The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng

Sports analytics expert Edward Egros discusses potential surprises in the NCAA tournament, reveals his favorite for 2024, and shares insights on Alabama. The conversation also covers college basketball analytics resources and the Bracket Wisdom series.

Ed Miller, co-author of the books Interception - The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting and The Logic of Sports Betting, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The one thing to take away from Interception (1:10). Betting versus making software for sports books operators (4:40). Why he and Matthew Davidow wrote Interception (6:47). Price discovery versus math models for making markets (10:39). The best way to win at sports betting that quants will like (16:45). How to beat same game parlays, or SGPs (20:22). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/

Jordan Sperber discusses college basketball analytics, including Houston's unique defense, top national title contenders, and studies on transition threes and mid-range jumpers. He also touches on an overrated team and the evolution of college basketball analytics.

Connecticut won the 2023 NCAA tournament in dominant fashion, and my numbers suggest that Dan Hurley's team will contend again this season. This episode contains a chapter from the book The Miracle of St. Anthony by Adrian Wojnarowksi, my favorite sports book. It tells the story of a young Dan Hurley and his transition from playing to coaching. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting and March Madness bracket advice. To get my cheat sheet for filling out your bracket, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/

Matt Freedman, the head of betting at Matthew Berry Fantasy Life and the writer of the Betting Life newsletter, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A more obscure Super Bowl prop (1:28). A more conventional Super Bowl prop (5:19). How Matt and Fantasy Life come up with quantitative predictions (10:00). How Kansas City will attack San Francisco (14:13). An alternative to Travis Kelce MVP bet (20:00). Brock Purdy interceptions (22:30). Super Bowl prop market (29:00). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/

Adam Levitan, the founder of Establish the Run and NFL props expert, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Highlights include: Two Super Bowl props (0:50). How the quantitative team at Establish the Run works (7:20). How the NFL prop market has changed (11:51). San Francisco offense vs Kansas City defense (15:07). Kansas City offense vs San Francisco analysis (17:50). General advice on Super Bowl props (19:13). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/

Drew Dinsick, a well respected quantitative bettor that also goes by Whale Capper, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Best bet on Kansas City at Baltimore (0:59). The spread market for Kansas City at Baltimore (13:16). Bet on Detroit at San Francisco (18:30). Biggest takeaway from the 2023 NFL season (26:37). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/

Evan Silva, founder of Establish the Run and an exceptional NFL analyst, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Biggest takeaway for the 2023 NFL season (:40). Best bet for the Divisional Playoff (5:47). Houston at Baltimore (9:45). Green Bay at San Francisco (14:05). Chicago Bears and the top pick of the 2024 draft (21:45). Evan's QB rankings (26:58). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/

Clevta, founder of clevanalytics.com and a respected NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The Joe Flacco miracle (1:25) How to beat the Cleveland defense (6:07) Cleveland at Houston (8:44) A bet on Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (13:08) A bet on Los Angeles Rams at Detroit (19:06) Blended 4th quarter win probabilities for finding overrated teams (26:54) Clevta does awesome work, and his analysis of these games is excellent. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/

Tej Seth, a data scientist at Sumer Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A bet on Michigan vs Washington (1:03). Metrics Tej uses to evaluate NFL teams (6:10). Biggest NFL takeaway from the 2023 season (9:12). Detroit Lions (17:08). Tej's story and programming course (21:37). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here: https://thepowerrank.com/