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The David Lin Report

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Oct 13, 2024 • 46min

The Biggest 'Black Swan': How Will Israel Strike Iran? | Marko Papic

Try InVideo for free at https://invideo.io/i/DavidLin, use the code DAVIDLIN50 to get 2x the video generation credits in your first month Marko Papic, Chief Strategist of GeoMacro Strategy at BCA Research, discusses Israel's likely next retaliatory move against Iran, the economic ramifications of this attack, and the impact on the U.S. economy of the Presidential election outcome. *This video was recorded on Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW MARKO PAPIC: Twitter (@Geo_papic): https://x.com/Geo_papic BCA Research: https://www.bcaresearch.com/ FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com 00:00 - Intro 03:20 - Why Israel Delays Retaliation 05:23 - U.S. Influence on Israel's Decisions 08:04 - Iran’s Military vs. Israel’s Limits 12:09 - Nuclear Threats: U.S. vs. Israel 15:52 - Iran’s Strategy with Arab Allies 17:47 - Strait of Hormuz and Oil Markets 20:14 - Putin’s Role and Russia’s Limits 22:38 - What If Israel Nukes Iran? 26:23 - Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions 29:10 - Trump vs. Harris on Foreign Policy 32:07 - Future U.S. Geopolitical Strategy 38:11 - Trump’s Tariff Strategy 42:42 - Market Risks if Trump Wins 44:05 - Outro and Conclusion *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. #geopolitics #israel #economy
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Oct 12, 2024 • 44min

China’s Economic Crisis And What It Means For The World | Shaun Rein

Sign up with Caleb & Brown at: https://calebandbrown.com/affiliates/david-lin/ Shaun Rein, Founder of the China Market Research Group, discusses the recent China stimulus package, whether China can recover from deflation and the worst property market collapse in its history, and the future of political tensions between China and the U.S. *This video was recorded on October 10, 2024 Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW SHAUN REIN: China Market Research Group: http://www.cmrconsulting.com.cn/ X (@shaunrein): https://x.com/shaunrein "The Split: Finding the Opportunities in China's Economy in the New World Order": https://www.amazon.ca/Split-Finding-Opportunities-Chinas-Economy/dp/139981639X FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. 0:00 - Intro 1:50 - “Nothing Going Right In China’s Economy” 5:52 - China’s stimulus explained 11:20 - Wealthy consumers 12:17 - Political tensions “wreaking havoc” 14:30 - Impact of tariffs 17:00 - Changing consumption trends 19:20 - Chinese investment in foreign markets 21:47 - Will China’s stimulus help real estate? 24:25 - China’s stock market outlook 29:44 - China’s stock market crash in 2014 31:45 - Is China turning into Japan? 35:00 - Future of U.S.-China relations 38:23 - Reunification of Taiwan #china #economy #geopolitics
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Oct 11, 2024 • 42min

Trader Called 2024 Bull Rally, Has This Year-End Market Prediction | Jason Shapiro

Sign up for an IRA with ITrust today using this link: https://itrust.capital/David Jason Shapiro, Founder of Crowded Market Report, discusses the current market momentum, and the most "crowded" trades at the moment. Watch Jason's last interview with me: https://youtu.be/IJmCbP8EY98?si=cGo62CoFST1pp6Q7 Watch Jason's first interview with me in 2023: https://youtu.be/DcsuTuCZO88?si=gZYlIscA2W3Duddo *This video was recorded on October 10, 2024 Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW JASON SHAPIRO: Crowded Market Report: https://www.crowdedmarketreport.com/ X (@Crowded_Mkt_Rpt): https://twitter.com/Crowded_Mkt_Rpt FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. 00:00 - Introduction and Market Sentiment 01:23 - China's Stimulus and Global Impact 03:39 - The Role of Central Banks in Stimulus 04:21 - Crypto IRA and Investment Strategy 05:07 - How China's Stimulus Affected Jason’s Trading 06:05 - The Ponzi Scheme of Stimulus 09:06 - Energy Prices and Inflation Predictions 10:35 - Geopolitical Tensions and Their Impact on Markets 11:29 - Why Jason Avoids Shorting at All-Time Highs 13:32 - Crowded Trades and Market Momentum 14:42 - Jason’s Take on Shorting the Russell Index 16:29 - Sector Performance and AI’s Role in Utilities 17:36 - Major Market Drop in August 19:35 - Jason’s Trading Strategy for Buying Dips 21:06 - Jason's Views on Gold 24:12 - Correlation Between Assets and Overcrowded Trades 25:12 - Bonds, Currency, and Metals 28:02 - Trading Tech Stocks Like Nvidia 30:58 - Economic Data and Trading Decisions 32:56 - Bullish Sentiment and Market Conditions 34:45 - Election Uncertainty and Market Impact 36:14 - Final Thoughts on Market Timing 38:42 - Where to Follow Jason Shapiro #stocks #trading #economy
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Oct 10, 2024 • 37min

