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My Worst Investment Ever Podcast

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May 27, 2024 • 35min

Mark Kohler - Take Ownership of What You’re Doing Wrong

BIO: Mark Kohler, M.PR.A., C.P.A., J.D., is a highly respected Founding and Senior Partner at KKOS Lawyers, specializing in tax, legal, wealth, estate, and asset protection planning.STORY: Mark and his partner bought two properties to put up on Airbnb. The first property needed just a bit of modification, but the second one required far more. It took them more time and money than expected to get it ready for renting.LEARNING: Take ownership of your mistakes. If a problem occurs, admit it, step up, and try to solve it—don’t run away or stick your head in the sand. The majority of trouble we face in our lives will be caused by ourselves. “When you’re pivoting in the face of a disaster or a bad investment, the first thing to do is give yourself some grace.”Mark Kohler Guest profileMark Kohler, M.PR.A., C.P.A., J.D., is a highly respected Founding and Senior Partner at KKOS Lawyers, specializing in tax, legal, wealth, estate, and asset protection planning.With a reputation as a YouTube personality, best-selling author, and national speaker, Mark is dedicated to guiding clients through complex legal and financial landscapes to achieve their American Dream.He also serves as the co-founder and Board Member of the Directed IRA Trust Company and has launched the Main Street Certified Tax Advisor Program to train CPAs and Enrolled Agents nationwide.As the co-host of The Main Street Business Podcast and The Directed IRA Podcast, he simplifies intricate topics like legal and tax strategy, asset protection, retirement, investing, and wealth growth.Mark Kohler’s commitment to helping entrepreneurs and small business owners attain success and financial security has made him a trusted expert in the field. He has helped countless individuals and businesses navigate the financial and business world with confidence.Worst investment everMark and his partner bought two properties in Arizona to turn into Airbnbs. They aimed to modify them over two to three months and set them up on the Airbnb platform. They hoped to start renting them out during the winter, which is a great Airbnb season. The first property was beautiful and simply needed yard furnishings.At the same time, 10 blocks away was the other property, which they thought would need some minor work, just like the first property. A few weeks later, they realized the property would take a ton of work, but the train had left the station, and there was no turning back. And so the damage began. The two partners added a lot of value to this property, but it was far more than they wanted to bite off and chew. Modifying the property took more time and money than expected.Lessons learnedYou can make a good investment, and something outside your control happens.Take ownership of what you’re doing wrong.If a problem occurs, admit it, step up, and try to solve it—don’t run away or stick your head in the sand.Andrew’s takeawaysThe majority of trouble we face in our lives will be caused by ourselves.When you do something wrong, admit it to yourself as a first step.If you cause damage to another person, you must amend and resolve it.You can’t get help on something if you haven’t admitted it.If your process is good and you keep improving, you progress.Actionable adviceWhen you are pivoting in the face of a disaster or a bad investment, recognize that it’s not the end of the world, give yourself some grace, look for the silver lining, and get to work.Mark’s recommendationsIf you’re in the Airbnb market, Mark recommends reading Daniel Rusteen’s books. He also recommends his podcast, The Main Street Business Podcast, which has some great interviews about Main Street business and investing strategies.No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsMark’s number one goal for the next 12 months is to dial in the Main Street business tax pro certification. He wants to have 1,000 members by the end of the year. These are 1,000 business owners, tax professionals, and legal and financial professionals looking for a group of like-minded individuals and tribes.Parting words “Don’t give up no matter what.”Mark Kohler [spp-transcript] Connect with Mark KohlerLinkedInTwitterFacebookInstagramPodcastYouTube WebsiteBooksAndrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramThreadsTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast
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May 20, 2024 • 42min

Jusper Machogu - Africa Needs More Fossil Fuels Not Aid

BIO: Jusper Machogu is a farmer in rural Kenya, an agricultural engineer by profession, and an advocate for Fossil Fuels for Africa.STORY: In this episode of My Wost Podcast Ever, Andrew and Jusper discuss the potential of fossil fuels to drive economic growth and development in Africa.LEARNING: Africa needs more fossil fuels not aid. “60-70% of our population depends on agriculture for livelihood. So one of the easiest ways to improve livelihoods is to improve agriculture by having abundant, reliable energy rates.”Jusper Machogu Guest profileJusper Machogu is a farmer in rural Kenya, an agricultural engineer by profession, and an advocate for Fossil Fuels for Africa.Why Africa needs fossil fuelsIn this episode of My Wost Podcast Ever, Andrew and Jusper discuss the potential of fossil fuels to drive economic growth and development in Africa. Jusper argued that reliable and affordable energy is crucial for progress. Jusper is all about economic development in Africa and wants Africans to have what the rest of the world has. He wants Africa to be able to feed itself, to have access to reliable, abundant energy, lots of food, and economic development.Jusper says that Africa needs lots of fossil fuels to achieve this, and Africans have plenty of them, so they don’t need much aid. What they need is investors in Africa. For instance, Africans can use fossil fuels to power their industries, such as manufacturing and agriculture, leading to job creation and economic growth. Africans can also use fossil fuels to generate electricity, which will improve access to energy and enhance productivity. These are just a few examples of how fossil fuels can be harnessed for African self-sufficiency and empowerment.Jusper emphasizes that once Africa utilizes nitrogenous fertilizer, it will not only produce more food but also significantly improve livelihoods and economic development. He points out that Africa has ample fossil fuels to produce the fertilizer it needs, underlining the importance of African self-sufficiency in this crucial development aspect.According to Jusper, another way Africa can attain economic development is by adding value to the food it produces and employing its people.Jusper sheds light on the detrimental influence of international organizations like the IMF and World Bank in African countries. He argues that their policies, instead of fostering development, have led to increased hunger and economic hardship. This stark reality underscores the urgent need for change and a shift in focus towards empowering Africans to drive their own development.Parting words “We don’t need a lot of aid. What we need is investors in Africa. Let’s drill our oil, tap into our natural gas, and mine our coal. Let’s use that to develop ourselves. So that’s what I’m saying: fossil fuels for Africa.”Jusper Machogu [spp-transcript] Connect with Jusper MachoguTwitterSubstackAndrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramThreadsTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast
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May 13, 2024 • 24min

