Lead-Lag Live

Michael A. Gayed, CFA
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Aug 13, 2025 • 19min

Rethinking Diversification: Alex Shahidi on Risk Parity and the 60/40 Problem

In this discussion, Alex Shahidi, Managing Partner and Co-CIO at Evoke Advisors, delves into the flaws of the traditional 60/40 portfolio and advocates for risk parity as a solution. He highlights the importance of true diversification to guard against growth and inflation shocks. Shahidi also explains why current market conditions, including concentration in U.S. tech stocks, necessitate a balanced approach to investing. Listeners gain insights into constructing resilient portfolios that can withstand potential market turbulence and avoid "lost decades."
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Aug 12, 2025 • 21min

Breaking the 60/40 Rule: Matthew Tuttle on HEAT, AI, and Thematic Investing

In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Matthew Tuttle, CEO and CIO of Tuttle Capital, to talk about why the 60/40 portfolio no longer works — and how his HEAT formula helps investors adapt to today’s market realities.We dig into why bonds fail as a hedge, how AI is reshaping investing, and the thematic opportunities most people are missing — from old economy AI plays to the future of space.In this episode:- Why bonds aren’t a reliable hedge anymore- How the HEAT formula works — hedges, edges, asymmetry, themes- Using leveraged and inverse ETFs strategically- Thematic investing in AI, crypto, and space- How AI is leveling the playing field for retail investorsLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with top financial minds shaping markets in real time.Subscribe for more interviews, insights, and raw takes that cut deeper than the headlines.#LeadLagLive #ETFs #Investing #HEATFormula #AI #StockMarket #MatthewTuttle #PortfolioStrategy #ThematicInvestingStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V Support the show
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Aug 11, 2025 • 44min

The Diversification Illusion with Brad Barrie and Matt O'Brian

Most investors believe they're diversified, but they're likely clinging to an illusion. As the Shiller PE ratio hovers at 38 – a level only seen during the tech bubble – historical patterns show future returns likely to be flat over the next five years. Brad Barry and Matt O'Brien from Dynamic Wealth Group challenge the conventional wisdom of diversification, revealing how those pretty colored slices on your pie chart might all move in lockstep when markets face real stress. Remember 2022? Both stocks and bonds plummeted together, exposing the fundamental flaw in traditional 60/40 portfolios.True diversification isn't just about owning different labels – it's about understanding what drives returns. When economic growth falters, assets that seemed uncorrelated suddenly converge. Meanwhile, one single stock now comprises nearly 8% of the S&P 500, creating hidden concentration risk few investors recognize.Global macro strategies offer a compelling alternative, historically performing well during precisely the market conditions we're facing today. By identifying supply and demand imbalances across currencies, commodities, and fixed income markets, these approaches can deliver returns through fundamentally different mechanisms than traditional investments.The Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund combines global macro with US equities, creating smoother return profiles that don't rely solely on economic growth. As Brad aptly puts it, "Hope is not a plan" – hoping traditional diversification will protect you during the next market crisis isn't sound portfolio management.Ready to rethink your approach to asset allocation? Download their enlightening white paper at rethinkassetallocation.com or visit dynamicwg.com to learn how multiple return drivers can help prepare your portfolio for whatever economic conditions lie ahead.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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18 snips
Aug 11, 2025 • 41min

Global Market Valuations: Finding Alpha Beyond US Shores with Phil Wool

Phil Wool, a savvy investor from Raliant Capital, argues for looking beyond U.S. stocks, which are historically overvalued. He highlights the potential of emerging markets, suggesting they offer better growth at attractive valuations. Wool challenges common misconceptions about international equities, emphasizing their technology sectors' crucial role in the AI boom. He introduces a 'quantamental' approach to investing, merging data analysis with strong fundamentals to uncover hidden gems in international markets.
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Aug 11, 2025 • 45min

Why Platinum Could Be Your Portfolio’s Hidden Gem: Investment Masterclass

Discover why savvy investors are turning their attention to platinum in this comprehensive investment masterclass. Join our panel of precious metals experts as they break down:• The unique supply-demand dynamics making platinum increasingly valuable• How platinum compares to gold and silver in a diversified investment portfolio• Industrial applications driving long-term platinum demand• Strategic approaches to platinum investment: ETFs, physical holdings, and mining stocks• Risk management techniques when investing in precious metals• Expert price projections and market analysis for 2025-2030Whether you’re a seasoned investor looking to diversify or a newcomer exploring precious metals for the first time, this webinar provides actionable insights to help you make informed decisions about platinum investments.Don’t miss this opportunity to get ahead of the market—watch now and discover if platinum deserves a place in your investment strategy.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Aug 8, 2025 • 13min

Avoiding the Tax Man: Bruce Lavine on how to Diversify Without Getting Burned

In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Bruce Levine, COO and Head of ETFs at Astoria Portfolio Advisors, to talk about one of the biggest problems facing investors today — how to diversify out of concentrated stock positions without triggering massive tax bills.We dig into the upcoming launch of the LCOR ETF, built around the innovative 351 exchange structure, and how it can help investors turn overexposed gains into a diversified, actively managed portfolio.In this episode:Why “yesterday’s winners” rarely lead the next decadeHow the 351 exchange works — and who can benefitThe tax advantage that only comes once: October 1 launch dateWhy diversification matters, even for the biggest tech winnersHow LCOR aims to beat the S&P 500 with a large-cap core strategyLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with top financial minds shaping markets in real time.Subscribe for more interviews, insights, and raw takes that cut deeper than the headlines.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V Support the show
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Aug 7, 2025 • 27min

