Lead-Lag Live

Unlock the secrets of agricultural commodities and discover how grains like wheat and corn can diversify and stabilize your investment portfolio. Join us as we explore the seasonal price patterns of these essential commodities, particularly in July, and learn how to capitalize on these fluctuations for positive alpha with minimal downside risk. Sal Gilbertie from Teucrium, an innovator in ag-based ETFs, shares his journey from trading energies at Cargill and highlights the underutilized potential of grains in investment strategies.Sal and I discuss why grains often fly under the radar in investment portfolios, despite their ubiquitous presence and significant economic impact. We delve into the complex factors affecting grain prices, such as government subsidies, inflation, and synthetic fertilizers, and how these elements contribute to the unique nature of grains as commodities. The conversation emphasizes the importance of considering grains for portfolio diversification, highlighting the stair-step change in corn prices following the Renewable Fuels Act.Explore the interconnectedness of global commodity markets, revealing how geopolitical tensions and energy costs can influence grain prices. We'll analyze how major exporters like Brazil, the U.S., and Ukraine play critical roles in the global grain supply chain. With insights into investment timing, historical trading patterns, and the resilience of corn, this episode is your comprehensive guide to the untapped potential of grain trading in today's complex market landscape.DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdictStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

What if the conventional wisdom you've trusted for years is actually leading you astray in your investments? Join us as we unravel the complexities of financial advising with Alex Shahidi, co-CIO of Evoke Advisors. With 25 years of experience, Alex shares how market expectations from the late 90s often clashed with reality, especially in the turbulent 2000s. Together, we explore the evolution of financial advising, transitioning from commission-driven stockbroking to a more client-focused advisory model that prioritizes independent thinking over firm profits.As we navigate the challenges of our current financial landscape, Alex and I discuss the crucial role of questioning established methods, like the traditional 60-40 portfolio model. The conversation highlights the dangers of recency bias and underscores the importance of examining historical market data to better understand investment cycles. We tackle the unpredictable nature of market trends and the necessity of preparing for unexpected events, all while advocating for a more diversified approach to portfolio management that aligns with individual risk tolerance.Dive into the world of risk parity and asset diversification as we break down strategies for building a robust investment portfolio. From the potential benefits of inflation hedge assets like commodities and gold to the framework of balancing risk and return across diverse asset classes, we emphasize the value of true diversification. Our discussion underscores the challenges faced by investors in maintaining a long-term approach amidst the constant influx of market information, ultimately advocating for a balanced investment strategy tailored to individual patience and perspective.DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Evoke Advisors and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in tStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

