

The Dividend Cafe
The Bahnsen Group
The Dividend Cafe is your portal for market perspective that is virtually conflict-free, rooted in deep philosophical commitments about how capital should be managed, and understandable for all sorts of investors. Host David L. Bahnsen is a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business. He is the author of the books, Crisis of Responsibility: Our Cultural Addiction to Blame and How You Can Cure It (Post Hill Press), The Case for Dividend Growth: Investing in a Post-Crisis World (Post Hill Press), and Full-Time: Work and the Meaning of Life (Post Hill Press).
Episodes
Mentioned books

Apr 29, 2025 • 8min
Tuesday - April 29, 2025
Get the latest scoop on market dynamics, including a rebound in the S&P 500 following eased auto tariffs. Consumer confidence is at a low not seen since early 2020, raising questions about its impact on market behavior. Dive into fresh economic indicators like job openings and housing data, reflecting a mixed outlook. Plus, insights from the earnings season reveal adjusted expectations amid ongoing trade uncertainties. Stay informed about investment opportunities and the essential role of professional guidance.

Apr 28, 2025 • 17min
A Normal Dividend Cafe
Discover key insights from recent market fluctuations and sector performances. Delve into the Federal Reserve's influence and the impact of President Trump's tariff policies on international trade. Learn about current mortgage trends as rates stabilize and the resilience of midstream energy stocks despite price declines. Explore the dynamics of oil supply and its effect on production activities. Plus, get a sneak peek into the upcoming earnings season and its potential impact on market dynamics.

Apr 25, 2025 • 23min
So the Trump Market Put is NOT Dead
Explore the intriguing concept of the 'Trump market put' and its impact on financial dynamics. Delve into five critical themes shaping market trends, including AI expenditures and tariffs. Gain insights on how investor psychology influences behavior in times of uncertainty. Address the irrational 'end-of-the-world' fears with wisdom from Howard Marks, promoting a practical approach to market catastrophes. This discussion offers a rich analysis of economic conditions and critical thinking for savvy investors.

Apr 24, 2025 • 9min
Thursday - April 24, 2025
Dividend Cafe: Market Gains, Trade Negotiations, and Treasury Revenue Insights
In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel from West Palm Beach discusses the impressive three-day market gains, highlighting positive earnings reports and improved market sentiment. He analyzes the impact of trade negotiations and tariff revenues on market trends and the U.S. budget, noting significant increases in treasury revenue and budget surplus. Brian answers viewer questions about the Federal Reserve's balance sheet strategy and the limited efficacy of universal tariffs on specific issues like fentanyl trafficking. Additionally, he provides updates on economic indicators such as durable goods orders, jobless claims, and home sales.
00:00 Introduction and Market Overview
01:14 Market Sentiment and Positioning
02:08 Trade Negotiations and Tariffs Impact
02:51 Economic Indicators and Revenue
03:46 Spending and Budget Deficit
04:39 Economic Data Highlights
05:17 Q&A Session
06:54 Conclusion and Final Thoughts
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com

Apr 23, 2025 • 9min
Wednesday - April 23, 2025
Markets are buzzing with optimism, thanks to easing tensions over tariffs and renewed stability in leadership at the Fed. Earnings season reveals positive surprises from big corporations, even amid trade pressures. A surprising uptick in new home sales sparks attention, while tax cut legislation looms on the horizon. The discussion dives into the importance of sticking to fundamental investment practices and adapting to market volatility. Plus, intriguing audience questions tackle the potential fallout from firing the Fed Chair and the broader impacts of tariffs.

Apr 22, 2025 • 9min
Tuesday - April 22, 2025
The stock market is on the rebound, as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq recover after a streak of losses. The conversation dives into how tariffs influence prices without being strictly inflationary. Insights into the geopolitical tensions between China and Taiwan are shared, along with their potential economic repercussions. Additionally, listeners get the latest on corporate earnings projections and key economic indicators. This lively discussion offers a mix of market analysis and strategic forecasting.

Apr 21, 2025 • 15min
Fed Indepence Day
Markets are reeling from political pressures as presidential threats against the Federal Reserve loom large. Recent tariff tensions have exacerbated uncertainty, causing significant declines in major indices. Credit spreads are widening, raising recession alarms, while the housing market faces its own troubles. The discussion also reflects on Pope Francis's passing and the imminent decision for a new leader of the Catholic Church. Strap in for a lively analysis of market dynamics shaped by geopolitics and economic indicators!

Apr 18, 2025 • 23min
The Art of a Tax Cut or a Tax Hike?
Dive into the latest buzz on the stock and bond markets as the team breaks down the complex dynamics of U.S.-China trade relations. Discover how tariffs are reshaping the economic landscape and the misconceptions around China’s influence on U.S. bond yields. The discussion highlights surprising policy exemptions in the tech sector and the nuances of market valuations. Potential tax policy changes are explored, all while offering clarity amidst market volatility. Get ready for insightful perspectives on navigating the evolving economic climate!

Apr 17, 2025 • 5min
Thursday - April 17, 2025
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com
Market Recap: UnitedHealthcare’s Impact on the DOW | Dividend Cafe Thursday
In this episode of Dividend Cafe Weekly, David Bahnsen provides a detailed market recap, focusing on the significant influence of UnitedHealthcare's stock drop on the DOW. Despite the DOW's 500-point decline, Bahnsen explains that the market was essentially flat, with other indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ experiencing minimal changes. He also defends the DOW as a better broad-based market indicator compared to the S&P, highlighting the distortive nature of price-weighted and market cap-weighted indices. Additionally, he mentions the bond market's slight movement and the early closure of financial markets for Good Friday. The episode concludes with a reminder about the forthcoming Dividend Cafe update and a note on investment risk disclosures.
00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe
00:31 Market Recap: S&P, NASDAQ, and DOW
00:49 Understanding the DOW's Performance
02:29 Bond Market Update
02:47 Closing Remarks and Upcoming Content
03:14 Disclaimer and Legal Information

Apr 16, 2025 • 8min
Wednesday - April 16, 2025
The podcast dives into the recent market downturn caused by trade tariffs affecting a major AI chipmaker. It highlights significant market shifts, including a notable drop in the NASDAQ and DOW, juxtaposed with unexpected retail sales growth. The discussion also features Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's insights, which further fueled uncertainty. Listeners gain a deeper understanding of how tariffs might impact inflation and the U.S. manufacturing landscape, alongside investment strategies and risk assessment in these turbulent times.


