

The ACID Capitalist Podcast
Hugh Hendry
Gonzo Finance!Hugh Hendry is an Award Winning Hedge Fund Manager, Market Commentator, Thought Leader, St Barts Real Estate Investor & Surfer.Full episodes are available at https://www.patreon.com/HughHendry and https://hughhendry.substack.com
Episodes
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Jun 17, 2022 • 51min
CARL ICAHN'S IDIOT BUTTON
Send us a textI hate Fridays.This week we had a bantam weight world title decider between the contrarian and the populist. The Acid Capitalist squares up against Dylan Grice. Dylan spent years as a macro advisor tussling with the world's best hedge fund minds. He's worth a listen although the passing years haven't been kind. Still he's coining it in 😘He takes us through his fund of fund allocations which have paid off this year. We go way back to discover revelations from his earlier career; just what was the payroll number? Schwager interviewed macro talents who could dream the number, Dylan wasn't bothered...Everyone has a 2008 story. @dylangrice worked for disgraced Ponzi hedge fund manager Bernie Madoff ! An impressionable Dylan thought they rivalled Buffet in the liquidity stakes that fateful winter, little did he realise that he was part of a giant money laundering scheme.Later @dylangrice was invited to pay his respects at the Manhattan palace of the great Carl Icahn. He regales us with the wonders of what he found there. If Steinhardt kept a gun in his drawer, Carl was more a hammer type guy. A young Dylan feared his seat was rigged to eject#hedgefunds #macro #economics #trading #deflation⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X📩 Substack👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe📺 YouTube🎧 ...

Jun 10, 2022 • 1h 23min
HUMPTY DUMPTY MACRO
Send us a textAnother live edition. Humpty Dumpty? Remember the children's poem. With all the king's horses and all the king's men. They couldn't put Humpty together again...Are we closing the chapter that saw asset prices surge post the great financial crisis? Inflation or deflation? Which crisis seems more likely to the shroomers? The church debates.⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X📩 Substack👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe📺 YouTube🎧 ...

Jun 2, 2022 • 1h 27min
Hurricane MACRO
Send us a textWe're joined by the Macro Compass writer, Alfonso Peccatiello, former bank prop trader, to discuss all things macro in the wake of JP Morgan's chief, Jamie Dimon, issuing a hurricane warning - bad things are coming. We examine the meteorological landscape.⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X📩 Substack👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe📺 YouTube🎧 ...

May 27, 2022 • 1h 28min
Banned in China
Send us a textThe Acid Capitalism show went live this week. The Alchemist's hair morphed into a flock of seagulls. The Acid Capitalist levitated above the week's noise. He's a plastic thief with no belief in what he steals. A shirtless Good Kid B.a.a.d City holds it together. The Capitalist raps, 'The American Queen, she be smoking Prozac, The Totalitarians, they be smoking Napalm.' Macro thoughts from a bunker on a ting rock on a sea of oblivion. The church is open for prayers#chinanews #economics #trading #tradingstrategy #apocalypse ⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X📩 Substack👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe📺 YouTube🎧 ...

May 20, 2022 • 1h 34min
There Will Be Blood
Send us a textThere will be blood. Let’s discuss. The Acid Capitalist continues to fume about injustices. He has the Fed and the mercantilistes in his sights. First the global economy has failed to regain its previous trajectory of greater prosperity ever since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. GDP is lost somewhere over the Atlantic, destination unknown. The economy has recovered for sure but its no way near the level that a rational investor at the turn of the century might reasonably have expected. The shortfall at the global level might be more than $20 trillion. It’s absence froments social anger. There will be blood.⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X📩 Substack👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe📺 YouTube🎧 ...

May 14, 2022 • 1h 9min
Buck Broke Bitcoin
Send us a textBloody hell. So much for stable coins. Fight it out in the comments; does anything matter anymore if the crypto well has been poisoned by lies and malfeasance? The Acid Capitalist saw a debate on twitter about whether he was a misunderstood genius or a pretentious riddler. Neither, he's a fool in a foolish world.⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X📩 Substack👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe📺 YouTube🎧 ...

May 7, 2022 • 1h 25min
Money Too Tight To Mention
Send us a textThe Alchemist explores the mysteries of hedge fund management further. This week's deep dive sees him wearing a suit! Can he cut it? The Acid Capitalist had a rough night but he's taken a magic pill to restore his superpowers and he eventually finds his mojo. This week we review central bank rate hikes. Surely, its the end, not the beginning? Private providers of credit have been raising rates since the summer of 2020. The US economy contracted last quarter. Official economic data is heavily revised in later years. Did the British economy relapse into recession last year? Just why are they insistent on more rate hikes? The Acid Capitalist is afraid, very afraid that equity markets might need to reverse all of their post covid glory.But rather than accentuate the negative, he wants to offer guidelines and solutions. He believes that they should plead a mea culpa, their primary responsibility rests with preserving asset prices. Only by revealing that they're essentially custodian officers charged with preserving the collateral that underpins the huge debt mountain will we move forward. Better yet, they should move to enfranchise those citizens that have no assets. They should create a sovereign wealth fund. QE has only prolonged the depression. Better to impose a withholding tax on mercantilist nations that choose to park their trade bounty in treasury markets. These countries forsake endogenous domestic growth in favour of chasing exports. They perceive this as a more robust economic plan. But the world of international trade is the business of robbing Peter to pay Paul.To enact their cunning strategy, global savings must rise. In China, savings rise because their currency is set too low, preserving a comparative trade advantage that market capitalism would otherwise bid away. Without their state interventions their currency would rise to bring the world into balance. Chinese households' incomes would reset higher and they might reasonably consume more. This does not happen. Instead savings rise; the share of consumption to gdp is remarkably low for such an advanced state.The same applies elsewhere. With their comparative advantage, their lower relative manufacturing costs, secured by their "cheap" currency, they bleed jobs and income security f⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X📩 Substack👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe📺 YouTube🎧 ...

Apr 30, 2022 • 1h 24min
The Precipe, Markets on the Brink
Send us a textThis week's episode is probably the most profoundly ridiculous exercise in hyperbole ever attempted. The boys are sensing a regime shift. Volatility is like a prolonged period of high pressure in the atmosphere. Hedge fund types gunned it for all it was worth. Leverage, concentrated portfolios, lies and misdemeanours, they raked up huge profits and made themselves into billionaires many times over. But the times, they are a changing. Risk-less businesses are been revealed as risky. One by one, these feted masters of the universe are coming unstuck. We discuss. But we end on a deep dive into the theory of money. With US GDP contracting just as the Fed has committed itself to an aggressive hiking sequence of higher rates, we examine why they always seem so blind to events in the real world. Hiking during a depression has never worked. We've had four such calamities: 1830-1900, 1873 to 1900, 1930 to the onset of WWII and ever since 2008. They all ended with innovations: the railroads and the discovery of Californian gold, the chemical revolution of leaching that opened up the enormous S African gold supply and the mass adoption of telephony that facilitated correspondent and then eurodollar banking.At each turn, the free world attempted to rid itself of tyranny. First we removed monarchs and kleptocracies from their nasty habit of specie clipping, then we successively removed governments from money printing. One hundred years since the introduction of the land line, does bitcoin offer the prospect of removing the banks from money? It's a tantalising prospect and it goes far to explain why the Feds are hopeless with money and hence the economy. Truth be told, they're no longer active in the domain of money creation.⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X📩 Substack👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe📺 YouTube🎧 ...

Apr 23, 2022 • 1h 18min
Risk Markets set to Self Destruct
Send us a textThe alchemist doesn't speak, he yells; he's a proclaimer seeking the truth. Hear ye, hear ye, he bellows, the apocalypse is coming. Fear, greed, loathing, they're all set to knock the financial world off its perch once again.The Acid Capitalist has seen it all before. A block of digital energy, he's vibrating wildly in his bunker and taking down all that antagonises him; poison pills, suave, beige, star hedge fund managers, Netflix, those that purport to save the planet by banning hydrocarbon extraction. This week he's uncut, unkempt, unruly, and channelling a higher frequency. This is financial improvisation at its most unexpected. Wannabe hedge fund stars stay tuned.⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X📩 Substack👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe📺 YouTube🎧 ...

Apr 15, 2022 • 41min
The God Trade
Send us a textThe Reverence Episode. The Alchemist @writes_sweeney finds himself exalting at the triple religious whammy of Easter, Passover and Ramadan. But it's Franz Kafka that holds sway. The messiah will come only when he is no longer necessary; he will come only on the day after his arrival. The Acid Capitalist proclaims that the mysticism demanded to see the future for risk assets demands that you listen to those pursuing deviant pathways. He offers up his wooly hat as evidence...reject the front pages, listen to the Church of Acid Capitalism.The editing this week has been excessive, "buts", "umms", " "halting silences", they've all been eliminated. The result being that the boys sound as though they've dropped some speed. Have no fear, wisdom awaits the patient. First on the block, the recurring message that society's fear for the planet has left the hydrocarbon complex under-valued, priced for imminent death and yet the impervious Saudi dollar peg sits unchallenged. Acid wisdom states that when the lego bricks don't fit, you have a giant trading opportunity. Where have all the dollars gone? A common refrain at cyclical turning points. Stocks are down, government bond prices have been massacred, just where are those dollars? The Capitalist reveals the perils of turning points. That when dollar assets are destroyed, dollar liabilities remain forever, setting off a mighty stampede to deleverage. The Fed's greatest nightmare. In the 1920s the credit system was predicated on gold, by contrast it is dollar collateral that feeds today's eurodollar credit system. Gold scarcity, and the demands placed on society to cover gold deficits in the 1920s, caused the global economy to crash spectacularly in the 1930s. Could the same thing be playing out again with the dollar? Will the touch point be a renminbi devaluation? Ruminations and distant rumblings are laid bare. The Alchemist has discovered Libya. Has he dropped some acid? The Capitalist adopts the Ringo Star note of diffidence when pressured to film the Let it Be album there. But in a world constantly changing, in a world where the giant Australian superannuation funds are suddenly pouring money into UK public sector assets, who is really the mad one.? "If I was responsible for $300 bn in pension assets, why not commit a cumulative $15b⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!🧢 Hats & Merch 📸 Instagram 🐦 Twitter / X📩 Substack👂Listen and 🔥 Subscribe📺 YouTube🎧 ...