What if Canada never faced a housing bust because of unique factors at play? Join me, Michael Gayed, and our guest, Ron Butler, a seasoned mortgage expert with three decades of experience, as we tackle the intricate labyrinth of the Canadian housing market. You'll uncover the reasons behind Canada's resilience to a housing crisis, even when other countries were not so lucky. From low interest rates to foreign investments and a noteworthy influx of legal immigration, we unpack the elements that have skyrocketed home prices, leaving a significant number of Canadians grappling with affordability concerns.We delve into the growing frustrations among young Canadians who are exploring opportunities abroad due to high living costs. With a large landmass restricted by strict land use policies, Canada faces a unique housing scarcity issue. As real estate lending becomes a cornerstone of the Canadian banking system, supported by government backing to appease older voters, we also explore the alternative lending market that provides high-interest loans, supporting liquidity in the financial sector. This insight will illuminate how these dynamics play a critical role in shaping the country's real estate landscape.Finally, we navigate the pressing economic challenges that loom over the Canadian housing market. Stagnant wages, rising personal debt, and the challenges of refinancing at higher rates are leading to a financially strained public. As we discuss the potential for a real estate market correction and regional disparities, we question whether the once-resilient Canadian consumer remains as strong today. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis of what lies ahead for Canada's housing market and the implications for its citizens.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Unlock the secrets behind Japan's unexpected political shifts and their seismic impact on financial markets. Discover how Takaichi, a staunch right-wing conservative, has shaken up the political scene by opposing rate hikes and backing a weaker yen, leading to a surprising surge in the Nikkei index. Join Weston Nakamura, with his extensive institutional finance background, as he dissects these developments and offers insights into how political currents are swaying market movements, inviting you to join the conversation and deepen your understanding of these dynamics.We venture into the complexities of the yen carry trade and challenge conventional wisdom around its unwinding. Question the assumptions about the rapid closure of a multi-decade trend and the reliability of certain market indicators. We dive into the nuances of market correlations, revealing how experienced and novice traders alike navigate these conditions, and the significant role individual strategies play in shaping market outcomes.Turning our gaze to China, we explore the nation's strategic economic maneuvers in response to global monetary policies. Reflect on the parallels between China's actions and historic market behaviors, while considering the implications of state-led interventions on the global stage. Delve into the intricate dance between yen fluctuations and investor sentiment, especially for those with NISA accounts, and the political undercurrents that could reshape market behaviors. Join us for a compelling narrative that intertwines market analysis with political strategy, offering a rich tapestry of insights for every market enthusiast.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Join Justin Huhn, a former technical momentum trader turned nuclear energy advocate, as he unpacks the transformative potential of nuclear power in the U.S. He argues that nuclear energy is the safest and most efficient electricity source, highlighting bipartisan support from the Trump to Biden administrations. Explore the revival of reactors and the rise of small modular reactors amid increasing electricity demands. Justin also offers insights on uranium investment strategies and the impact of global dynamics, particularly China's nuclear ambitions.

Chris Porter, an expert from John Burns Research and Consulting, delves into the intricacies of today’s housing market. He reveals why regions like Orange County are seeing inflated prices despite lower mortgage rates. The conversation uncovers how shifting demographics, particularly immigration and declining birth rates, significantly influence housing demand and affordability. Porter also discusses policy proposals for first-time homebuyers and the impact of economic factors on suburban growth and rental dynamics.

Alejandro Yela, a polymath skilled in law, economics, and investment banking, dives into the fascinating world of microcap stocks. He shares his journey from restructuring companies to high-reward investment strategies. Alejandro reveals a standout investment in Carlytics, which boasts a unique data monopoly. He emphasizes the importance of patience and qualitative analysis, debunking myths surrounding microcap volatility. Listeners will learn about navigating cultural barriers and the critical factors for identifying hidden gems in this often-overlooked market.

Mark Newton, Chief Technical Strategist at Fundstrat, shares expert insights on the evolving US energy market and its investment implications. He discusses a bearish outlook for crude oil amidst rising supply and highlights potential opportunities in gold and silver with impending Fed rate cuts. Newton emphasizes the growing importance of diversification in today’s markets, analyzing recent shifts in tech and value stocks, particularly in the financial and industrial sectors. He also explores the impacts of interest rates and global economic influences, including China.

Harley Bassman, a Wall Street veteran with a rich background from Merrill Lynch to Simplify Asset Management, dives deep into the bond market's dynamics. He elucidates how Fed funds rates relate to inflation and long-term bonds, shedding light on market stability. The discussion transitions to innovative derivative strategies within ETFs, making sophisticated tools accessible even to everyday investors. Bassman also examines the complexities of mortgage rates, their effects on housing, and the current economic outlook, providing valuable insights for savvy traders.

Rick Rule, a luminary in natural resource finance, shares his expert insights on economic dynamics and investment strategies. He highlights the historic failures of price controls, drawing parallels to New York City’s rent regulations. Rick discusses the implications of recent Federal Reserve rate cuts on gold prices and the importance of investing in precious metals amid economic uncertainty. He also addresses the critical under-investment in commodities, effective leadership in mining stocks, and offers personal investment strategies for long-term growth.