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Superinvestors and the Art of Worldly Wisdom

Latest episodes

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Dec 2, 2020 • 1h 2min

#37: Keith McCullough On The Power Of Betting On Yourself

At first blush, Keith McCullough may come off as just another brash and cocksure trader. Dig a bit deeper, though, and you'll find a calculating iconoclast driven by a deep desire to both continually improve as an investor and, ultimately, change Wall Street for the better. After starting in a job running buy and sell tickets, Keith worked his way up to running a portfolio and eventually to founding his own hedge fund. Today, he runs Hedgeye, a research service established with the goal of giving individual investors a look behind the curtain of a major macro hedge fund environment. In this conversation, Keith discusses how he developed his four quadrant macro framework that informs all of his investing decisions and how he uses it today. He also reveals how volatility can be used as a buy or sell signal and how getting fired taught him the greatest life lesson of all: to bet on himself. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
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Nov 11, 2020 • 1h 8min

#36: Peter Atwater On The Coming Age Of 'Screwtiny'

There are very few truly unique thinkers in the world and almost none of them regularly train their gaze on Wall Street. Peter Atwater is one of those rare few. Whenever a major news story hits the tape, it's Peter's opinion I look to to begin to understand what it means for markets and the world because of the grounded and clear-headed insight he brings to the table. Three years ago, on this show he accurately forecasted the current "backlash era" we now find ourselves in. In this episode, he discusses where we stand in this process today. Peter also postulates how companies and markets might fare amidst the coming "age of screwtiny." For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
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Oct 7, 2020 • 1h

#35: Leigh Goehring On The Generational Opportunity In Energy Stocks Today

You could say that natural resources run in Leigh Goering's blood. The son of two oil and gas engineers, Leigh has spent nearly his entire life studying markets and investments related to commodities. Over the past 30 years, he has become one of the most brilliant and passionate analysts and money managers in the industry. In this conversation, Leigh shares the details of his macro and micro research process and how he applies them to investing in natural resource stocks. He also details the case for a coming energy crisis and why energy stocks present investors with a generational opportunity today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
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Sep 16, 2020 • 1h 3min

#34: Michael Green On Detecting The Greatest Value In Markets Today

Mike Green has been in the right place at the right time for his entire investment career and not just by way of good fortune. Mike has an uncanny knack for finding value in the markets. After jumping into the small cap value game in 1999 and taking advantage of one of the best runs for value as a factor in history he moved on to explore opportunities in hedging via derivatives in 2006, just prior to the Great Financial Crisis. Shortly thereafter, massive mispricings in the option market driven by the sudden popularity of tail hedging strategies gave him a new source for profit. Then, well prior to the volmageddon episode of early-2018, he became aware of the fragility created by the increasingly crowded short volatility trade and designed a strategy to profit from its demise. As his track record demonstrates, Mike is one of the most insightful market detectives in the world and in this conversation he reveals where he finds the greatest value in the markets today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
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Apr 22, 2020 • 1h 9min

#33: Bill Fleckenstein On Profiting From Central Bank Mistakes

It's been three years since I made the trek up to Seattle to interview celebrated short seller Bill Fleckenstein on the topics of, "Central Bankers, Financial Bubbles and White Burgundy." With a global pandemic now threatening to burst these bubbles, forcing central bankers into even more extreme monetary policies, I thought it was an opportune time to reconnect with Bill and get his thoughts on how these things are evolving and how investors might seek to profit in their midst. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
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Feb 19, 2020 • 1h 4min

#32: Christopher Cole On Appreciating Risk

Christopher Cole is one of the foremost thinkers and practitioners in the world of volatility trading. After beginning his career in Hollywood as a cinematographer, Chris took an interest in options trading. Eventually, this led to a job at Merrill Lynch where he was able to explore the subject of risk further and in a professional capacity. After personally profiting through employing his volatility strategies during the Great Financial Crisis, Chris founded Artemis Capital Management in order to offer his services to institutional and hedge fund investors. In this episode, Chris discusses his personal evolution as a trader and hedge fund manager and also shares his unique insights into portfolio construction gleaned from an extensive study of market history his firm recently conducted. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
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Dec 4, 2019 • 1h 5min

#31: Rob Arnott On Engineering A Better Index

Rob Arnott is one of the most accomplished and respected quantitative analysts in the world. He has written over 100 academic papers on everything from tactical asset allocation to value investing. In this episode, Rob discusses his evolution as an investor, from tailoring his college major in the late-1970's to best position him for a career in quantitative investing to the founding of his firm, Research Affiliates, in 2002. He also shares the details of the uniquely successful indexing strategy he developed over a decade ago to fix the major problems with the most popular form of passive investing and to improve on its long run performance. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
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Sep 25, 2019 • 1h 13min

#30: Meb Faber On The Future Of Investment Management

You would be hard-pressed to find anyone who has done more to educate and inform individual investors about the fundamentals of effective investing than Meb Faber. Over the past decade and longer, through books like Global Asset Allocation, Meb has taken key concepts, which Wall Street has suggested for years are too complex for individuals to understand let alone implement, and made them easily accessible for almost anyone to quickly absorb. In this conversation, Meb discusses why passive investing as we know it today is not nearly as efficient as most believe, how owning just one fund allows him to be far more effectively diversified than investors who own dozens, why the investment industry as we know it today is in terminal decline and how investors and finance professionals alike should position themselves to take advantage of its evolution in coming years. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
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Aug 14, 2019 • 55min

#29: Louis-Vincent Gave On Staying One Step Ahead Of The Markets

When it comes to global macro investing, Louis-Vincent Gave is one of the most interesting thinkers in the world. His firm, GaveKal, puts out some of the most compelling research on Wall Street and beyond and, as CEO, Louis' unique investment process is at the heart of it. In this episode, he discusses his family tradition in both the French military and in the capital markets, how he developed his own signature investment framework and some of the key themes driving his current views on markets around the globe. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
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Jul 10, 2019 • 1h 1min

#28: Michael Oliver On Why Momentum Is Truth In Markets

Michael Oliver has been studying markets for over four decades but it was the 1987 stock market crash that became his "aha!" moment and converted him to what he calls "momentum structural analysis." It was his early work in the area that prepared him for that massive decline in stock prices and the success of its forecasting ability that gave him the confidence to pursue it full time. Many technical analysts like to say, "price is truth," but to Michael price can be deceiving and it's only by isolating the momentum in the market that reveals the truth about the underlying trend. In this episode, Michael shares the details of his unique research and analysis process and discusses how his foundation in political philosophy ended up leading him to it. He also reveals what it says about the current market and economic environment and how it eerily rhymes with some earlier times in his career. For links and notes related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

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