The Investopedia Express with Caleb Silver

Steve Eisman, famed for his role in both the book and movie 'The Big Short', discusses why he isn’t currently shorting the market. He analyzes the differences between today’s market volatility and past crises while exploring the impacts of the ongoing tariff war. Eisman reflects on Steve Carell’s portrayal of him, which has significantly affected his life, and shares insights on economic shifts, job resourcing challenges, and the dominance of the U.S. dollar amidst global financial changes.

Liberation Day last week brought the biggest selloff in the stock market since the early days of the pandemic as investors couldn't get out of stocks fast enough, putting a swift end to the bull market that began running in October of 2022. Fed Chair Jerome Powell preaches patience as the impacts of the tariffs are still unknown, but consumers and investors haven't been this pessimistic in years. We lay out three scenarios for what might happen next in the tariff war, but one thing is for certain - no one - not even our elected officials, really knows. Plus, the Fed Chair shares his favorite economic indicator and Grateful Dead albums.LINKS for show noteshttps://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/https://sabew.org/https://www.investopedia.com/stocks-just-had-one-of-their-worst-weeks-of-this-century-update-11709694https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11708734 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Investors have been bracing for, and selling ahead of April 2nd, dubbed "Liberation Day", by The White House, when hundreds of billions of dollars in tariffs are set to be imposed on Canada, Mexico and China. That has driven consumer and investor sentiment down to multi-year lows as we ready ourselves for more inflation and profit pressure. Meanwhile, the rise of a new coalition of autocracies called the CRINK's has been very busy doing business with one another in Russia, China, Iran and North Korea, and they are doing it without the Dollar. What a declining greenback means for the strength of the U.S. economy as it enters a new era of protectionism.LINKS for show notes:https://www.bis.doc.gov/index.php/other-areas/office-of-technology-evaluation-ote/section-232-investigationshttps://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/protectionism.asphttps://globaltradealert.org/https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11704419https://www.investopedia.com/investors-are-gripped-by-fear-and-distrust-but-hold-onto-favorite-stocks-11703339https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lnG2EvqRKbA Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Stocks rallied last week following dovish comments and forecasts from the Federal Reserve, but Chair Powell said inflation may be 'transitory', which brought back nasty flashbacks from 2021. Investors are as bearish as ever, but retail investors have been buying the dip on our favorite stocks that are way off their recent highs. Is our timing terrible, or have we decided that the market has bottomed and the tariffs that go into effect next week will just be a minor adjustment? Plus, what the SKEW Index is telling us, and what to expect in the stock market and the economy this week.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES:https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11700527https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/skew-index.asphttps://www.cboe.com/us/indices/dashboard/skew/https://www.carsongroup.com/insights/blog/four-reasons-not-to-panic-and-sell-right-now/https://www.investopedia.com/dot-plot-spotlight-fed-sees-interest-rate-cuts-coming-11699946 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, shares her insights on investing amidst ongoing tariff and policy challenges. She discusses the surprising outperformance of global markets compared to the US, driven by shifting economic conditions. Seema emphasizes the importance of diversification, especially within the tech sector, while highlighting risks of recession. She also addresses moral hazard in economic crises and the crucial role of compounding for long-term wealth growth. Tune in for expert strategies to navigate these unpredictable financial waters!

The S&P 500 fell into a correction last week as sentiment soured to multi-year lows amid tariff and economic policy uncertainty. Don't look now, but credit spreads are widening, pushing the Fed into the caution zone ahead of this week's pivotal meeting on interest rates. Plus, six ways to protect your portfolio if you can't sleep at night, and believe it or not, a big IPO is heading our way.Links for show notes: https://site.warrington.ufl.edu/ritter/files/IPO-Statistics.pdfhttps://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2003292/000162828025012824/klarnagroupplcf-1.htmhttps://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.htmlhttps://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11696253https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/creditspread.asp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Another week of selling as the stock market suffers its worst week since early September sending the Nasdaq into correction territory and triggering the very rare and very dangerous Titanic Syndrome. Plus, the headline numbers and the Fed Chair both say the economy is in a good place, but that depends where you live inside of it. We break down the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly inside the economy today, and explain why 'stagflation' is back in the conversation.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTEShttps://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stagflation.asphttps://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnowhttps://www.investopedia.com/fed-chair-powell-confirms-wait-and-see-approach-to-rate-cuts-11693204https://www.investopedia.com/job-market-bounced-back-in-february-11692802https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hindenburgomen.asp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

February was a short and brutal month across the capital markets as the momentum trade into Big Tech and A.I. stocks reversed, leaving a pile-up of major losses across investors' favorite stocks. The White House dropped a new executive order to build a 'Strategic Crypto Reserve', breathing some bullishness back into the beleaguered crypto patch, and Wall Street has dusted off an old, but risky strategy called 'Portable Alpha', to find the next moonshot stocks.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES:https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11687706https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/portablealpha.asphttps://www.investopedia.com/trump-says-canada-mexico-tariffs-will-take-effect-next-week-china-rate-to-double-11687476https://www.economy.com/economicview/analysis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

A swift drop in investor and consumer sentiment rattled the ‘Immaculate Rotation’ from growth to value stocks, sending the stock market off of record highs. But that hasn’t stopped retail traders from rushing back into the stock market at levels approaching 2021 highs in search of dips across mega cap tech, A.I. and consumer discretionary stocks. Is our timing as bad as it was during Roaring Kitty’s heydays? Plus, Warren Buffett’s annual shareholder letter dropped Saturday with its usual dose of wisdom and humility. But it’s hard to be humble when your holding companies generated $47 billion in operating profit last year, and you are sitting on $343 billion in cash.https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11683487https://www.investopedia.com/berkshire-hathaway-earnings-q4-fy24-warren-buffett-11684624https://www.investopedia.com/featured/original/investopedia-explainshttps://www.bespokepremium.com/interactive/research/think-big-blog/https://www.vandaresearch.com/news/https://berkshirehathaway.com/2024ar/2024ar.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Stocks snapped a two-week, battling through tariff and inflation headlines, to come within a fraction of all-time highs. What's driving the market higher now, what's different about today's rally, and why are global stocks spiking in the age of American Exceptionalism? Plus, welcome to the age of Electricity as demand to power the data centers and robotics revolution is set to soar to new heights, bringing power stocks along with it. And, the most important words being spoken on earnings conference calls tell us a lot about the precarious mental state of corporate America. One of the most important is in Latin.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTEShttps://www.iea.org/news/growth-in-global-electricity-demand-is-set-to-accelerate-in-the-coming-years-as-power-hungry-sectors-expandhttps://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asphttps://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11679263https://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/operatingearnings.asphttps://www.tker.co/https://bilello.blog/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices