Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Federal Reserve officials this week warned of more upcoming interest rate hikes in light of recent U.S. economic data. Maggie Lake is joined by Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, senior macro strategist at Macro Hive, to discuss the market’s positive response to today’s ISM services data and why she thinks the Fed is falling behind against inflation. We’ll also review what our other Daily Briefing guests this week said when asked what they think about the Fed’s current framework.In the second half of today’s extended Daily Briefing, we’ll dive into Dominique’s three reasons why she is still calling for an 8% terminal fed funds rate. You can find more of Dominique’s work here: http://MacroHive.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equities were relatively unchanged, but apparently they missed the message from the bond market. Across the board, U.S. Treasury yields are now over 4%, with a confluence of economic data in the States and Europe muddying the macro picture. Maggie Lake is joined by Tavi Costa, partner and portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, to hear why he believes this is the beginning of an exciting period for macro and value investors.Plus, we’ll also hear from Andreas on what persistent services inflation means for the U.S. and the rest of the world. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3J3ny3I. And you can check out more from Tavi here: https://www.crescat.net. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Industrial metals bounced after strong economic data out of China, while U.S. equities logged another red day to start the month of March. Maggie Lake is joined by Michele “Mish” Schneider, the Director of Trade Education and Research at MarketGauge.com, to hear where she thinks this market is headed and how she’s playing everything from metals, energy, and agriculture to tech.Plus, we’ll hear from bond market veteran Jeff Moore in a conversation with Raoul about why inflation is so pivotal to the next move in bonds. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ENUNpk and see more of Mish’s work here: https://marketgauge.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. Treasury yields added to their monthly gains and equities chopped along as investors weighed the consequence of tighter monetary policy for longer. Meanwhile, oil rallied 2% on more bullish news coming out of China. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and the editor of the Morning Navigator, to hear his views on stocks, metals, an energy rotation, and the dollar breakout.Plus, we’ll hear from Jamie McDonald on why investors need to pay attention to copper. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ZoqlKg. And check out more of Tony’s work here: https://tgmacro.substack.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Tech stocks are leading U.S. equities higher as bond yields pull back — but not until after the 2-Year Treasury note hit its the highest level since January 2007. Maggie Lake is joined by Geo Chen, director of Three Quays Pte. Ltd. and the author of Fidenza Macro, to hear how bond market volatility and global liquidity dynamics are moving markets. Plus, we’ll hear from Simplify chief strategist Mike Green, who explains why he’s so worried that the current environment looks like 1929. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3IYdyZBYou can read all of Geo’s work here: https://fidenza.substack.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The legendary investor Mark Ritchie walks us through his life, from his early years growing up in Afghanistan to the Chicago Board of Trade to meeting his future wife, and how it all ties into his trading philosophy. He also shares a famous quote — attributed to Mark Twain — that has greatly influenced his life both on and off the trading floor: What are the two most important days in your life? "The day you are born and the day you find out why." Mark joins Maggie Lake for a deep dive into why this quote inspired him, how he learned about the importance of sizing trades, the right time to cut and run, maintaining patience, and much more from his storied trading career. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The energy sector has been the weakest performer in the U.S. equity market over the past month, despite China ending its zero-covid policy. So, what’s going on with everyone’s favorite sector of 2022? Andreas Steno Larsen lays out the bearish case for oil and gas and offers his take on what commodities you should be buying instead. Recorded on February 8, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. stocks tumbled and treasury yields jumped after data showed the Federal Reserve’s favored measure of inflation- the core PCE price index- rose more than expected last month. Jim Bianco, President of Bianco Research joins Maggie Lake to talk about the current battle with inflation, how the Fed is handling the fight and what’s coming later in 2023. In the second half of the show, we’ll dive into credit markets and answer your questions! Plus, we’ll get a peek into the latest episode of My Life in 4 Trades featuring Mike Green. He says beware of the liquidity trap in this current economic environment. That interview will be released on Monday. Don’t miss it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equities continue to chop after falling from the recent highs, as investors weigh recent Fed comments and conflicting economic data. Maggie Lake sits down with the Dale Pinkert, head of trader development at TradeGatehub, to help us understand the many factors driving price across asset classes. Plus, we’ll hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on why he thinks a U.S. recession is coming in the second half of 2023. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3XX6VLt Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

After the worst trading day in 2023, the U.S. stock market is hovering relatively unchanged following the release of this afternoon’s FOMC minutes. The minutes confirmed that most Fed members are on board with the continued fight against inflation. Maggie Lake sits down with Michael Kao, the CEO of Akanthos Capital Management, to discuss the price action, his outlook for the global economy, and why he’s concerned that too many investors are engaged in a dangerous, self-fulfilling cycle of over-exposure.Plus, we’ll hear from Jacob Shapiro, the Director of Geopolitical Analysis at Cognitive Investments, on why there’s opportunity in supply chains even if they don’t ease. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3YUly3j Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices