WTFinance

Interview Recorded - 13th of June, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Eric Basmajian, Founder of EPB Research. During our conversation we spoke about whether a housing crash is still on the cards, why this is linked to a recession, Eric's economic data analysis process, how employment has remained strong with these conditions and other macro drivers Eric is currently watching. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:10 - Is a housing crash still on the cards?6:14 - International housing markets in a similar position?7:02 - Eric’s economic data analysis process14:40 - Are the data points weighted based on importance?17:35 - Difficult to predict a recession21:37 - Revising data 24:10 - How has employment remained strong with these conditions?30:05 - How will markets react to recessionary data?32:05 - Other macro drivers Eric is watching?38:25 - Catalyst for the credit event?41:05 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Eric Basmajian is an economic cycle analyst providing research on long-term and short-term trends in growth and inflation. With a degree in economics and experience at a quantitative hedge fund, Eric has developed a unique secular and cyclical framework to forecast major economic inflection points and the resulting impact on asset prices.Eric holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from New York University. Eric started on the buy-side of the financial sector, as an analyst with Panorama Partners, a quantitative hedge fund specializing in algorithmically scanning for mispriced equity derivatives.Eric Basmajian - Website - https://epbresearch.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/EPBResearchYouTube -  @EPBResearch  LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/eric-basmajian-32614116a/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview Recorded - 9th of June, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Lyn Alden, Founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. During our conversation we spoke about macro drivers impacting markets, potential for a liquidity crisis driven by the Treasury, the risk of higher inflation for longer, what this means for the debt end game and how Lyn is constructing her portfolio to mitigate these risks. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:05 - Macro drivers impacting markets2:50 - Current Treasury funding challenge6:05 - Correlation between liquidity and market performance7:20 - Where will liquidity issues show up first?8:40 - Lyn’s base case for treasury funding12:25 - Repeat of March Bank Collapses?14:10 - Commercial real-estate another challenge for banks?16:05 - Is todays economy more similar to the 1940’s than 1970’s?20:30 - Japanification or financial repression?23:40 - What is the current debt end game?27:05 - What would Lyn do if she was the Fed Chair?28:35 - What does Lyn want to own?30:35 - Macro, Geopolitics & valuation weightings in investing32:25 - How does Lyn construct and manage risk in portfolio?33:30 - One message to take away from conversation?Lyn runs an investment research service for both retail and institutional investors at LynAlden.com. Her focus is on fundamental investing with a global macro overlay, with an emphasis on equities, currencies, commodities, and digital assets. Lyn has also worked for over a decade in the aviation industry in a range of roles, starting as an electronics engineer and moving into project and facility management, and engineering finance. Eventually she became the head engineer and head of technical procurement for the facility, before retiring in my 30s. Lyn has a bachelor's in electronics engineering and a master's in engineering management, with a focus on engineering economics and financial modelling. Lyn Alden - Website - https://www.lynalden.com/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/lynalden/Twitter - https://twitter.com/lynaldencontact?lang=enWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 8th of June, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with David Hay, Co-Chief Investment Officer of Evergreen Gavekal.During our conversation we spoke about key drivers of the current market, whether we are still in the biggest bubble of history, how the current debt cycle risks collapse and why nuclear energy is the future of non-carbon energy. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:50 - Key drivers of current markets?4:30 - Can the FED save the US economy?7:15 - Will we see stagflation or disinflation?10:30 - Are we still in a bubble?13:28 - Industries/geographies that David is watching?17:00 - How would Treasury funding issues effect market?20:00 - Will they run inflation hot?24:00 - The end of a debt cycle?26:10 - Pensions and other levered bond holders to be punished?31:30 - Stock picking during market uncertainty?34:30 - Future energy crisis and why nuclear is vital38:15 - Why is nuclear better than other non-carbon energy producers?42:10 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?David Hay acquired the majority interest in Evergreen Gavekal (at the time, Evergreen Capital Management) in 2002. He continues to serve his long-time clients and acts as Co-Chief Investment Officer with special emphasis in macro-economic research.  David has been employed in the securities industry since 1979 when he joined Dean Witter Reynolds, now Morgan Stanley. He rose to the position of Senior Vice President in 1983. In 1985 he was the youngest member to be elected to Dean Witter’s elite Chairman’s Council. David and his team joined Smith Barney in 1990 and were instrumental in establishing the Portfolio Advisory Program. Fulfilling the positions of Senior Vice President, Senior Portfolio Manager and Director, David also served on the Smith Barney Directors Advisory Group, gaining valuable experience in merger integration and client service enhancement.  In 2022, David released his highly anticipated book, Bubble 3.0:  Who blew it and how to protect yourself when it blows apart. The book explores why he believes the financial markets are headed toward a third iteration of past market rotations. Accordingly, he believes there are a number of investment areas/asset classes poised to benefit from what he has begun referring to as “The New World Disorder”.  David currently spends the winter months in Indian Wells, Ca., with his wife, Mindy, and two dogs, Nova and Roscoe.  In early June, they will be moving into their new home in Liberty Lake, Wash.David Hay Interviews - Haymaker as Host interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EnDy6SGoG00MicroNuclear explanatory video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fb2Op0mWlUwDavid Hays - Twitter - https://twitter.com/Haymaker_0Website - https://evergreengavekal.com/Substack - https://haymaker.substack.com/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 30th of May, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I have the pleasure of hosting Adrian Day, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer of Adrian Day Asset Management. During our conversation we spoke about key economic drivers Adrian is watching, why this will lead to a 'serious recession', how counterparty risk will be the main driver and why gold and gold stocks could be a great beneficiary of such an event. I hope you enjoy! 0:00 - Introduction1:30 - Key drivers Adrian is currently watching?4:20 - What is currently happening with the US consumer?8:55 - Collapse in consumption?9:55 - Will this impact the FED’s actions?14:45 - Double/triple counting employed or job openings17:00 - How bad will the recession be?20:55 - Counterparty risk?21:45 - Treasury bill issuance to impact prices?24:55 - Why is there a disconnect between markets and the economy?28:10 - The risk of an earnings recession?30:25 - What assets to perform during a recession?36:15 - What does Adrian look for before investing in a company?37:40 - Is gold undervalued?42:40 - One message to take away from our conversation?Adrian Day is considered a pioneer in promoting the benefits of global investing in this country. A native of London, after graduating with honors from the London School of Economics, Mr. Day spent many years as a financial investment writer, where he gained a large following for his expertise in searching out unusual investment opportunities around the world. He has also authored two books on the subject of global investing: International Investment Opportunities: How and Where to Invest Overseas Successfully and Investing Without Borders. His latest book, widely praised by readers, is Investing in Resources: How to Profit from the Outsized Potential and Avoid the Risks (Wiley, 2010). Mr. Day is a recognized authority in both global and resource investing. He is frequently interviewed by the press, domestically and abroad. He is a popular speaker and frequently invited to lecture at financial conferences and seminars around the world. His pleasures include fine dining, reading (especially history), and the opera.Adrian Day - Website - https://adriandayassetmanagement.com/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview Recorded - 24th of May, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Grant Williams, an experienced investor who is the author of the Newsletter Things That Make You GO Hmmmmm and Co-Founder of the Real Vision Group.During our conversation we spoke about the rising risk in the markets, whether we will see the FED put re-emerge, how to protect your portfolio from a market 'air pocket' and what would be needed to avoid a hard landing. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:00 - What is Grant seeing in the markets?4:20 - Uncommon events more likely to happen5:30 - The risk of concentration in markets?8:45 - Crowded trades move quickly10:15 - The FED put14:10 - What would happen if interest rates remain high?16:05 - A push away from monetary to fiscal policy18:45 - Results of a credit event?22:23 - How do you protect from a market ‘air pocket’?26:25 - How to know what to be worried about?27:15 - Could there be a soft landing and how would it be achieved?29:20 - Any key trends not given enough attention?38:30 - What does bottom up and top down mean?41:54 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Grant Williams, much to his dismay, has logged over 35 years in finance. During that time, he’s lived and worked in seven major financial centres from London to Sydney, building the kind of network that many others can only dream about.He began his career in the Japanese equity market in the mid-1980s, before a three-year posting to Tokyo ensured he had a ringside seat as the twin bubbles in equities and real estate burst simultaneously and spectacularly at the end of 1989. After a short stint back in London, Grant relocated once again, this time to New York, where he spent 7 years. Subsequent postings have taken him to Hong Kong, Sydney, Singapore, and the Cayman Islands.Currently, he is a senior advisor to Matterhorn Asset Management AG https://goldswitzerland.com/ in Switzerland, and a portfolio and strategy advisor to Vulpes Investment Management https://www.vulpesinvest.com/ in Singapore.Back in 2014, Grant’s ambition to bring the most intelligent, engaging, and original people in finance to a wider audience led him to co-found Real Vision https://www.realvision.com/, an on-demand internet-based financial media platform.Grant’s twin Real Vision interview series, 'In Conversation With…' and 'On The Road' raised the bar for financial content – engaging and educating viewers in equal measure and helping them learn the secrets behind a group of extraordinary investors’ success.Long before Real Vision, however, Grant was guiding people around the fringes of finance with his regular newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… https://www.grant-williams.com/ttmygh_newsletters/, a publication which, from humble beginnings as a daily note to a few friends and colleagues, has grown into one of the most widely-read financial publications in the world.Grant Williams - Website - https://www.grant-williams.com/](https://www.grant-williams.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/ttmyghWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfnTikTok - https://vm.tiktok.com/ZMeUjj9xV/iTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 23rd of May, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back for a third time Dave Collum, Professor of Organic Chemistry and leading thinker on markets and the larger world around us. During our conversation we spoke about why markets seem to be performing despite negative news, how this is influenced by a small minority of companies, whether we could see further banking collapses', which country will win and more!0:00 - Introduction1:40 - What is Dave seeing in the current markets?14:20 - Small number of companies propping up the markets15:15 - Is there a reason why the top 5 companies are so highly valued?23:35 - Will the debt ceiling be a red-herring?26:00 - Are there other banks with issues?30:35 - All countries have issues, who wins?34:50 - constant swinging to political extremes?40:10 - Potential for AI exponential growth?David Collum received a BS in biology from Cornell in 1977 and an MA, MS, and PhD in chemistry from Columbia University in 1980. Dave currently is the Betty R. Miller Professor of Chemistry at Cornell University. While at Cornell Dave has served as Director of Undergraduate Studies, Director of Graduate Studies, associate chairman, and chairman while running a research program in organic chemistry for forty years, which include collaborations with a host of large-cap pharmaceutical companies exemplified by Merck and Pfizer. In recent years he has become interested in the interface where politics and markets meet. He compiles an annual Year in Review, does several dozen podcasts per year, and occasionally stirs up trouble on more mainstream media sources.Dave Collum - Twitter - https://twitter.com/davidbcollum?s=21&t=xvXQIRnoZm5mxXw68trHEQYear in Review - https://peakprosperity.com/2022-year-in-review-all-roads-lead-to-ukraine/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 16th of May, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Michael Every, Global Strategist at Rabobank. During our conversation we spoke about the key macro drivers, why Geopolitics is a growing issue, what this means for the potential of a new Cold War and which assets will protect wealth during this period. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:35 - Key macro drivers for the start of the year2:05 - What is geopolitics?4:10 - Why is geopolitics going to be an issue?9:00 - How will mercantile trade wars impact world economy?12:05 - On-shoring/friend-shoring will not be easy16:10 - Services costs to decrease and goods increase?21:30 - Retirees rely on asset prices?24:30 - China conflict and future cold war?29:35 - Will the current US Dollar system change?36:15 - What assets perform in the coming years?40:30 - Government backed loans to vital industries?44:40 - One message to take away from our conversation?Michael Every is a Global Strategist at Rabobank. He analyses major financial developments and contributes to the bank’s various economic research publications for internal and external customers and to the media.Michael has over two decades of experience working as an Economist and Strategist. Before Rabobank, he was a Director at Silk Road Associates in Bangkok, Senior Economist and Fixed Income Strategist at the Royal Bank of Canada in both London and Sydney, and an Economist for Dun & Bradstreet in London.Michael holds a Masters degree in Economics (with distinction) from University College London and speaks a smattering of languages, including Thai.Michael Every - Website - https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/our-experts/011085368/michael-everyLinkedIn - https://sg.linkedin.com/in/michael-every-38983214WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 8th of May, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Michael Oliver, Founder of Momentum Structural Analysis.0:00 - Introduction0:42 - Major macro trends Michael is currently watching?7:42 - Why is the current market not normal?15:00 - How will you know when the crash is occurring?24:25 - Real Estate or other real assets to perform?26:45 - What would it take for Michael to be bullish?30:25 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton’s International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City's Battery Park.  He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton’s Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX.In the 1980s Mike began to develop his own momentum-based method of technical analysis.  He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth.In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash.  It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology.In 1992 the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank's Trust  Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia.  Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical research.  He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.Michael Oliver - Website - https://www.olivermsa.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/Oliver_MSAWTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseasThumbnail Image From -

Interview recorded - 1st of May, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Mario Innecco - a financial markets, macroeconomics and monetary policy analyst. During our conversation we spoke about how things have changed over the last 7 months, whether we could see other banks under pressure, how a deflationary crash or hyperinflation are likely and what this means for precious metals moving forward. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:45 - Changes in markets since our last conversation?3:40 - Other banks coming under pressure?5:25 - Breaking the laws to fix the system7:10 - International reward, country risk9:25 - A move away from fractional banking?12:50 - Gold storage the new banks?15:00 - Hyperinflation or mass deflation?17:00 - Currency to be sacrificed to save economy?18:50 - De-dollarisation and a fractured world currency market?22:40 - What asset could replace the US Dollar?24:50 - Any other hard assets that could protect wealth during collapse?Mario has been running his YouTube channel maneco64 since November 2015.His background is in financial markets and economics. He worked for over twenty years in the City of London and specialised in the exchange-traded derivatives market.​Mario dealt for major financial institutions and corporate entities advising clients on the government bond market, interest rates, financial markets in general and the economy. ​He has also been an ardent student of the Austrian School of Economics.​Through his videos and also articles here on his blog he endeavours to inform the public about how the financial markets and our current fiat monetary system functions.Mario Innecco - YouTube -  @maneco64  Twitter - https://twitter.com/maneco1964LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/mario-innecco-a329416b/?originalSubdomain=ukWebsite - https://www.maneco64.net/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview Recorded - 24th of April, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of hosting Edwin Dorsey - Author of the Bearcave, exposing bad companies. During our conversation we talked about what is corporate fraud/misconduct, whether we are in the golden age of corporate misconduct, Edwin's research structure to uncover corporate misconduct and his recent thoughts on AirBNB. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:30 - What is corporate misconduct/fraud?  2:30 - The golden age of corporate misconduct and fraud?4:15 - Is fraud cyclical?5:35 - More fraud researchers7:34 - What is Edwin’s structure of investigating corporate misconduct?11:25 - Official government complaints15:55 - Next stage of investigation?19:25 - Red flags20:05 - Why small/mid cap focus?22:00 - An investigation into AirBNB27:15 - Any other countries Edwin is looking into?28:35 - One message to take away?Edwin Dorsey - Substack - https://thebearcave.substack.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/StockJabber?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5EauthorEmail - edwin@585research.comWTFinance - Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas