Rock Stock Channel

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Rock Stock Channel™ is a vibrant and engaging look at the mining and chemical industry supplying the lithium-ion battery-fuelled disruption of the Transportation and Utility industries.

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Oct 16, 2025 • 35min

Wildcat Resources: Tabba Tabba Lithium PFS, Costs, and Funding Outlook | AJ Saverimutto

In this episode, we sit down with Ajanth (Aj) Saverimutto, Managing Director of Wildcat Resources (ASX: WC8), to discuss the company’s Tabba Tabba lithium project in Western Australia, recent exploration at Bolt Cutter Central, and what the latest pre-feasibility study (PFS) implies for costs, scale, and timelines. What we cover - Project overview: Why Tabba Tabba’s location near Port Hedland and tier-one Pilbara lithium mines matters for logistics and costs. - Acquisition story: How Wildcat secured the asset and accelerated drilling to reach resource, reserve and PFS milestones. - PFS takeaways: Base-case design, contingencies, strip assumptions, and the rationale for a staged ramp-up. - Costs & scale: Headline Capex/Opex, targeted 5.5% spodumene concentrate, recoveries, and throughput steps (2.2Mtpa → 4.5Mtpa). - Mining plan: Predominantly open pit with later underground; implications for mine life and cash flow sequencing. - Exploration upside: Early results at Bolt Cutter Central (stacked pegmatites) and potential additions from Chewy/Han/Hutt and tantalum. - Funding pathways: Debt, offtake/prepay, strategic and government options—and what counterparties are engaging. - Market context: How Pilbara cost curves, sentiment, and recent moves by majors frame risk and opportunity. Key numbers discussed (from the interview) - Capex (incl. pre-strip): ~A$680m (base case). - Unit costs: ~US$541/t C1 and ~US$650/t AISC (FOB basis discussed). - Production profile: Stage 1 ~300kt/y SC5.5 ramping to ~600kt/y in Stage 2. - Recoveries: ~70–80% (with conservative haircut in PFS). - Mine life: ~17 years initial plan (with potential extensions). - Mining mix: ~79% open pit / 21% underground over life. - Balance sheet & history: Last equity raise Nov 2023 (~A$100m @ A$0.76); cash balance discussed at ~A$55m at time of interview. About the guest AJ is a mining engineer and accountant with senior ops experience at Freeport-McMoRan’s Grasberg and BHP. He previously restarted and sold the Beta Hunt nickel-gold mine before joining Wildcat. Sponsors - Lithium Royalty Corp (TSX: LIRC) — diversified lithium royalty portfolio. (Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ | X: https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty ) - USCF Investments — commodity-focused ETFs (e.g., CPER copper, ZSB battery metals, USG gold, SDCI diversified commodities). (Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ | X: https://x.com/USCFInvestments ) Chapters (00:00) Introduction (03:25) AJ's Background (05:35) Tabba Tabba Acquisition (07:30) Bolt Cutter Discovery (09:40) PFS Highlights (11:51) Capex, Opex & Output (13:17) Resource Upside (14:27) Mining Plan (15:23) Metallurgy & Recoveries (17:58) Funding Pathways (19:01) Near-Term Catalysts (20:23) Competitive Edge (23:11) Market Context (25:47) Investor & Offtake Interest (29:42) Global Counterparties (30:48) Government Support (31:39) Closing Remarks Links - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter: https://rkequity.com/ Have a question? Drop us an email: rockstockchannel@rkequity.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast: Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter): Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13 Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Rodney and Howard are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity’s website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Oct 13, 2025 • 54min

Lithium Rally, Goldman Sachs Outlook, Grasberg Copper Shock, China Supply Curbs, ESS Boom

In this Rock Stock Recap, we break down what retail investors need to know across lithium, copper, and broader commodities as of September 26. We discuss why lithium equities rallied despite "lower-for-longer" price calls, how China's evolving policies on strategic minerals (and growing recycled supply) may limit oversupply, and what shrinking market surpluses could mean for pricing once inventories normalize. We also cover the knock-on effects from Freeport's Grasberg disruption on copper balances, and practical ways to gain exposure via commodity ETFs versus single-name miners. We examine energy storage as a structural demand driver - highlighting rapid unit-size and cost shifts (e.g., large-format ESS builds and BYD leaks), the importance of BMS and safety regulations, and scenarios for 2030 storage demand and lithium requirements (LCE). We compare the U.S. and China policy backdrop, note Argentina's improving signals for lithium names, and discuss why passive under-allocation to commodities and rising global liquidity (M2) can fuel fund flows into hard assets. Key topics we cover: - Lithium: sector rally, Lithium Americas sentiment, Goldman Sachs supply/demand vs price path, inventory overhangs, recycling growth, China's supply curbs. - Copper: Grasberg outage, inventories, smelting capacity, tariffs/flows, and using CPER/COPX versus producer risk. - ESS & Renewables: AI-driven power needs, solar-plus-storage momentum, unit scaling, safety/BMS/regulatory catch-up, 2030 LCE implications. - Macro & Flows: passive underweight to commodities, U.S. retail dynamics, site-visit takeaways, Argentina tailwinds, liquidity and hard-asset rotation. Tickers mentioned: LAC, LTHM, SQM, ALB, SGML, TMC, USCF (commodities ETFs), CPER, COPX, FCX, BYD, CATL, Anglo, IVN, INR, SLI, ASN. Commodities & themes: lithium, copper, uranium, rare earths, ESS, AI power demand, China policy, Argentina lithium, recycling, inventories, cost curves, tariffs. 🔔 If you found this content valuable, don't forget to subscribe, like and comment! 📖 Chapters (00:00) Intro (05:53) Goldman Lithium View (08:01) Prices, Inventories, Risks (11:23) Demand, Cost Curve (12:18) China Oversupply Controls (14:43) Copper Shock: Grasberg (19:36) Copper: ETFs vs Miners (21:58) Secular Commodities Case (25:44) U.S. Flows & Site Visits (28:24) MinRes, Steel/Iron Ore Check (31:16) AI Power: Solar + Storage (34:28) ESS Demand, Safety, Rules (38:58) US-China & Transition (43:26) Liquidity & Hard Assets (46:15) Closing Remarks 🌍 Links - Read Matt's research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter: https://rkequity.com/ - Learn more about USCF: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ - Learn more about Lithium Royalty Corp: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast: Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter): Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13 Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Rodney and Howard are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity's website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Sep 24, 2025 • 17min

Has Lithium America's MP Moment Arrived?

Lithium Americas: Could This Be Their "MP Materials Moment"? Howard and Matt break down the latest news on Lithium Americas (LAC), which is up over 100% on speculation that the U.S. government (DOE Loan) may take an equity stake in its Thacker Pass project. We explore what a potential public-private partnership could mean for lithium prices, investor sentiment, and valuations across the U.S. lithium sector — including names like Ioneer (ASX: INR) and Anson Resources (ASX: ASN). We also dive into Matt’s latest RK Equity blogs, covering two key topics for investors: 🔹 Aluminum Market Outlook: Matt explains why aluminum may have already turned the corner structurally, despite 20 years of underperformance. We discuss how China’s production cap could reshape supply dynamics, how solar, EVs, and grid buildouts are driving secular demand, and why aluminum inventories are critically low. Matt shares ideas on ways retail investors might gain exposure — from producers like Alcoa (AA) and Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) to upstream bauxite plays and ETFs like USCF’s Sustainable Battery Metals Fund (ZSB). 🔹 China Policy Shifts: We unpack recent legislative and regulatory changes in China, including the Mineral Resources Law and new competition rules, and what they mean for critical minerals like lithium and rare earths. These moves could tighten global supply and support higher prices — a key theme for investors focused on EV supply chains and energy transition commodities. 🔔 If you found this content valuable, don't forget to subscribe, like and comment! 📖 Chapters (00:00) Introduction (00:50) Lithium Americas & DOE Loan (02:29) Aluminum Market Outlook (03:36) China's Aluminum Supply Shift (05:26) Production Caps & Supply Crunch (06:42) Aluminum Demand From EVs & Solar (07:18) Aluminum vs. Copper Price Forecast (08:10) Top Aluminum Stock Ideas (09:58) USCF ZSB ETF for Aluminum Exposure (11:23) China Policy & Critical Minerals (14:38) Rare Earth Quotas & Price Impact (16:30) Closing Remarks 🌍 Links - Read Matt’s research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter: https://rkequity.com/ - Learn more about USCF: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast: Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter): Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13 Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Rodney and Howard are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity’s website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Sep 17, 2025 • 36min