Household Bankruptcies Surge: Why 20% Of Americans Are On Welfare | Danielle DiMartino Booth

Try InVideo for free at https://invideo.io/i/DavidLin and use the code DAVIDLIN50 to get 2x the video generation credits in your first month Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of QI Research, discusses the state of the economy, outlook for monetary policy, and major risks to the markets today. Watch the last video with Danielle: https://youtu.be/sVgvMJ8t9T4?si=3FqHaO8wq1i_NPIj *This video was recorded on October 9, 2024 Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW DANIELLE DIMARTINO BOOTH: QI Research Substack - Use this link to receive a 20% discount: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/MEM24 Twitter (https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth): @DiMartinoBooth FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. 0:00 - Intro 0:50 - Geopolitical risks 2:45 - Reaction to Fed’s 50 bps cut 5:20 - Labor market cooling 10:31 - Foreign workers 11:33 - Bankruptcy cycle 12:50 - Fed monetary policy outlook 14:40 - Welfare 17:30 - Widening deficit 20:35 - Banks’ unrealized losses 22:30 - Declining liquidity 26:00 - Soft vs. Hard landings 28:30 - Stocks vs. Yields 31:00 - Homes and natural disasters 32:10 - Major risks and asset allocation 35:47 - QI Research #economy #investing #stocks
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Oct 10, 2024 • 51min

Crises Will 'Deepen' As 'Fourth Turning' Hits, What Happens To Markets? | Darius Dale

Sign up for an IRA with ITrust today using this link: https://itrust.capital/David Darius Dale, Founder of 42 Macro, discusses what will happen to markets during a "Fourth Turning" and what investors can expect. *This video was recorded on October 8, 2024 Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW DARIUS DALE: 42 Macro: https://42macro.com/ X (@DariusDale42): https://x.com/DariusDale42 FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. 00:00 - Intro & Market Overview 01:23 - Risk Factors for Markets 02:30 - U.S. Economic Resilience 03:50 - Liquidity & Fed’s Dovish Stance 05:00 - Trump vs. Harris: Impact on the Dollar 06:50 - Tariffs & Inflation: The Real Story 08:13 - Populism & Inflation Risks 10:00 - The Fourth Turning Explained 12:30 - Fiscal Support & Market Impact 16:00 - Medium-Term Bullish Outlook 18:20 - Geopolitical Conflicts & Market Response 23:50 - U.S. Liquidity Situation Deep Dive 29:30 - Bitcoin & Currency Debasement 38:30 - Bullish Sectors & S&P 500 Outlook 42:00 - Final Thoughts on the Fourth Turning #economy #investing #stocks
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Oct 9, 2024 • 45min

Global Money Supply Surging, Get Ready For Inflation's Massive Comeback | Tavi Costa

Tavi Costa, Portfolio Manager of Crescat Capital, discusses the return of higher global money supply and "entrenched inflation, and the outlook for markets, commodities, and interest rates. *This video was recorded on October 8, 2024 Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW TAVI COSTA: Crescat Capital: https://www.crescat.net/ Twitter (@TaviCosta): https://twitter.com/TaviCosta FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. 0:00 - Intro 0:50 - Did the Fed make a mistake? 3:17 - Global money supply 10:00 - China stimulus and commodities 16:40 - Bullish assets 18:09 - Steepening yield curve 25:40 - Non-growth fiscal spending 31:40 - Gold vs. Copper 40:10 - Mining stocks #inflation #economy #investing
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Oct 8, 2024 • 29min