August Biniaz - Be a Specialist Not a Jack of All Trades

BIO: August Biniaz is the Co-founder and Chief Investment Officer of CPI Capital. CPI Capital is a real estate private equity firm with the mandate to acquire multifamily assets while partnering with passive investors as limited partners.STORY: Upon looking back and reflecting on the worst investment decision August has ever made, he says it’s his time, shiny object syndrome, getting excited about new investment ideas, and then putting a lot of time into learning about those ideas and losing that time.LEARNING: Don’t be a jack of all trades and a master of none. Focus on your primary business. Stay in your lane. “Being focused is probably the greatest asset anyone could have when it comes to success in business or otherwise.”August Biniaz Guest profileAugust Biniaz is the Co-founder and Chief Investment Officer of CPI Capital. CPI Capital is a real estate private equity firm with the mandate to acquire multifamily assets while partnering with passive investors as limited partners. August was instrumental in the closing of over $208 million of multifamily assets since inception.August educates real estate investors through webinars, YouTube shows, weekly newsletters, and one-on-one coaching. He is the host of Real Estate Investing Demystified PodCast.Worst investment everUpon looking back and reflecting on the worst investment decision August has ever made, he says it’s his time, shiny object syndrome, getting excited about new investment ideas, and then putting a lot of time into learning about those ideas and losing that time.In one incident, when crypto came around, August got involved in the crypto world, trying to connect with investors, creating businesses within the crypto world, and putting his brainpower and time into learning about this new asset class. However, August went down a rabbit hole that took him away from his main focus.In another incident, an asset class came across his desk. This was the build-to-rent single-family rentals or BTRSFR. After the great financial crisis in 2008, single-family homes in the US were selling for pennies on the dollar. Wall Street got involved, knowing that the market would eventually turn around, and started buying portfolios of single-family homes. However, as they managed these properties, they realized they were handled similarly to multifamily ones. So, they created this new asset class: build to rent single-family rentals.August brought this idea to investors in his database and invested in a development project. It was a former purchase contract in which August partnered with a developer. This deal created some difficulties for his investors, partners, and himself. He never closed on that deal. This deal diverted August’s focus from his main business, and he lost opportunities there.Lessons learnedBeing a specialist is very important if you’re dealing with investors and have partners. Don’t be a jack of all trades and a master of none.Focus on your primary business.Stay in your lane.Have tunnel vision in the business that you’re part ofUnderstand what’s happening in macro, economic, and political situations.Andrew’s takeawaysWhen things aren’t working well, it’s apparent that you may need to find something else or double down on your efforts to fix them.Actionable adviceIf you’re in the process of building a business or you already own a great business, don’t put your attention and focus into something that’s totally outside of your sandbox. Instead, try to focus on that business you’re already building.August’s recommendationsAugust recommends listening to the My Worst Investment Podcast, learning how entrepreneurship, startups, investing, and other asset classes work, watching YouTube shows, and reading books. He is happy to provide 30 minutes of his time if you quote the My Worst Investment Podcast.No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsAugust’s number one goal for the next 12 months is to hit his target of two deals in 2024. On the personal side, he’s moving to the US and setting up a base in Florida.Parting words “If you’re looking for risk-averse advice, talk to your parents. They’re always risk averse. And anytime you’re looking for risky advice, talk to your drunk friend.”August Biniaz [spp-transcript] Connect with August BiniazLinkedInFacebookTwitterInstagramPodcastYouTubeWebsiteAndrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramThreadsTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast
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May 7, 2024 • 35min

William Browder - Don’t Go to Russia

BIO: William Browder is the CEO of Hermitage Capital Management, Head of the Global Magnitsky Justice Campaign, and author of Red Notice and Freezing Order.STORY: Bill moved to Moscow at the age of 31 and was the only Westerner there with any Wall Street skills. That led him to become the largest foreign investor in the country. His decision to go to Russia was the worst investment of his life. Although Bill made a fortune for his clients and a smaller portion for himself, he wishes he never moved to Russia because a lot of people have died, and a lot of lives have been ruined.LEARNING: Don’t go to Russia. “My friend Vladimir is the second most important political prisoner in Russia, and I’m desperately trying to get them out. Hopefully, I’ll succeed.”William Browder Guest profileWilliam Browder is the CEO of Hermitage Capital Management, Head of the Global Magnitsky Justice Campaign, and author of Red Notice and Freezing Order.  Bill was once Russia’s largest foreign portfolio investor until being declared “a threat to national security” in 2005 for exposing corruption in Russian state-owned companies.In 2008, Mr. Browder’s lawyer, Sergei Magnitsky, uncovered a massive fraud committed by Russian government officials stealing US$230 million of state taxes and was subsequently arrested, imprisoned without trial, and systematically tortured.Sergei Magnitsky died in prison on November 16, 2009. Ever since, Bill Browder has led the Global Magnitsky Campaign for governments around the world to impose targeted visa bans and asset freezes on human rights abusers and highly corrupt officials, introducing the passage of the Sergei Magnitsky Accountability Act in 2012, & the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act 2016. Which has since been adopted by 11 countries, including the USA, UK, Canada, and New Zealand.Worst investment everDuring his teenage rebellion, Bill faced a unique challenge, how to rebel from a family of communists. Undeterred, he hatched a daring plan to don a suit and tie and embrace capitalism. His graduation from Stanford Business School in 1989 coincided with the fall of the Berlin Wall, a moment that sparked a profound realization. With his grandfather’s communist legacy and the Berlin Wall’s collapse, Bill set his sights on an audacious goal to become the leading capitalist in Eastern Europe.Bill aimed to become the largest investor in that part of the world. He eventually achieved that goal at the very young age of 25. Bill discovered the Russian privatization program, which basically gave everything away for free.Bill moved to Moscow at the age of 31 in 1986, and he was the only Westerner there with any Wall Street skills. That led him to become the largest foreign investor in the country.While initially lucrative, Bill’s decision to move to Russia proved to be a double-edged sword. He made a fortune for his clients and a smaller portion for himself, but the cost was high. Lives were lost, and many were left in ruins. Bill reflects on this, considering it the worst investment of his life.Lessons learnedThere are two choices for people who want to rebuild Russia: You can either go back and become part of the criminal enterprise or don’t go back. If you go back and try to fix it, you’ll become an enemy of the regime and go to jail. So, you can either become imprisoned or become a criminal. Better avoid the whole thing.Andrew’s takeawaysMost people go along with whatever’s happening without even questioning it, and the ones who question it leave it and keep going.No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsBill’s number one goal for the next 12 months is to get his friend Vladimir Kara Mirza out of prison before he dies.Parting words “Don’t go to Russia.”William Browder [spp-transcript] Connect with William BrowderLinkedInTwitter WebsiteAndrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramThreadsTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast
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Apr 29, 2024 • 34min

