Real Vision: Finance & Investing

The major equity indexes were mixed as of midday, a fair-to-middling session welcome relief from recent wild whipsaws. We also saw mixed inflation data: the personal consumption expenditure accelerated more than expected in August in the U.S., and eurozone prices surged a record 10% in September, though American consumers’ inflation expectations eased this month. Much of the broad market conversation is about when rather than whether something big is about to break. Brent Donnelly, the president of Spectra Markets and the author of “Alpha Trader: The Mindset, Methodology and Mathematics of Professional Trading,” joins Maggie Lake to discuss that issue and to identify ways investors and traders can navigate the price action. We also hear from Michael Kao and Michael Nicoletos about the Federal Reserve’s global power. Watch the full conversation featuring Michael Kao and Michael Nicoletos here: https://www.realvision.com/shows/make-or-break-geopolitics/videos/when-will-the-dollar[…]uff-QpZW?source_collection=852d5cce52bd4c829fc3d84de72c55b8 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

These are complicated times. Inflation is riding a 40-year high, and nobody knows when this cycle is going to end. That’s why Real Vision is slashing Essential memberships by 59% – to give you access to the brightest minds in finance. Co-Founders Raoul Pal and Damian Horner and Senior Editor Ash Bennington break down everything we’re doing at Real Vision to bring clarity for investors and traders on this week’s RV Twitter Spaces. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The British pound’s wild ride took another turn after the Bank of England intervened in the bond market on Thursday, reportedly due to potential pension-fund implosions. The pound is now down more than 20% against the U.S. dollar in 2022, last among global currencies and just ahead of the Japanese yen. “The market may bounce if it doesn't break,” tweeted Dale Pinkert, “and the bounce can continue unless there is resistance that fails to hold leading to a gap that may or may not be filled.” Pinkert, the Head of Trader Development Tradeview Markets, joins Maggie Lake to share ideas on trading currencies, precious metals, and Bitcoin amid unprecedented forex and bond market volatility. We also hear from Lawrence Lepard about why gold stocks will be the top-performing asset class over the next 10 years. Watch the full conversation between Lawrence Lepard and Samuel Burke here: https://rvtv.io/3rjc02K. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

We’ve seen what could very well be an act of war perpetrated beneath the Baltic Sea. We’re watching the crumbling in real time of one of the world’s oldest, longest-standing economic, political, and financial pillars. And Hurricane Ian is bearing down on a densely populated coastal region extremely vulnerable to storm surge, high winds, and other attendant threats. But the three major U.S. equity indexes are ripping higher! Andreas Steno Larsen opens today’s Daily Briefing with a discussion of the U.K. and the extent to which its fiscal, monetary, and pension catastrophe could infect the rest of the world. With “sabotage” and “contagion” and “Cat 4” rising and “inflation” fading as the market’s main theme, Darius Dale joins to talk about what, if anything, today’s rally means in the bigger picture. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The word “sabotage” is in heavy rotation today, as the world wonders why natural gas is leaking from two pipelines that run under the Baltic Sea from Russia to Germany. This can only make things worse, on a basic energy supply-and-demand level as well as for the more complex geopolitical landscape. The major U.S. equity indexes opened in positive territory but turned negative early in the trading day, as yields continued to rise. Andreas Steno Larsen welcomes Tony Greer, the founder of TG Macro, to talk about the global energy market and what these mysterious leaks portend. We also hear from Suriya Jayanti, the co-founder and managing director at decarbonization and renewables consultancy Eney LLC, about who holds the leverage in Europe’s energy crisis. Watch the full conversation between Andreas Steno Larsen and Suriya Jayanti here: https://www.realvision.com/shows/make-or-break-energy-crisis/videos/we-have-to-own-our-energy-crisis-now-qp22?source_collection=852d5cce52bd4c829fc3d84de72c55b8. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The British pound reached a record low, the People’s Bank of China stepped up its support for the yuan, the Bank of Japan defended its own intervention in defense of the yen, and every major currency in the world traded lower against the U.S. dollar today. Meanwhile, yields are spiking, particularly at the short end of the curve, and bonds are in their first bear market in 76 years. Should we be on the lookout for something big to break? Is the strong U.S. dollar going to cause a crisis for the rest of the world? Gordon Johnson, the founder of GLJ Research, joins Maggie Lake to talk about recent price action. We also hear from Jim Bianco about why inflation has probably peaked. Watch the full first video from our new Make or Break series featuring Jim and Raoul here: https://rvtv.io/3BPr7ph. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

For the past 45 years, Rick Rule has been investing and speculating in the natural resource industry. The president and CEO of Rule Investment Media and the chair of Equinox Gold joins Harry Melandri to talk about why he’s turning his focus to uranium. In short, Rick is taking a long view on a resource that could help solve what will soon be a global energy crisis. Never miss an episode of Next Big Trade - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Denise Shull, an expert decision coach at The ReThink Group, leverages her background in neuroscience and modern psychoanalysis to guide professional investors, traders, athletes, and entrepreneurs to maximum performance at times of high risk. In this special episode of My Life in Four Trades, Denise joins Maggie Lake to talk about the universal lessons drawn from the eclectic and unique career of Hugh Hendry. Never miss an episode of My Life in 4 Trades - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

With global markets on the edge and investors concerned about a multitude of extant financial and potential political headwinds, Maggie Lake welcomes back Raoul Pal for today’s Real Vision Daily Briefing. “Are markets breaking?” sounds hyperbolic. But U.K. debt is being re-priced as if it’s issued by something less than a third-world country. And foreign-exchange markets “are presently screaming global depression, not recession,” as one prominent member of the FinTwit community put it. Maggie and Raoul talk about the global liquidity situation and how the Federal Reserve will respond to another mess of its own making. Indeed, as Raoul noted early Friday, “The central bank experiment of Volcker worship in a massively indebted economy is on its last legs in the coming month or two.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Mere hours after the Federal Reserve announced a third consecutive 75 basis point rate hike and reiterated its commitment to bringing inflation back to its 2% target, the Bank of Japan stuck to its ultra-low interest rate policy and intervened in foreign-exchange markets on behalf of the Japanese yen for the first time since 1998. Weston Nakamura joins Andreas Steno Larsen at the top of today’s Daily Briefing to talk about the danger this policy divergence poses to the global financial system. Could we be on the verge of a currency war in reverse? Then, Andreas welcomes Tavi Costa, a partner and a portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, to talk about how to position for what Tavi recently described as “a vicious stagflationary environment.” We also hear from Nancy Davis and Kris Sidial about how to hedge downside risk amid rising volatility. Watch the full conversation featuring Nancy and Kris here: https://f.io/gHuRgo0F. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices