
Talking Data
Welcome to Talking Data: A series of podcasts hosted by Arbor Research featuring Jim Bianco of Bianco Research, Sam Rines and Petr Pinkhasov of Arbor Data Science.
We will host a series of discussions which will offer timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm that produces innovative research across a broad range of global fixed-income, equity currency, and commodity markets.
For further information on Arbor Research & Trading please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Latest episodes

Aug 9, 2021 • 26min
#75: Maybe Transitory It Is?!
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Ben will give us an update on supply chain constraints and inflation expectations.
· When will working order for the supply chain be restored? What does it mean for Inflation Expectations?
· Rents continue to rise. How long will Shelter Inflation last?
· How are Rising Prices impacting Consumer Spending?
· What’s the latest with the Housing Market and Job Searches?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.

Aug 6, 2021 • 17min
#74: Bond Investors Focused on Growth Worries
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Jim and Ben will be discussing growth concerns for bond investors.
· ADP was a miss and there is potential for NFPs to undershoot. If you combine that with waning consumer intentions to spend, what does it mean for Fed policy?
· Have investors fully bought the transitory narrative?
·Inflation should have peaked in July, but what looms on the horizon?
· Where are UST yields headed?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.

Aug 2, 2021 • 18min
#72: Delta and its Delta Impact on Markets
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
News flow has refocused on the virus the last several weeks as the Delta variant spreads around the world.
· How fast and where are cases growing?
· Is it cases (not hospitalizations or deaths) that drive policy and ultimately market reactions?
· No lose situation for risk assets? Simply churn between staying-in and reopening equities?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.

Jul 29, 2021 • 15min
#71: Rents Go Up, Up, and Away!
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
The apartment market is the tightest on record, how high will rents go?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.

Jul 26, 2021 • 21min
#70: Does Growth Matter More Than Inflation?
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will discuss if growth matters more than inflation.
· Seven trading days ago 10-year yields were 1.42%. Two days ago they were 1.12%. As of this morning they were 1.32%. Now they are 1.23%.
· Will there be economic restrictions coming?
· The latest on "transitory"
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.

Jul 15, 2021 • 11min
#69: Two Narratives on the Transitory Debate
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today we will hear Jim’s latest on inflation after the CPI report this morning.
· Inflation surprised to the upside again. What does it tell us about the transitory debate?
· Bond Yields have been trending lower, what does this tell us about the transitory debate?
· How do these two stories get reconciled?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.

Jul 9, 2021 • 16min
#67: Historical Playbook Says Market Movements Very Normal
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today we’ll be looking at past global recoveries to find out if today’s markets are in line.
· UST yields, inflation expectations, and USD falling in line
· Global recoveries since 1960 provide guidelines for the pandemic
· Federal Reserve remains the significant odd man out
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.

Jul 8, 2021 • 14min
#66: Rents are Rapidly Rising, but Will Take Time to Hit OER
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Rents are rapidly rising, how long will it take to hit OER?
· Zillow vs Apartment List Rent Index Comparison
· Rent search activity
· Is OER expected to rise?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.

Jul 7, 2021 • 13min
#65: Commodity Rally Coming to an End or Just Beginning?
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Ben Breitholtz and Sergio Pineda of Arbor Data Science.
Over the past few months, rising commodity prices have been a highly discussed topic in mainstream media. Super-cycle? Or super head-fake?
· Is there any precedent for the commodity rally?
· Is the commodity rally over?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.

Jun 29, 2021 • 17min
#64: The Impact of Ending Enhanced Federal UI Benefits
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
On their website, Indeed came out with a chart indicating that states ending Unemployment benefits this month have seen a decrease in job search activity. Looking at broader search activity via google searches paints the opposite picture.
· Why the discrepancy?
· What does it mean for transitory inflation debate?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.