ISMS 41: Larry Swedroe – Focus on Managing Risk Not Returns

In this episode of Investment Strategy Made Simple (ISMS), Andrew gets into part two of his discussion with Larry Swedroe: Ignorance is Bliss. Today, they discuss three chapters of Larry’s book Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make and How to Avoid Them. In this series, they discuss mistake number 32: Are You Subject to the Money Illusion? Mistake 33: Do You Believe Demographics Are Destiny? And mistake 34: Do You Follow a Prudent Process When Choosing a Financial Advisory Firm?LEARNING: Understand how the money illusion works to avoid making financial mistakes. Focus on managing risk and not trying to manage returns. Past performance is meaningless for active managers. “What amazes me is that I can’t think of anybody who has ever asked the advisor to show them how they invest personally. That’s an absolute necessity because if they’re not putting their money where their mouth is and eating their own cooking, why should you?”Larry Swedroe In this episode of Investment Strategy Made Simple (ISMS), Andrew gets into part two of his discussion with Larry Swedroe: Ignorance is Bliss. Larry is the head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners. You can learn more about Larry’s Worst Investment Ever story on Ep645: Beware of Idiosyncratic Risks.Larry deeply understands the world of academic research and investing, especially risk. Today, Andrew and Larry discuss three chapters of Larry’s book Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make and How to Avoid Them. In this series, they discuss mistake number 32: Are You Subject to the Money Illusion? Mistake 33: Do You Believe Demographics Are Destiny? And mistake 34: Do You Follow a Prudent Process When Choosing a Financial Advisory Firm?Mistake number 32: Are You Subject to the Money Illusion?According to Larry, one of the illusions with great potential for creating investment mistakes is the money illusion. Money illusion occurs when people confuse inflation returns, nominal or real returns, and how the economy is impacted differently. It has great potential for creating mistakes because it relates to one of the most popular indicators used by investors to determine if the market is undervalued or overvalued, known as the Fed Model.The problem with the Fed Model, leading to a false conclusion, is that it fails to consider that inflation has a different impact on corporate earnings than it does on the return on fixed-income instruments. Over the long term, the nominal growth rate of corporate earnings has been in line with the economy’s nominal growth rate, and the real growth rate of corporate earnings has been in line with the economy’s real growth. Thus, the real growth rate of earnings is not impacted by inflation in the long term. On the other hand, the yield to maturity on a 10-year bond is a nominal return, and, therefore, the real return on the bond will be negatively impacted by inflation. The error of comparing a number that is not impacted by inflation to one that is leads to the “money illusion.”Larry says the empirical evidence and logic are pretty simple: Corporate earnings grow in line with the GDP. If they grew much faster, they would dominate the whole economy, and there’d be nothing left for wages.While gaining knowledge of how a magical illusion works has the negative effect of ruining the illusion, understanding the “magic” of financial illusions is beneficial to investors as it should help them avoid mistakes. In the case of the money illusion, understanding how the money illusion is created will prevent investors from believing that an environment of low (high) interest rates allows for either high (low) valuations or for high (low) future stock returns. Instead, if the current level of prices is high (a high P/E ratio), that should lead one to conclude that future returns to equities are likely to be lower than has historically been the case and vice versa. It is also important to note that this does not mean that investors should either avoid equities because they are “overvalued” or increase their allocations because they are “undervalued.” It simply means that if the P/E is higher than the historical average, investors should not expect future returns to be as great as their historical average.Mistake number 33: Do You Believe Demographics Are Destiny?Unlike economic forecasting, demographic forecasting can be considered a science. It’s for this reason that Larry cautions investors to avoid the mistake of confusing information with value-added information. He says before leaping to invest in individual stocks or mutual funds based on any guru’s insightful analysis, investors need to consider the following:Is this guru the only person who knows the demand for health care—for example—will rise as the population ages?Aren’t all investors aware of this? Doesn’t the market already incorporate this knowledge into current prices?If the market is aware of this information, it has already been incorporated into prices. Therefore, the knowledge cannot be exploited. In other words, if it’s just information—even if you think it’s going to have a positive or negative impact—ask yourself again, am I the only one who knows this?Larry adds that you should never confuse information with knowledge. Possession of an insight is not sufficient. You can only benefit if other traders do not have the insight yet. And if you have such information, it is highly likely to be inside information, which is illegal to trade.The vast majority of individuals and professional investors make investment decisions based on their forecasts, ignoring all the evidence that there are no good forecasters. Larry’s advice is to stop trying to forecast and, instead, think about what risks you’re most concerned about. So if you’re most concerned about, let’s say, inflation because you live on a fixed income, then you need to build a portfolio that’s more resilient to inflation risks. So don’t own long-term bonds in your portfolio; keep short-term bonds, have a bit of commodities, and maybe even a bit of gold. This way, you don’t confuse before-the-fact strategy with after-the-fact outcomes because you’ve designed a portfolio to protect you against the risks you are concerned about, not what somebody else is. People must focus on managing risk and not trying to manage returns.Mistake number 34: Do You Follow a Prudent Process When Choosing a Financial Advisory Firm?Larry observes that one big problem for investors when choosing advisors is that they typically look at somebody’s track record in investing and project that into the future, ignoring all of the evidence that past performance is (for active managers) meaningless.Larry recommends you require potential financial advisory firms to make the following 11 commitments to you. Doing so will allow you to avoid conflicts of interest and achieve your financial goals.Our guiding principle is that our advice will always be in your best interest.We provide you with care following a fiduciary standard — the highest legal duty that one party can have to another.We are a fee-only investment advisor — avoiding the conflicts that commissioned-based compensation can create.We fully disclose potential conflicts.Our advice is based on the latest academic research, not on our opinions.We are client-centric—we don’t sell any products; we only advise.We provide a high level of personal attention — each client works with a team of professionals and will develop strong personal relationships with team members.We invest our personal assets, including our profit-sharing plan, based on the same investment principles and in the same or comparable securities that we recommend to our clients.We will develop an investment plan that is integrated into estate, tax, and risk management (insurance) plans. The overall plan will be tailored to your unique situation.Our advice is always goal-oriented—evaluating each decision not in isolation but in terms of its impact on the likelihood of success of the overall plan.Our comprehensive wealth management services are provided by individuals who have the CFP, PFS, or other comparable designations.If you can’t get all 11 of those points, Larry insists you simply walk out the door.Did you miss out on previous mistakes? Check them out:ISMS 8: Larry Swedroe – Are You Overconfident in Your Skills?ISMS 17: Larry Swedroe – Do You Project Recent Trends Indefinitely Into the Future?ISMS 20: Larry Swedroe – Do You Extrapolate From Small Samples and Trust Your Intuition?ISMS 23: Larry Swedroe – Do You Allow Yourself to Be Influenced by Your Ego and Herd Mentality?ISMS 24: Larry Swedroe – Confusing Skill and Luck Can Stop You From Investing WiselyISMS 25: Larry Swedroe – Admit Your Mistakes and Don’t Listen to Fake ExpertsISMS 26: Larry Swedroe – Are You Subject to the Endowment Effect or the Hot Streak Fallacy?ISMS 27: Larry Swedroe – Familiar Doesn’t Make It Safe and You’re Not Playing With the House’s MoneyISMS 29: Larry Swedroe – The Shiny Apple is Poisonous and Information is Not KnowledgeISMS 30: Larry Swedroe – Do You Believe Your Fortune Is in the Stars or Rely on Misleading Information?ISMS 34: Larry Swedroe – Consider All Hidden Costs Before You InvestISMS 35: Larry Swedroe – Great Companies Are Not Always High-Return InvestmentsISMS 36: Larry Swedroe – Two Heads Are Not Better Than One When InvestingISMS 37: Larry Swedroe – Pay Attention to a Fund’s Proper Benchmarks and TaxesISMS 38: Larry Swedroe – The Self-healing Mechanism of Risk AssetsISMS 39: Larry Swedroe – Don’t Choose a Fund by Its Descriptive NameISMS 40: Larry Swedroe – Market vs. Hedge Fund Managers’ EfficiencyAbout Larry SwedroeLarry Swedroe is head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners. Since joining the firm in 1996, Larry has spent his time, talent, and energy educating investors on the benefits of evidence-based investing with an enthusiasm few can match.Larry was among the first authors to publish a book that explained the science of investing in layman’s terms, “The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You’ll Ever Need.” He has authored or co-authored 18 books.Larry’s dedication to helping others has made him a sought-after national speaker. He has made appearances on national television on various outlets.Larry is a prolific writer, regularly contributing to multiple outlets, including AlphaArchitect, Advisor Perspectives, and Wealth Management. [spp-transcript] Connect with Larry SwedroeLinkedInTwitterWebsiteBooksAndrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever PodcastFurther reading mentionedLarry Swedroe and RC Balaban, Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make and How to Avoid ThemPhilip E. Tetlock, Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?Gary Belsky and Thomas Gilovich, Why Smart People Make Big Money Mistakes and How to Correct Them: Lessons from the Life-Changing Science of Behavioral EconomicsLarry Swedroe, Think, Act, and Invest Like Warren Buffett: The Winning Strategy to Help You Achieve Your Financial and Life GoalsLarry Swedroe and Kevin Grogan, Reducing the Risk of Black Swans: Using the Science of Investing to Capture Returns with Less Volatility
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Apr 22, 2024 • 17min

Chris Ball - If They’re Not 100% Right, Don’t Hire Them

BIO: Chris Ball started his career in 2004 as a tax adviser with KPMG LLP. He then transitioned and founded Hoxton Capital Management in 2018. The group’s sole emphasis is helping HNW and UHNW clients with borderless global financial advice. Chris’ specialty is assisting individuals with their retirement planning needs.STORY: When Chris started his career young and fresh, he got into spread betting. That didn’t go so well, and he lost 10,000 pounds, which was a lot of money in 2008. In terms of business, he wasted over $750,000 on bad hiring decisions.LEARNING: Don’t enter markets that you don’t understand. If someone is not 100% right, don’t hire them. “Hire and fire fast. If they’re not right, and you spot it, don’t keep giving people chance after chance or trying to fit a round peg into a square hole, which doesn’t work.”Chris Ball Guest profileChris Ball started his career in 2004 as a tax adviser with KPMG LLP. After seven years with KPMG, Chris moved to the Middle East to join the deVere Group, where he continued his work as an IFA. He started in their Abu Dhabi offices and eventually headed up the Qatar operations for the group, which dealt with HNW and UHNW individuals.Chris then transitioned and founded Hoxton Capital Management in 2018. The group’s sole emphasis is helping HNW and UHNW clients with borderless global financial advice. Chris’ specialty is assisting individuals with their retirement planning needs.Chris has three children with his wife.Worst investment everWhen Chris started his career young and fresh, he got into spread betting. That didn’t go so well, and he lost 10,000 pounds, which was a lot of money in 2008. In terms of business, he wasted over $750,000 on bad hiring decisions.Lessons learnedDon’t enter markets that you don’t understand.If someone is not 100% right, don’t hire them.Playing at things never produces good results. You have to be 100% dedicated and focused on your work.Actionable adviceHire and fire quickly. If someone is not suitable and you spot it, fire immediately. Don’t keep giving people a chance after chance.Chris’s recommendationsChris recommends using his recently launched Hoxton Wealth App, available on iTunes, Apple App Store, Google Store, and the company’s website. It’s completely free. The app enables people with accounts in different countries to live link those accounts and view them in a currency of their choice. It also has cash flow modeling, which enables people to see if they have enough money saved for various goals.No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsChris’s number one goal for the next 12 months is to launch a wealth app and attract 100,000 users.Parting words “Thank you very much for having me on. I really enjoyed it, and I wish you all the best.”Chris Ball [spp-transcript] Connect with Chris BallLinkedInFacebookWebsiteAndrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramThreadsTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast
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Apr 17, 2024 • 25min

Vivek Raina - Nobody Can Beat You at What You’re Good At

BIO: Vivek Raina is a seasoned veteran with over two decades of experience in the broadband industry. As the CEO and Co-Founder of Excitel, he leads the mission to connect BHARAT, propelling the company to the top three ISPs in India—a remarkable feat in just eight years.STORY: Vivek spent 10 years finding an investor to fund his business idea. He wishes he had spent these years advancing his corporate career.LEARNING: Working for somebody is fragile. Every failure teaches you something and makes you a better version of yourself. Do something you’re passionate about. “In entrepreneurship, every failure teaches you something. It makes you stronger and better in doing what you’re doing.”Vivek Raina Guest profileVivek Raina is a seasoned veteran with over two decades of experience in the broadband industry. As the CEO and Co-Founder of Excitel, he leads the mission to connect BHARAT, propelling the company to the top three ISPs in India—a remarkable feat in just eight years. With a million subscribers spanning 55+ cities, Vivek’s leadership has revolutionized lives through pioneering unlimited internet broadband.Vivek hails from Kashmir and is now based in Delhi. His journey includes impactful roles at Hathway, Reliance, and Pacenet, highlighting his exceptional leadership skills.Worst investment everWithin two years of employment, Vivek had decided he would not stay employed—he would do something independently. Vivek started showing his ideas to people, hoping that someone would be interested in funding him. Some of the ideas were really bad, while others were good. Vivek didn’t manage to get an investor. Most people would offer him a salary or some incentives to work with him. It took Vivek 10 years to convince somebody to invest money in his idea. It took another three years to convince them to start a company, and in 2014, he got his first investment.Vivek considers the 10 years he spent making this foundation his worst investment ever because if he had concentrated on a corporate job instead, he would be a millionaire by now. It’s also his best investment because if he had not gone through the grind and learned what he learned, he wouldn’t have been the successful entrepreneur he is today.Lessons learnedWorking for somebody is fragile.Every failure teaches you something and makes you a better version of yourself.Do something you’re passionate about—nobody can beat you at what you’re good at.Andrew’s takeawaysDon’t be too harsh on yourself when you fail. Remember, you did your best with what you knew at the time.Actionable adviceTo succeed, you need to be where the action is. Secondly, decide what to do because this is a once-in-a-lifetime shot. If you get it wrong, you lose many years. So choose carefully, and pick the stuff you’re naturally good at.Vivek’s recommendationsIf you’re interested in startups and want to be successful in business, Vivek recommends reading Nicholas Taleb’s Taleb’s books. They will change your perspective.If you need to be aware of your own biases and how your mind plays with you, read Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking, Fast and Slow, and The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness. Vivek believes that once you have read these three people, you will be a changed and much better person, not just in business but as a human being.No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsVivek’s number one goal for the next 12 months is to double the user base.Parting words “Focus on your goal. Look at the leverage inherent in the ecosystem and make your mark in the world.”Vivek Raina [spp-transcript] Connect with Vivek RainaLinkedInFacebookInstagram YouTubeWebsiteAndrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramThreadsTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast
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Apr 10, 2024 • 1h 2min