Direct Commodity Exposure vs. Mining Stocks | USCF’s John Love

In this episode, we sit down with John Love, CEO of USCF Investments, the newest sponsor of Rock Stock Channel, to explore how investors can use commodity ETFs to diversify their portfolios and gain direct exposure to key market trends. USCF is best known for the United States Oil Fund (USO) but also offers funds focused on copper (CPER), sustainable battery metals (ZSB), gold with income (USG), and broad commodities (SDCI). John walks us through the history of USCF, its role as a pioneer in the commodity ETF space, and how it differentiates itself through innovation and a focus on futures-based strategies. We discuss why investors might prefer commodity exposure over equity proxies, the benefits of diversification, and how USCF’s systematic approach helps simplify futures investing for everyday investors. We cover four funds we believe retail investors should have on their radar: - CPER (United States Copper Index Fund) – for direct exposure to copper prices - USG (Gold Income Fund) – gold plus an options overlay for potential income - ZSB (Sustainable Battery Metals Strategy Fund) – targeting the metals powering electrification - SDCI (Broad Commodity Fund) – a rules-based, diversified commodity index strategy We also talk about current investor sentiment, the role of commodities in portfolio construction, and whether we may be entering a new commodity supercycle driven by electrification, AI infrastructure, and global demand growth. Learn more about USCF: - Website: https://www.uscfinvestments.com/ - X (Twitter): https://x.com/uscfinvestments If you found this content valuable, don't forget to like, subscribe and comment! 📖 Chapters (00:00) Introduction (03:49) USCF Edge & Strategy (06:24) Why Commodity ETFs (08:38) CPER: Copper Exposure (12:57) USG: Gold + Income (15:22) ZSB: Battery Metals (19:45) SDCI: Broad Commodities (24:14) Backwardation vs. Contango (29:54) Sentiment & Flows (34:21) Closing Remarks Links 🌍 - Read Matt’s research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium-Ion Bull newsletter: https://rkequity.com/ Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast: Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter): Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13 Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Rodney and Howard are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity’s website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Sep 15, 2025 • 1h 2min

SoLId Growth? REEinvesTIng in miNIng w/ The Metals Company & LIRC

In this episode, we broadcast from Rockefeller Center and dig into three areas retail investors are asking about: rare earths valuation, titanium & advanced manufacturing (IperionX: IPX), and lithium market volatility—with updates from The Metals Company (TMC) and Lithium Royalty Corp (LIRC). 🔍 What we cover: - Rare earths—how to value early-stage names: Matt explains why NdPr-equivalent (neodymium–praseodymium) is a better lens than Total REO, and how we compare companies using market cap per contained NdPr-equivalent rather than headline grades alone. - IperionX site visit takeaways: Scrap-to-titanium, additive manufacturing and fasteners opportunity; why execution risk is falling; and how a “Bessemer moment” for titanium could reset costs versus aluminum/stainless. - TMC regulatory progress: NOAA confirms application compliance and priority rights; we discuss timelines, executive-order context, and what “big needle-mover” funding could look like in the U.S. framework. - Battery chemistry mix: Where nickel chemistries sit versus LFP as autonomy and energy density needs rise; manganese’s role (LMR) and the potential to produce manganese sulfate from nodules. - Lithium market now: CATL lepidolite restart chatter, demand growth still tracking ~high-20s % y/y, Chinese capex decelerating, and why restarts and cost curves matter for price formation through 2026–27. - Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE): Asset-by-asset reality check—costs and capex can be higher than conventional routes; not automatically first-quartile on the cost curve. - Royalty model for retail investors: LIRC’s portfolio (e.g., Sigma Lithium) and why royalties can provide exposure to Argentine brines and production growth while reducing operating cost risk. Learn more about IperionX (IPX): - Website: https://iperionx.com/ - X (Twitter): https://x.com/iperionx Learn more about The Metals Company (TMC): - Website: https://metals.co/ - X (Twitter): https://x.com/themetalsco Learn more about Lithium Royalty Corp (LIRC): - Website: https://www.lithiumroyaltycorp.com/ - X (Twitter): https://x.com/Lithium_Royalty If you found this content valuable, don't forget to like, subscribe and comment! 📖 Chapters (00:00) Introduction (03:15) Rare Earths: NdPr Valuation (08:20) IperionX: Scrap-to-Titanium (18:03) Heavy Rare Earth by-products (23:41) TMC: NOAA Compliance & Timeline (26:19) TMC: Priority Rights & Scale (27:47) Manganese & LMR Batteries (30:42) Industry Signals: Lockheed & Partners (33:01) Nickel vs LFP; Autonomy (35:55) U.S. Funding Paths & Structure (43:05) Lithium Royalty Corp Overview (45:09) Exposure to Argentine Brines (46:53) Volatility: CATL, Demand, China CapEx (50:56) DLE: Costs, CapEx, Fit (56:18) Restarts & Cost Curve (58:56) Price Recovery Outlook 🌍 Links - Read Matt’s research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for the Lithium Ion Bull newsletter: https://rkequity.com/ Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast: Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq X (Twitter): Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13 Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Rodney and Howard are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity’s website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

