Establish the Edge Fantasy Football

In Part 5 of a special offseason projection series, Ben Gretch and Mike Leone analyze the NFC South and turn their projections process into actionable advice.More specifically, the pair dive into:-Ronald Jones is undervalued-Atlanta was the nut landing spot for Kyle Pitts-Both DJ Moore and Robby Anderson are targets at ADP-What does life without Drew Brees look like for the Saints?Please make sure to check out Ben's work over at https://bengretch.substack.com/ and Mike's work at https://establishtherun.com/.

JJ Zachariason of FanDuel/NumberFire joins Mike Leone to talk about the evolution of the QB position in season-long fantasy football.JJ  popularized the late round QB (LRQB) strategy nearly a decade ago, but the 2020 season shined a light on a group of second-tier elite QBs who both separated more from their peers than in previous seasons and did so in a somewhat predictable way based on their ADP.JJ and Mike analyze that 2020 season and discuss:-Is LRQB dead?-Will that pool of second-tier elite QBs expand as teams embrace more pass aggressiveness and more QB rushing?-Why streaming is a part of the LRQB strategy but not synonymous with it-3 pockets of the draft where it makes sense to draft QBs and who those QBs areYou can read more about JJ and Mike's thoughts about the QB position in 2021 in articles written for their perspective sites:-JJ on "Is the Late-Round Quarterback Strategy Dead?": https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/38979/fantasy-football-is-the-late-round-quarterback-strategy-dead-Mike on "Late-Round QB is Back": https://establishtherun.com/late-round-qb-is-back/You can follow Mike on Twitter at @2hats1mike and JJ at @LateRoundQB.

In Part 4 of a special offseason projection series, Ben Gretch and Mike Leone analyze the AFC East and turn their projections process into actionable advice.More specifically, the pair dive into:-Stefon Diggs as the overall WR1-The market being too harsh on the Jets-Hunter Henry as an undervalued TE target-Whether or not Jaylen Waddle is a draft target in a crowded WR roomPlease make sure to check out Ben's work over at https://bengretch.substack.com/ and Mike's work at https://establishtherun.com/.

In Part 3 of a special offseason projection series, Ben Gretch and Mike Leone analyze the AFC West and turn their projections process into actionable advice.More specifically, the pair dive into:-What to expect from the KC WRs outside of Tyreek Hill-Why the Raiders offense will regress-Austin Ekeler's high end upside despite an unclear goal line role -KJ Hamler as the best "Best Ball" value of the Broncos WRsPlease make sure to check out Ben's work over at https://bengretch.substack.com/ and Mike's work at https://establishtherun.com/.

In Part 2 of a special offseason projection series, Ben Gretch and Mike Leone analyze the AFC North and turn their projections process into actionable advice.More specifically, the pair dive into:-Why the Browns passing offense could be more explosive this season-How to deal with an outlier team like the Baltimore Ravens-The wide range of outcomes on the Pittsburgh Steelers offense-Why it's wheels up for Burrow-Chase-Higgins-Boyd stacks in 2021Please make sure to check out Ben's work over at https://bengretch.substack.com/ and Mike's work at https://establishtherun.com/.TimestampsCleveland Browns Projections 01:55Baltimore Ravens Projections 25:53Pittsburgh Steelers Projections 54:59Cincinnati Bengals Projections 1:08:22

In Part 1 of a special offseason projection series, Ben Gretch and Mike Leone talk about their projections process, the pros and cons of projections, and how to maximize actionable information when making projections.After this high level conversation, the pair dive into their AFC South Projections, including:-The impact of Julio Jones on the Titans from a fantasy perspective-How to deal with spread out target shares in the Colts offense-Why Laviska Shenault may still be undervalued-Whether or not anyone on the Houston Texans is worth draftingPlease make sure to check out Ben's work over at https://bengretch.substack.com/ and Mike's work at https://establishtherun.com/.TimestampsProjections Podcast Intro 00:18Tennessee Titans Projections 21:26Indianapolis Colts Projections 52:40Jacksonville Jaguars Projections 1:08:44Houston Texans Projections 1:25:05

Adam Levitan, Justin Herzig, and Mike Leone review an ETR subscriber's Best Ball Mania draft. The trio diagnose what went right. what went wrong, and teach viewers the best way to approach this tournament.In this show we discuss:- High level strategy for the Best Ball Mania II tournament- How to structure a team correctly- Player evaluations and takesWatch the full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=96a5wimjvdoNOTE: All ETR Draft Kit subscribers will get a free credit (up to $35) to use on Underdog Fantasy: https://underdogfantasy.com/?_branch_match_id=835499789598948157&utm_source=partnerFor details, click here: https://establishtherun.com/how-to-claim-your-free-10-underdog-fantasy-credit/

Mike Leone and Anthony Amico talk macro strategy for Dynasty Startup drafts. -Know Your League Settings (studs and duds drafting or drafting for depth)-Have A Goal In Mind (create dynamics where a pocket of players have more value to you than the rest of your league)-Understand Premium Assets (know your league mates to ensure you draft players whose trade value will hold up over time - always be liquid!)-Fade RBs Early (RBs have shorter, less predictable shelf lives than QB and WR)-Don't Be Afraid to Deal Future Picks (sell future picks and employ a win now and in the future strategy by stockpiling young talent)You can read Anthony's full article on the subject here: https://establishtherun.com/5-tips-for-dynasty-startup-drafts/

Mike Leone talks with Erik Beimfohr of RotoGrinders about translating his contrarian and successful DFS mindset to best ball tournaments. More specifically the two talk about:-The market overvaluing projectible volume-When to draft your tournament teams-Why extreme strategies are the best strategies in drafts-Why drafting different than your league mates is important-Antonio Gibson as the easiest Round 2 upside bet-The 49ers unique upside and potential to lead the league in points scored-Small edges you can take advantage of via playoff schedulesHere is a link to Mike's RB strategy this year in best ball tournaments: https://establishtherun.com/leone-best-ball-rb-strategy/

Mike brings on Jack Miller of Establish The Run to discuss the RB Dead Zone and RB Upside. Jack tells us what the RB Dead Zone means and why we should generally avoid RBs in Rounds 3-6 in favor of WRs. Jack also helps us to quantify late-round RB upside and why the market has it wrong. Mike and Jack use this information to find some RBs we should be targeting this season in best ball and some we should be fading.Jack's RB Dead Zone Article: https://establishtherun.com/miller-the-running-back-dead-zone/Jack's RB Dead Zone Fades and Exceptions: https://establishtherun.com/miller-running-back-dead-zone-fades/Jack's RB Upside Article: https://establishtherun.com/miller-a-price-sensitive-definition-of-upside/