William Cohan - Power Failure: The Rise and Fall of An American Icon

BIO: William D. Cohan, a former senior Wall Street M&A investment banker for 17 years at Lazard Frères & Co., Merrill Lynch, and JPMorgan Chase, is the New York Times bestselling author of seven nonfiction narratives, including his most recent book, Power Failure: The Rise and Fall of An American Icon.STORY: William discusses lessons from his most recent book, which is a story of General Electric (GE), a former global company with facilities worldwide. In his book, William focuses on former GE CEO Jack Welch, who took over the company in 1981 and increased its market value from $12 billion to $650 billion. This company became one of the world’s most valuable and respected companies, and then it all fell apart.LEARNING: Leadership matters. You are not always right. Achieve the numbers in an ethical manner. “I try to write books that I like to read, with great characters and great stories. And, yes, it’s a long book, but I think it’s a great story and worth your time.”William Cohan Guest profileWilliam D. Cohan, a former senior Wall Street M&A investment banker for 17 years at Lazard Frères & Co., Merrill Lynch, and JPMorgan Chase, is the New York Times bestselling author of seven nonfiction narratives, including his most recent book, Power Failure: The Rise and Fall of An American Icon.William is a former guest on the show on episode 739: Get the Numbers Right Before You Invest. Today, he’s back to discuss lessons from his most recent book, which is a story of General Electric (GE), a former global company with facilities worldwide. In his book, William focuses on former GE CEO Jack Welch, who took over the company in 1981 and increased its market value from $12 billion to $650 billion. This company became one of the most valuable and respected companies in the world, and then it kind of all fell apart.Leadership mattersThe ability of a company to adapt and flexibly evolve in response to market changes is crucial for sustained success. This is vividly illustrated through the leadership tenures of Jack Welch and Jeff Immelt at General Electric (GE), where Welch’s strategic boldness and Immelt’s subsequent decisions markedly impacted the company’s fortunes. The two leaders demonstrate the importance of getting the right man on the right job.Welch was among five candidates vying to become CEO in 1981. He was picked as the CEO because he was potentially the most disruptive—he was going to be this change agent, there was no doubt about it. Welch had pledged to disrupt things to change how GE was run, and he was frankly a fantastic leader. People loved working for him, and he got more out of people than they thought possible. Welch was beloved, feared, respected, and delivered.When choosing a successor, Welch gravitated towards Immelt because he went to Dartmouth and Harvard Business School, got his Ph.D. from the University of Illinois, and was generally intelligent. However, Immelt didn’t understand GE Capital. He didn’t understand finance well or know the dangers of borrowing short and lending long.Borrowing in the commercial paper market is like a 30-day liability, and lending out 7-10 years means that if something happens and dries up your source of capital, you’re toast. This saw him make wrong decisions, which significantly impacted the company.In comparison, when Jack Welch made big decisions, he made the right decisions. When Jeff Immelt had big decisions to make, he made the wrong decisions, by and large.You are not always rightThe value of dissent and dynamic team interactions cannot be overstated; fostering an environment where open debate and criticism are encouraged catalyzes innovation and helps circumvent potential strategic missteps. These elements underscore the complex interplay between leadership style, strategic adaptability, and the importance of a culture that champions constructive debate within an organization.Welch encouraged dissent. Many people in organizations are afraid to speak up, dissent, and share what they think because there will be consequences for their careers. Welch encouraged people to express their opinions, and though he was whip-smart, he would allow his mind to be changed. And there were plenty of examples where his mind was changed.Sometimes, the separation of the Chairman of the Board and the CEO is justified; other times notThe debate over whether to separate the roles of CEO and Chairman is critical in corporate governance, aiming to boost board independence by clear role division: the CEO manages daily operations, while the chairman leads board strategy and oversight. The CEO’s primary focus is growth, and the chairman’s is risk. This separation, supported by major shareholders and advisory firms like BlackRock, Vanguard, and Glass Lewis, aims to enhance decision-making and governance, particularly when a board’s independence is questioned.However, some see benefits in combining these roles for efficiency and unified leadership, a stance shaped by personal experience and shareholder views. The increasing focus on ESG criteria has intensified calls for role separation, though it’s debated whether this could have impacted significant leadership decisions in major companies. It is hard to say if a stronger board and a separated Chairman would have prevented Welch from making what he called the biggest mistake of his career, hiring Jeff Immelt.At GE, the board was aware of Welch’s succession process and the candidates and had a role in vetting them. Welch was not only the CEO but also the chairman of the board, and whatever he wanted, he got.As the CEO, Welch wanted Immelt as his successor, and even though there was some dissension on the board, it didn’t amount to much—it wasn’t enough to win the day. Then, when Immelt became the CEO, he kicked out board members who had actively dissented from his appointment, such as Ken Langone and Sandy Warner, the head of JP Morgan at the time.Achieve the numbers in an ethical mannerThe General Electric narrative illustrates the vital link between ethical standards and sound financial management in corporate governance. GE’s decline from a beacon of innovation to facing financial turmoil and ethical scrutiny is a cautionary tale. It highlights the dangers of prioritizing profits without robust ethical and financial oversight, mainly seen in the complex operations of GE Capital and its repercussions on the company’s stability and stakeholder trust.This case stresses the importance of integrating ethical considerations into financial strategies to ensure long-term corporate success and integrity. GE’s experience is a critical reminder for businesses to uphold financial prudence and a strong ethical culture, ensuring decisions contribute to sustainable growth and maintain corporate integrity rather than compromising it for short-term benefits.You are not invincibleThe downfall of a corporation can often be traced to a mix of hubris and a disconnect between its public persona and internal realities. This phenomenon is particularly evident in the case of General Electric, where a sense of invincibility stemming from past achievements led to complacency and overconfidence.This corporate hubris, or excessive pride, can blind a company to emerging challenges and necessary evolutions, setting the stage for decline. Furthermore, GE’s experience underscores the significance of aligning its outward image with its internal operations and culture. The disparity between GE’s celebrated public image as a beacon of innovation and its many internal challenges illustrates the dangerous gap that can develop when a company loses sight of its foundational values and operational integrity in pursuit of maintaining a facade of success. [spp-transcript] Connect with William CohanLinkedInTwitterWebsiteBooksAndrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramThreadsTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast
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Mar 25, 2024 • 48min

