Rosenberg Round-Up
Rosenberg Research
Providing investors with key macro and market developments, insightful data analysis, and actionable ideas that are top of mind for the Rosenberg Research team in the the week ahead.
Episodes
Mentioned books
Aug 30, 2024 • 1min
Au Revoir
Aug 23, 2024 • 13min
Brother, Can You Spare a Job?
On this week’s episode of the Rosenberg Round-Up, we discuss what’s behind the recent rebound in equities and the changing cross-asset picture, as well as what the 28% downward revision in employment growth is telling us. We also shed light on what lingering risks in the Commercial Real Estate sector mean for bank stocks.
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Send us your questions and requests at: information@rosenbergresearch.com
In This Episode
The Week in Review (0:50) — What’s changing relative asset prices, and some notes on Harris’ economic agenda
The Week Ahead (9:21) — Personal Income and Expenditure headline the week
The Spotlight (9:57) — The overlooked risks of rising CRE distress
Canada Corner (11:38) — Don’t shed a tear for the loonie
Aug 16, 2024 • 17min
Powell to Set the Rate-Cutting Table at Jackson Hole
The September FOMC meeting is about how much to cut rates | A look at the Harris vs. Trump polls and what it means for markets | The case for gold is stronger than ever
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Send us your questions and requests at: information@rosenbergresearch.com
In This Episode
The Week in Review (0:44) — Cooling U.S. inflation puts the Fed on notice (despite hot retail sales)
The Week Ahead (10:12) — All eyes on the Democratic convention and Jackson Hole
The Spotlight (14:29) — $3,000 per ounce is still the target for gold
Aug 14, 2024 • 42min
“The Real Threat Is an Own Goal Not a Black Swan” | Brett House
In our latest special interview episode, we welcome seasoned market economist and current Columbia Business School professor Brett House to discuss the Yen carry trade reversal sending shockwaves through markets, all things Powell and the Fed with a special look at Jackson Hole, Trump vs. Harris and the Bank of Canada
The Yen carry trade reversal (1:35) | The Fed’s assessment of the U.S. economy (10:16) | Three counter-arguments why this time is different (17:00) | What to expect from Jackson Hole (23:25) | Upcoming U.S. Presidential election (25:35) | Any concern about the BoC’s rate cuts (30:45)
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Aug 9, 2024 • 13min
Navigating the Turbulence
Taking stock after a volatile week | Macro data will drive markets | Going defensive
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Send us your questions and requests at: information@rosenbergresearch.com
In This Episode
The Week in Review (1:06) — Dissecting the sell-off
The Week Ahead (9:40) — Markets primed to sell on dovish surprises
The Spotlight (10:54) — How to reposition the equity portfolio
Canada Corner (12:00) — Bank of Canada back to balance
Aug 2, 2024 • 14min
Land of the Rising Yen
The evolving global rate picture | Earnings to drive
market in macro-lite week ahead | How to invest in the land of the rising Yen
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For a 30-day free trial of our research, click here: https://web.rosenbergresearch.com/RosenbergRoundupTrial
Send us your questions and requests at: information@rosenbergresearch.com
In This Episode
The Week in Review (0:47) — The Fed stayed on the sidelines while the BoJ hiked and the BoE cut
The Week Ahead (8:05) — A light data flow puts earnings center-stage
The Spotlight (9:45) — Japan: what a fading
carry trade means for investors
Jul 25, 2024 • 21min
The Mag 7 Run Out of Ammo
The bull run has come to a grinding halt as large-cap tech retreats from overstretched valuations. But the concerning macro narrative driving the rest of the market deserves more attention.
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Send us your questions and requests at: information@rosenbergresearch.com
In This Episode
The Week in Review (0:00:52) — The bull run grinds to a halt as the global macro outlook weakens
The Week Ahead (0:12:30) — Fed and U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls take center stage
The Spotlight (0:16:02) — We introduce our new and improved Beige Book Sentiment Index
Jul 19, 2024 • 19min
London Calling: The Case for a Post-Election Re-Rating in U.K. Assets
Markets take a sharp turn | June activity data surprised to the upside, but Q2 GDP unlikely to impress | Emerging investment opportunities across the pond as the U.K. enters a period of stability
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start trading: https://kalshi.onelink.me/1r91/rosenberg
For a 30-day free trial of our research, click here: https://web.rosenbergresearch.com/RosenbergRoundupTrial
Send us your questions and requests at: information@rosenbergresearch.com
In This Episode
The Week in Review (0:40) — The market shifts its focus from growth to value — but don’t call it the “Trump Trade”
The Week Ahead (7:05) — Flash PMIs and U.S. Q2 GDP
The Spotlight (9:00) — A bullish view on (most) U.K. assets following a historic election
Canada Corner (16:52) — Bank of Canada prepares a second cut
Jul 12, 2024 • 19min
Concerning Earnings: What to Look for in Q2 Reports
Powell signaled the need for more “confidence” in his congressional testimony – did a light inflation print deliver it? We also touch on political and economic developments in Europe, and shine our spotlight on the upcoming earnings season.
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For a 30-day free trial of our research, click here: https://web.rosenbergresearch.com/RosenbergRoundupTrial
Send us your questions and requests at: information@rosenbergresearch.com
In This Episode
The Week in Review (0:41) — U.S. CPI delivers a downside surprise, and why we were disappointed by Powell’s testimony
The Week Ahead (11:21) — Activity data in the U.S. as politics dominates the news flow
The Spotlight (14:19) — What to look for and where to find value as Q2 earnings season kicks off
Jul 9, 2024 • 36min
“Not a Bull Market, a Bifurcated Market” | David Rosenberg
In our latest special interview episode, we welcome back our Founder and President, David Rosenberg, to get his views on a perplexing stock market, what we can learn from the past, and how to think about the U.S. election – among much else.
Is this even a bull market? (0:30) David's Philosophy on Investing in this market (2:57)What is the discount rate telling us right now? ( 5:24)How the average U.S. household invests? (9:00)Dave's thoughts on index funds (16:10)Investing around elections ( 21: 54 )Final thoughts on the equity market ( 28:42 )
For a 30-day free trial of our research, click here: https://web.rosenbergresearch.com/RosenbergRoundupTrial