Preservation Over Prediction: How Richard McWhorter Navigates Risk in Today’s Market

In my first episode hosting Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Richard McWhorter, Managing Partner at SRM Private Wealth, to unpack how he’s advising high-net-worth clients through today’s volatile market.We talk valuation risk, tariffs, and intergenerational wealth strategy — and why Richard is focused on preservation over prediction in a market full of noise. In this episode:- Why today’s stock multiples don’t add up- The long-term impact of U.S. tariffs and trade deals- How SRM helps clients navigate macro uncertainty- What younger generations can learn about risk- How to protect and grow wealth across generationsLead-Lag Live brings you straight into conversations with top financial minds shaping markets in real time.Subscribe for more interviews, insights, and raw takes that go deeper than headlines.#LeadLagLive #WealthStrategy #MarketValuations #FinancialAdvisors #PrivateWealth #Tariffs #InvestingStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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Aug 7, 2025 • 30min

The ETF That Owns X.AI and Anthropic — Inside the AI Arms Race with Derek Yan

Derek Yan, the Head of Strategy at KraneShares, provides insights on the groundbreaking AGIX ETF, which invests in private AI powerhouses like X.AI and Anthropic. He explains why KraneShares believes AGI represents the next major tech supercycle and discusses what distinguishes these companies from others in the sector. The conversation also highlights the development of an innovative AI score for assessing potential winners in public markets and explores the transformative impacts of AI technologies on various applications.
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Aug 6, 2025 • 51min

The Truth Behind Investment Gurus and Fast Money

Mark Mattson, founder of an $11.5 billion investment advisory firm managing wealth for 35,000 families, delivers a masterclass in separating investing truth from financial noise in this compelling conversation about wealth creation, market efficiency, and reclaiming the American Dream.Mattson cuts through the clutter of internet investment gurus with refreshing candor: "What investing takes—and getting in shape takes—is work. A crap ton of hard, serious work." In an age where financial advice is abundant but results are scarce, his focus on evidence-based investing principles offers a stark contrast to the get-rich-quick schemes flooding social media.The discussion explores a counterintuitive approach to wealth building that prioritizes creating value for others first. "If you want to create the American Dream for yourself, help other people create their American Dream and then you won't have to worry about yours," Mattson explains. This perspective shifts the focus from entitlement to contribution and provides a framework for sustainable prosperity.Mattson dives deep into portfolio construction, making a compelling case for broad diversification across asset classes, geographies, and company sizes based on academic principles like Efficient Market Theory and Modern Portfolio Theory. He methodically dismantles arguments for concentrated investing, warning that "there's no better way to go bankrupt fast than to dump your money in three or four or five stocks." Instead, he advocates for a disciplined approach that removes emotion from the investment process through systematic rebalancing.The conversation tackles controversial topics like cryptocurrency (which Mattson calls "one of the most toxic investments"), political biases in investing decisions, and the challenges of building a company culture with urgency and purpose. Throughout, Mattson's experience as both an investment manager and entrepreneur shines through, offering practical wisdom for anyone looking to build wealth ethically and systematically.Whether you're just starting your investment journey or managing substantial assets, this discussion provides a roadmap for navigating financial markets with intelligence rather than emotion. As Mattson reminds us, "No one can tell you where the next 20% is going to be, but what we do know historically is the next 100% has always been up."Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Jul 31, 2025 • 28min

Beyond the Bull: Navigating the 351 Exchange Revolution With Meb Faber

Tax strategies rarely generate genuine excitement, but the 351 exchange is proving to be the exception that financial advisors, investors with concentrated positions, and forward-thinking asset managers can't stop talking about. This little-known provision allows investors to contribute appreciated securities to create new ETFs without triggering taxable events – essentially functioning as a "1031 exchange for stocks."Matt Faber breaks down how this century-old tax code provision is finally hitting its stride at the perfect moment. With U.S. markets delivering 10-20x returns over the past 15 years, many investors find themselves trapped by potential tax consequences, unable to diversify away from concentrated positions that have grown to dominate their portfolios. The 351 exchange offers a compelling solution by allowing them to contribute these appreciated assets to seed a new ETF, receiving diversified exposure in return while deferring capital gains taxes.Cambria has already completed two successful exchanges with growing participation, expecting their next fund to reach $300-500 million in assets. While the process requires coordination across financial advisors and custodians, the benefits are substantial – particularly for high-net-worth individuals, founders with concentrated stock positions, and investors needing strategic rebalancing after years of U.S. outperformance.Beyond this tax innovation, Faber shares insights on dramatic market trends emerging in 2023. International value stocks have delivered returns of 30-35%, with some markets like Poland up approximately 60%, even as U.S. valuations approach record highs. The conversation also explores the potential recovery in cannabis stocks after eight brutal years of declines, positioning them as a contrarian opportunity with significant upside potential if regulatory progress materializes.Whether you're seeking tax-efficient portfolio solutions, exploring international diversification, or hunting for asymmetric investment opportunities, this conversation offers valuable perspectives from one of the industry's most innovative thinkers. Subscribe to hear more insights on navigating today's complex investment landscape.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

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