Sep 7, 2025 • 2h 19min

Lithium & Rare Earths LIVE DISCUSSION | X Spaces

We are redistributing over latest discussion on X Spaces as a Rock Stock Channel episode, sharing where we think we are in the lithium & rare earths cycle, what’s changed, and how we’re positioning as RK Equity for a potential “risk-on” turn in mining equities. In this conversation, Howard, Matt and Rodney (with guests including YJ Lee, Chris Berry, Tom Woolrych, Jody Dahrouge, Christopher Williams and others) walk through what matters now for retail investors across lithium, rare earths and broader critical minerals. What we cover: - Macro & sentiment: Why risk appetite is re-emerging across gold, uranium, Bitcoin and critical minerals—and how policy (IRA, infrastructure/CHIPS, deregulation/reshoring) may shape capital flows and listings. - Lithium demand vs. supply: Normalized inventories, China supply-cut narratives, and why demand (EVs + grid-scale storage) is the swing factor. We discuss falling battery costs, global price competition, and EV penetration beyond China into emerging markets. - BESS is breaking out: How grid batteries could be the “next trillion-dollar business” and what multi-year storage growth implies for LCE demand. - Processing drives cost curves: A clear explainer on DMS vs. flotation for hard-rock—capex/opex, grind size, recoveries, and real-world lessons (e.g., Sigma’s DMS-only, whole-of-mine float cases). Jurisdictional deep-dives: - Quebec/Ontario hard-rock: Permitting realities, low-cost hydro power, conversion “missing middle,” and why project geometry (thickness, dip, heterogeneity) matters. - Brazil: Low-cost power, DMS suitability, and why the country has the raw materials stack to host more of the battery supply chain. - Conventional brines (Argentina/Chile): Why high-grade salar projects can be through-cycle low-cost—and why the market may be mispricing them relative to hard-rock. - DLE—promise vs. timeline: Where it fits (including boosting recovery on conventional brines), technical pitfalls (feed variability, oilfield impurities), and realistic scale-up expectations. - Rare earths primer: MP Materials’ U.S. push, magnet REEs (NdPr, Dy, Tb), ionic clay vs. hard-rock deposits, purity challenges, and the role of defense vs. broader tech/e-mobility demand. Companies & themes mentioned (not recommendations) MP Materials (NYSE: MP), Lynas Rare Earths (ASX: LYC), Sigma Lithium (NASDAQ/TSX-V: SGML), Pilbara Minerals (ASX: PLS), Core Lithium (ASX: CXO), Patriot Battery Metals (TSX: PMET | ASX: PMT), Winsome (ASX: WR1), Frontier Lithium (TSX-V: FL), Galan Lithium (ASX: GLN), Lithium Argentina (NYSE: LAR), NOA Lithium (TSX-V: NOAL), Wildcat (ASX: WC8), Lithium Ionic (TSX-V: LTH), Atlas Lithium (NASDAQ: ATLX), Talon Metals (TSX: TLO), Rio Tinto (NYSE: RIO), BYD, CATL—plus topics like SPACs, EV truck adoption, and restocking into year-end. Why it matters for retail investors: - Cost & flow-sheet choices (DMS vs. flotation) can make or break project economics. - BESS + EVs expand the addressable market faster than many models assume. - Jurisdictional power costs & permitting (e.g., Québec hydro) directly impact margin. - Conventional brines may offer mispriced, through-cycle optionality. - Rare earths remain strategically important—focus on magnet REEs and realistic ramp timelines. Stay connected: - Follow on X: Rock Stock Channel: https://x.com/rkequityrocks Howard: https://x.com/LithiumIonBull Rodney: https://x.com/RodneyHooper13 Matt: https://x.com/matt_fernley - Read Matt’s research blog: https://blog.rkequity.com/ - Sign up for our Lithium-ion Bull newsletter at https://rkequity.com/ - Subscribe on YouTube / Spotify / Apple Podcasts for Rock Stock Channel updates. 📖 Chapters (00:00:00) Market Backdrop (00:10:00) Lithium Inventories & China Restocking (00:15:00) EV Price War, BYD Exports & BESS Surge (00:19:00) Rare Earths Reset: MP Deal & Demand (00:32:00) Ionic Clay REEs: Brazil/Africa (00:52:20) Quebec Hard Rock: Q2 Metals, Patriot (01:08:20) Quebec Edge: Permitting, Power, By-Products (01:13:40) The “Missing Middle”: Bécancour Refining (01:36:20) Demand Outlook: EVs, Storage, Heavy Trucks (01:51:00) DLE Reality Check: China & Brines (02:05:00) Argentina Brines: Low Cost, Mispricing (02:09:20) Brazil DMS Edge & WA Developers (02:17:40) Closing Thoughts & Rio Watch-Items 🌍 Links Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel Podcast: Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq _________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH Rodney, Matt and Howard are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity’s website https://www.rkequity.com Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

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