Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Bilal Hafeez
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Feb 24, 2023 • 49min

Timothy Ash on Russia's Failure, China Intervention and EM Re-Alignment

Timothy Ash is a Senior EM Sovereign Strategist at the $125bn fund, BlueBay, and is widely considered one of the leading experts on Ukraine and Russia. Prior to joining BlueBay, Tim was Head of CEEMEA Credit Strategy at Nomura International. Before this he was Head of EM Research (ex-Africa) at ICBC-Standard Bank until May 2015; Head of Emerging Markets Research at the Royal Bank of Scotland until June 2012; and Head of EMEA fixed income research at Bear Stearns International (later JPMorgan Chase) until April 2008. In this podcast we discuss what caused the collapse of the Soviet Union, why Russia didn't have a quick victory against Ukraine, China brokering peace deal, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive
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Feb 17, 2023 • 46min

Mikihiro Matsuoka on Japan Inflation, BoJ Outlook and Debt Problems

Matsuoka-San is the Chief Economist of SBI Securities in Japan. Before that, he was the Chief Economist for Japan at Deutsche Bank. Overall, he has been involved in macroeconomic analysis at research institutions and financial institutions for the past 30 years. He is known to be one of the leading Japan economists with unique insights on structural issues. Over the years he has been highly ranked in numerous surveys including the Institutional Investor survey. In this podcast we discuss current trends in Japan inflation, outlook on BoJ actions, comparison between Prime Minister Kishida and Abe, and much more. Visit our website here: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/
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Feb 10, 2023 • 1h 7min

Richard Oldfield on Value Investing, Warren Buffet and Elon Musk

Richard founded Oldfield Partners in 2004.The firm is a value-style asset management firm with over $4bn in assets under management. Richard was Chairman of the Oxford University Investment Committee and of Oxford University Endowment from the latter's inception in 2007 until 2014. He holds a BA Hons in History from Oxford University. His book about investing, 'Simple But Not Easy', was published in 2007 and new edition was published in 2022. In the podcast, we talk about the trouble with private equity and hedge funds, outlook for value investing, why smaller teams make better investment decisions, and much more.
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Feb 3, 2023 • 1h 6min

Deborah Seligsohn on What Everyone Gets Wrong on China's COVID and Climate Policies

Deborah Seligsohn is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at Villanova University. Her research focuses on Chinese politics, US-China relations, and public health, energy and environmental politics in China and India. Prior to her academic career, she served as the Beijing-based Principal Advisor to the World Resources Institute's China Energy and Climate Program from 2007 to 2012. Before that, she served as the Environment, Science, Technology and Health Counselor at the US Embassy in Beijing from 2003 to 2007. In the podcast, we talk about Deborah's experience in China as zero COVID was lifted, what is China's climate policy, China's non-carbon future and much more.
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Jan 27, 2023 • 53min

Phil Suttle on Fed Murdering Expansions and Bond Worries

Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we talk about the impact of US sectoral shocks, hard landing risks, European growth outlook, and much more.
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Jan 20, 2023 • 1h 9min

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Alan Dunne on How to Make Money From Following the Trend

Niels is the Managing Director of DUNN Capital (Europe) which has a track record going back over 45 years. He has been in the managed futures business for over 30 years having held management positions in and started multiple CTA firms. He is most widely known for the Top Traders Unplugged podcast. Alan is the Founder and CEO of Archive Capital – a boutique alternative investment research firm. Prior to founding Archive Capital, he was Managing Director and a member of the investment committee at Abbey Capital. In total, he has worked in the financial markets for over 25 years at hedge funds and investment banks as a CIO, hedge fund allocator, macro strategist, and technical analyst. This week's podcast covers the evolution of types of trend-following strategies, the importance of diversification across markets, why trend performed poorly before COVID, and much more.
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Jan 13, 2023 • 1h 13min

Yesha Yadav on the Galactic Risks of the US Treasury Markets

Yesha Yadav is Associate Dean and Professor of Law at Vanderbilt University Law School. She is one of the world's leading experts on financial and securities regulation. Before Vanderbilt, Yesha worked as legal counsel with the World Bank and before that she practiced regulatory and derivatives law at Clifford Chance. This week's podcast covers why the US Treasury market is fundamentally broken, the rise of HFT and algo trading, the diverges uses of Treasuries, and much more.
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Jan 6, 2023 • 1h 34min

Andrew Revkin on What to Do About Climate Risk

Andrew Revkin is one of America's most honoured and experienced environmental journalists and the founding director of the new Initiative on Communication and Sustainability at Columbia University's Earth Institute. He's written on climate change for more than 35 years, reporting from the North Pole to the White House, the Amazon rain forest to the Vatican - mostly for The New York Times. He has held positions at National Geographic and Discover Magazine. He's written books on the dawn of Earth's Anthropocene age, the history of humanity's relationship with weather and climate, the changing Arctic, global warming and the assault on the Amazon rain forest. His work has been turned into film including the triple-Golden-Globe-winning HBO film "The Burning Season,". This week's podcast covers what Andy learned living on a boat, thoughts on nuclear energy, how views have changed on the environment and climate change, and much more.
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Dec 30, 2022 • 45min

Ivy Zelman on the Coming US Housing Crisis

With everyone taking a well-deserved break over the holiday season, we decided to dig through our archives to bring you our most-listened-to podcast of 2022. Back in July, we interviewed Ivy Zelman – best known for calling the top of the housing market in 2005. Turns out, she had an extremely prescient call to make in our interview too... Enjoy! Ivy Zelman is CEO at Zelman & Associates. She co-founded Zelman & Associates in 2007 which is a leading housing research firm in the US. In 2005, Ivy called the top of the housing market. From there, she called the bottom of the housing market in January 2012. She helped best-selling writer, Michael Lewis, with research related to the mortgage crash which became a part of his best-selling book turned movie, 'The Big Short.' Michael wrote in the book 'all roads led to Ivy.' Ivy was inducted into the Institutional Investors - America Research Team's inaugural Hall of Fame in 2012 as a result of Ivy and her team earning eleven 1st place rankings (1999 – 2004, 2006 – 2007 and 2010 – 2013). In this podcast we discuss: How COVID impacted housing Inventory trends and why they are not supportive of prices Why housing demand is falling
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Dec 16, 2022 • 57min

Agathe Demarais on How Sanctions Backfire on the US

Agathe Demarais is the Global Forecasting Director of The Economist Intelligence Unit. Agathe has a special focus on trade, sanctions, European affairs, Russia and the Middle East. As The EIU's Global Forecasting Director, Agathe oversees the publication of The EIU global outlook. Prior to joining The EIU, Agathe worked in the diplomatic corps of the French Treasury. She spent five years in Russia and three years in the Middle East, where she developed her knowledge of sanctions and policymaking. Agathe is the author of the new book 'Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests'. This week's podcast covers: How sanctions impact local populations US extra-territorial power and impact on multi-nationals US dollar as weapon

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