50 - U.S. Liquidity Situation Deep Dive
29:30 - Bitcoin & Currency Debasement
38:30 - Bullish Sectors & S&P 500 Outlook
42:00 - Final Thoughts on the Fourth Turning
#economy #investing #stocks

Oct 9, 2024 • 45min
Global Money Supply Surging, Get Ready For Inflation's Massive Comeback | Tavi Costa
Tavi Costa, Portfolio Manager of Crescat Capital, discusses the return of higher global money supply and "entrenched inflation, and the outlook for markets, commodities, and interest rates.
*This video was recorded on October 8, 2024
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
0:00 - Intro
0:50 - Did the Fed make a mistake?
3:17 - Global money supply
10:00 - China stimulus and commodities
16:40 - Bullish assets
18:09 - Steepening yield curve
25:40 - Non-growth fiscal spending
31:40 - Gold vs. Copper
40:10 - Mining stocks
#inflation #economy #investing

Oct 8, 2024 • 29min
‘Oil War’ Looms: What Happens To Markets In Coming Storm? | John Feneck
John Feneck, CEO of Feneck Consulting, discusses a looming "oil war", the impact on stock markets of a higher oil price, inflationary pressures, and his outlook for commodities.
*This video was recorded on October 4, 2024
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
0:00 - Intro
0:30 - Oil war
3:14 - Stock market outlook
7:30 - Monetary policy outlook
9:07 - Commodities
11:53 - Silver
21:20 - China stimulus
21:17 - Most bullish commodity
24:30 - Mining stocks
28:00 - Feneck Consulting
#stocks #economy #investing

Oct 8, 2024 • 37min
Economist Reveals Trigger For 'World Depression' | Steve Hanke
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Steve Hanke, Professor of Applied Economics at Johns Hopkins University, discusses the labor market, oil spike, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, China's stimulus package, and U.S. Presidential election odds.
Watch Doomberg's $200 oil call: https://youtu.be/MgNqa9l4xh0?si=DfJlzGulYSA3z2q-
Watch Prof. Hanke's reaction to the Fed's 50 Bps cut in September: https://youtu.be/5OH76PBYxIs?si=AJ08eojKdEAXnyTP
*This video was recorded on October 7, 2024
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
0:00 - Intro
0:30 - Latest jobs report
6:23 - Wages and inflation
7:47 - Trump and labor market
10:50 - Immigration and economic impact
13:35 - Government jobs added
16:46 - Government spending as % of GDP
18:25 - China stimulus
23:00 - Oil and geopolitical tensions
27:15 - This would cause 'world depression'
28:55 - Presidential election odds
35:00 - Kamala Harris's economic plan
#economy #geopolitics #investing

Oct 7, 2024 • 32min
Bank Losses ‘Dwarf’ 2008, Housing Shortage Is ‘Extreme’ | Briton Hill
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Briton Hill, Managing Partner of Providence Capital Group, says that the housing market could remain "stuck" and in short supply for a number of years. Hill gives his outlook on home prices, mortgage rates, and stock markets.
*This video was recorded on October 4, 2024
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
0:00 - Intro
0:40 - Housing market is "stuck"
2:30 - Housing shortage
3:14 - Bank losses
7:34 - Mortgage rates to stay high
10:15 - Buyers’ or sellers’ market?
12:52 - Capital borrowers’ profiles
15:17 - Lumber price
16:30 - Construction starts
18:22 - Housing affordability solutions
25:14 - Homebuilders’ priorities
26:15 - Stock market outlook
#stocks #realestate #investing