Tony Fish - Be Brave to Ask the Unsaid Questions

BIO: Tony Fish is a neuro-minority and a leading expert on decision-making, governance, and entrepreneurship in uncertain environments. His 30-year sense-making and foresight track record means he has been ahead on several technical revolutions.STORY: In this episode, Tony talks about his newest book, Decision Making in Uncertain Times. How can we become more aware of the consequences of our actions tomorrow?LEARNING: Ask better questions. “It’s only through conversations with people like you, Andrew, that I can refine my questions. I love all the people you put on the show because they helped me articulate better what I think I’m optimizing for.”Tony Fish Guest profileTony Fish is a neuro-minority and a leading expert on decision-making, governance, and entrepreneurship in uncertain environments. His 30-year sense-making and foresight track record means he has been ahead on several technical revolutions. His enthusiasm and drive are contagious & inspiring, especially for wicked problems. He has written and published six books, remains a visiting Fellow at Henley Business School for Entrepreneurship and Innovation, Entrepreneurs-in-residence (EIR) at Bradford School of Management, teaches at London Business School and the London School of Economics in AI and Ethics, and is a European Commission (EC) expert for Big Data.Tony was a guest on Ep261: CEOs Can Defraud a Business in Very Hard to Detect Ways. In this episode, Tony talks about his newest book, Decision Making in Uncertain Times - How can we become more aware of the consequences of our actions on tomorrow?The unsaid questionsTony struggled with how to ask better questions. He says there are two forms of questions. There are questions that we all ask, such as how are you performing? What are you doing? How are you feeling?Then there’s a pile of what Tony termed the unsaid questions. He says that we don’t ask these questions because, politically, we can’t ask them. We emotionally feel we’re not able to, especially if we don’t know the person well enough or when somebody tells us not to ask that type of question. The trouble with a board is that if members don’t ask the unsaid, they won’t be able to discharge their fiduciary duties. Therefore, we need better frameworks to find questions we didn’t know we needed to ask.So, how do we ask those questions? Tony has a whole book on how he does it. When the book gets shared, other people will read it, and they’ll come up with better questions than he has.Principle versus riskAccording to Tony, when a board starts, it has all these principles outlined and tries to uphold them. But you realize later on as a board that you can’t manage principles. What you can manage is risk frameworks. But you can’t manage risk rating frameworks without rules. So, you create rules that allow you to manage risk. After creating the rules, you become managed against the free-risk framework you believe in because it aligns with your principles.However, over time, the rules stop working, and those rules have to have another rule because there’s an exception to a rule. Tony says that when a new rule is created, or a new procedure or methodology comes along, a board should go back and question if that rule is aligned with its purpose, not whether it is helping the board manage the risk framework better.Over time, you’ll have your purpose clearly and start seeing a massive drift between what you believe you set up and what the risk frameworks and rules allow you to manage. Tony’s challenge to boards is that every time a new rule is created, it should go to the board, and the board should make a judgment call on whether that rule is aligned with its purpose.Role of a boardAccording to Tony, a board needs clarity on the tasks, the processes, the strategy, the purpose, and the North Star. It’s easy for boards to focus on tasks, processes, and strategy, but they find it difficult to focus on purpose and North Star. Most times, people only question whether they’re doing the right thing. He adds that a board has to be guided by data, rules, and regulations. But then it has to be directed by the values it wants and the organization’s values, which then comes back to the principles. The issue most boards face is that others’ values, principles, and behaviors are far more instrumental in a board’s values than they ever realized.Then you’ve got a fundamental issue: Too many people end up on boards without board training. The untrained board members end up replicating management meetings as board meetings, believing that’s what they should be doing.How to set up a boardTony believes that everybody follows an S curve. When you’re in the different phases of going up the S curve, you need other types of governance. However, many people don’t transition as they go up the S curve.When in a particular phase, try to find the board that can do the next part, not the current one. And therein lies the difficulty for so many board members because they want to do what they’re good at and, therefore, stay in their comfort zones. This curtails the ability of the company to scale. What the board should be doing is asking: what do you do? Where are the transitions? How do you go about thinking? What are the processes and procedures? What skills do you need at the different layers as you go up?About the bookTony’s book contains ten short frameworks. The idea is not to explain everything but to help the reader peel back the layers of the falsehood that they think they know what they’re doing, yet they haven’t got a clue. Tony wants you to make better choices and decisions by asking better questions.The book is most accessible on Amazon, where you can purchase it in hardcover, softcover, or Kindle. You can also get a free PDF copy at www.peakparadox.com/book. If you want to reach out to Tony, he’s on LinkedIn. [spp-transcript] Connect with Tony FishLinkedInTwitterWebsiteBlogBookAndrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramThreadsTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast
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Mar 18, 2024 • 39min