‘Oil War’ Looms: What Happens To Markets In Coming Storm? | John Feneck

John Feneck, CEO of Feneck Consulting, discusses a looming "oil war", the impact on stock markets of a higher oil price, inflationary pressures, and his outlook for commodities. *This video was recorded on October 4, 2024 Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW JOHN FENECK: Website: http://www.feneckconsulting.com email john.feneck@yahoo.com FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. 0:00 - Intro 0:30 - Oil war 3:14 - Stock market outlook 7:30 - Monetary policy outlook 9:07 - Commodities 11:53 - Silver 21:20 - China stimulus 21:17 - Most bullish commodity 24:30 - Mining stocks 28:00 - Feneck Consulting #stocks #economy #investing
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Oct 8, 2024 • 37min

Economist Reveals Trigger For 'World Depression' | Steve Hanke

Remove your personal information from the web at https://joindeleteme.com/DAVIDLIN, use code DAVIDLIN for 20% off Steve Hanke, Professor of Applied Economics at Johns Hopkins University, discusses the labor market, oil spike, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, China's stimulus package, and U.S. Presidential election odds. Watch Doomberg's $200 oil call: https://youtu.be/MgNqa9l4xh0?si=DfJlzGulYSA3z2q- Watch Prof. Hanke's reaction to the Fed's 50 Bps cut in September: https://youtu.be/5OH76PBYxIs?si=AJ08eojKdEAXnyTP *This video was recorded on October 7, 2024 Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW STEVE HANKE: Twitter (@steve_hanke): https://twitter.com/steve_hanke Email: hanke@jhu.edu FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. 0:00 - Intro 0:30 - Latest jobs report 6:23 - Wages and inflation 7:47 - Trump and labor market 10:50 - Immigration and economic impact 13:35 - Government jobs added 16:46 - Government spending as % of GDP 18:25 - China stimulus 23:00 - Oil and geopolitical tensions 27:15 - This would cause 'world depression' 28:55 - Presidential election odds 35:00 - Kamala Harris's economic plan #economy #geopolitics #investing
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Oct 7, 2024 • 32min

Bank Losses ‘Dwarf’ 2008, Housing Shortage Is ‘Extreme’ | Briton Hill

Sign up for an IRA with iTrust today using this link: https://itrust.capital/David Briton Hill, Managing Partner of Providence Capital Group, says that the housing market could remain "stuck" and in short supply for a number of years. Hill gives his outlook on home prices, mortgage rates, and stock markets. *This video was recorded on October 4, 2024 Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW BRITON HILL: Providence Capital Group: https://providencecapitalgroup.com/ X (@briton_hill): https://x.com/briton_hill LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/briton-hill-1a57831a0/ FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. 0:00 - Intro 0:40 - Housing market is "stuck" 2:30 - Housing shortage 3:14 - Bank losses 7:34 - Mortgage rates to stay high 10:15 - Buyers’ or sellers’ market? 12:52 - Capital borrowers’ profiles 15:17 - Lumber price 16:30 - Construction starts 18:22 - Housing affordability solutions 25:14 - Homebuilders’ priorities 26:15 - Stock market outlook #stocks #realestate #investing
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Oct 7, 2024 • 28min

'Precipice Of Big Global Event', Brace For Higher Volatility | Si Katara

Si Katara, CEO of TappAlpha, explains strategies to hedge against volatility, as well as the future of the tech industry. *This video was recorded on October 1, 2024 Subscribe to my free newsletter: https://davidlinreport.substack.com/ Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/510WZMFaqeh90Xk4jcE34s Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-david-lin-report FOLLOW SI KATARA: TappAlpha: https://www.tappalpha.com/ FOLLOW DAVID LIN: X (@davidlin_TV): https://x.com/davidlin_TV TikTok (@davidlin_TV): https://www.tiktok.com/@davidlin_tv Instagram (@davidlin_TV): https://www.instagram.com/davidlin_tv/ For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates. 0:00 -Intro 0:40 - Geopolitical risks 1:58 - VIX 3:56 - NVIDIA 7:55 - Tech industry 2000 vs. Now 9:50 - Another tech bubble burst? 12:10 - Future of AI 14:33 - Smart glasses 16:00 - Tech sector’s future 17:00 - Hedging against volatility 19:22- TSPY #stocks #investing #tech

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