ISMS 40: Larry Swedroe – Market vs. Hedge Fund Managers’ Efficiency

In this episode of Investment Strategy Made Simple (ISMS), Andrew gets into part two of his discussion with Larry Swedroe: Ignorance is Bliss. Today, they discuss two chapters of Larry’s book Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make and How to Avoid Them. In this series, they discuss mistake 30: Do You Fail to Understand the Tyranny of the Efficiency of the Market? And mistake 31: Do You Believe Hedge Fund Managers Deliver Superior Performance?LEARNING: Discovering anomalies or mistakes reinforces and makes the market more efficient. Hedge fund managers demonstrate no greater ability to deliver above-market returns than do active mutual fund managers. “Unfortunately, the evidence is hedge fund managers demonstrate no greater ability to deliver above-market returns than do active mutual fund managers.”Larry Swedroe In this episode of Investment Strategy Made Simple (ISMS), Andrew gets into part two of his discussion with Larry Swedroe: Ignorance is Bliss. Larry is the head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners. You can learn more about Larry’s Worst Investment Ever story on Ep645: Beware of Idiosyncratic Risks.Larry deeply understands the world of academic research and investing, especially risk. Today, Andrew and Larry discuss two chapters of Larry’s book Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make and How to Avoid Them. In this series, they discuss mistake number 30: Do You Fail to Understand the Tyranny of the Efficiency of the Market? And mistake 31: Do You Believe Hedge Fund Managers Deliver Superior Performance?Did you miss out on previous mistakes? Check them out:ISMS 8: Larry Swedroe – Are You Overconfident in Your Skills?ISMS 17: Larry Swedroe – Do You Project Recent Trends Indefinitely Into the Future?ISMS 20: Larry Swedroe – Do You Extrapolate From Small Samples and Trust Your Intuition?ISMS 23: Larry Swedroe – Do You Allow Yourself to Be Influenced by Your Ego and Herd Mentality?ISMS 24: Larry Swedroe – Confusing Skill and Luck Can Stop You From Investing WiselyISMS 25: Larry Swedroe – Admit Your Mistakes and Don’t Listen to Fake ExpertsISMS 26: Larry Swedroe – Are You Subject to the Endowment Effect or the Hot Streak Fallacy?ISMS 27: Larry Swedroe – Familiar Doesn’t Make It Safe and You’re Not Playing With the House’s MoneyISMS 29: Larry Swedroe – The Shiny Apple is Poisonous and Information is Not KnowledgeISMS 30: Larry Swedroe – Do You Believe Your Fortune Is in the Stars or Rely on Misleading Information?ISMS 34: Larry Swedroe – Consider All Hidden Costs Before You InvestISMS 35: Larry Swedroe – Great Companies Are Not Always High-Return InvestmentsISMS 36: Larry Swedroe – Two Heads Are Not Better Than One When InvestingISMS 37: Larry Swedroe – Pay Attention to a Fund’s Proper Benchmarks and TaxesISMS 38: Larry Swedroe – The Self-healing Mechanism of Risk AssetsISMS 39: Larry Swedroe – Don’t Choose a Fund by Its Descriptive NameMistake number 30: Do You Fail to Understand the Tyranny of the Efficiency of the Market?According to Larry, the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is the most powerful hypothesis or theory because the very act of discovering anomalies or mistakes reinforces and makes the market more efficient. When somebody discovers an anomaly, it gets published, people read about it, exploit it, and the anomaly typically will disappear or shrink dramatically.Pricing anomalies present a problem for those who believe in EMH. However, the real question for investors is not whether the market persistently makes pricing errors. Instead, the real question is: are the anomalies exploitable after considering real-world costs?Mistake number 31: Do You Believe Hedge Fund Managers Deliver Superior Performance?Hedge funds, a small and specialized niche within the investment fund arena, attract lots of attention. Hedge fund managers seek to outperform market indices such as the S&P 500 Index by exploiting what they perceive to be market mispricings. Studying their performance would seem to be one way of testing the EMH and the ability of active managers to outperform their respective benchmarks.Over the last 20 years, hedge fund managers have underperformed one-month Treasury bills by something like 1.4% for T-bills to 1.2% for hedge funds. A study by AQR Capital Management covered the five-year period ending January 31, 2001. The study found the average hedge fund had returned 14.7% per year, lagging the S&P 500 Index by almost 4 ppts per year.The 2006 study, “The A, B, Cs of Hedge Funds: Alphas, Betas, and Costs,” covered the period from January 1995 through March 2006 and found the average hedge fund had returned 8.98% per year, lagging the S&P 500 Index by 2.6 ppts per year.Hedge fund investing appeals to investors because of the exclusive nature of the club. It also offers the potential of great rewards. Unfortunately, the evidence is hedge fund managers demonstrate no greater ability to deliver above-market returns than do active mutual fund managers. At the same time, investors in hedge funds were earning below-market returns. They were (in many cases) assuming far more risk — although they were probably unaware they were doing so.In addition to these risks, hedge funds also tend to be highly tax inefficient and show no persistent performance beyond the randomly expected, meaning there is no way to identify the few winners ahead of time.About Larry SwedroeLarry Swedroe is head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners. Since joining the firm in 1996, Larry has spent his time, talent, and energy educating investors on the benefits of evidence-based investing with an enthusiasm few can match.Larry was among the first authors to publish a book that explained the science of investing in layman’s terms, “The Only Guide to a Winning Investment Strategy You’ll Ever Need.” He has authored or co-authored 18 books.Larry’s dedication to helping others has made him a sought-after national speaker. He has made appearances on national television on various outlets.Larry is a prolific writer, regularly contributing to multiple outlets, including AlphaArchitect, Advisor Perspectives, and Wealth Management. [spp-transcript] Connect with Larry SwedroeLinkedInTwitterWebsiteBooksAndrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever PodcastFurther reading mentionedLarry Swedroe and RC Balaban, Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make and How to Avoid ThemPhilip E. Tetlock, Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?Gary Belsky and Thomas Gilovich, Why Smart People Make Big Money Mistakes and How to Correct Them: Lessons from the Life-Changing Science of Behavioral EconomicsLarry Swedroe, Think, Act, and Invest Like Warren Buffett: The Winning Strategy to Help You Achieve Your Financial and Life GoalsLarry Swedroe and Kevin Grogan, Reducing the Risk of Black Swans: Using the Science of Investing to Capture Returns with Less Volatility

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