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Moody’s Talks – The Big Picture

Latest episodes

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Nov 26, 2024 • 24min

2025 Economic Outlook: A Case for Cautious Optimism

In this episode, we unpack the new Moody’s Ratings forecasts for the global economy and explain why there could be bright spots amid a myriad of risks. Join our analysts as they delve into topics like potential changes in US policy, the effects of stimulus on the Chinese economy, and whether Europe is headed for stagnation.Guests: Marie Diron, Global Head of Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Risk at Moody’s Ratings; Madhavi Bokil, Head of Macro Research at Moody’s RatingsHost: Colin Ellis, Head of Center for Credit Research, Moody’s Ratings
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Oct 29, 2024 • 17min

COP29: Why it’s so hard to close the climate finance gap

Policymakers and key stakeholders will soon converge on Baku, Azerbaijan for the 29th United Nations Climate Change Conference to find ways of boosting spending on climate initiatives. Rahul Ghosh, Global Head of Sustainable Finance, and Marie Diron, Global Head of Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Risk at Moody’s Ratings, discuss the challenges, potential solutions, and expectations.Speakers: Rahul Ghosh, Global Head of Sustainable Finance at Moody's Ratings; Marie Diron, Global Head of Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Risk at Moody’s RatingsHost: William Foster, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings 
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Oct 10, 2024 • 20min

How the US election could shape global credit conditions

In this joint Big Picture-Emerging Markets Decoded episode, our regional analysts highlight the key US policy areas to watch in Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America -- and discuss which economies and sectors could be at risk if policies were to dramatically change.Guests: Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings; Gong Cheng, Managing Director, Credit Strategy, Moody's Ratings; Ariane Ortiz-Bollin, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy, Moody's RatingsHost: William Foster, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings
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Oct 3, 2024 • 12min

US election and implications for US credit

Sarah Carlson is joined by the lead analyst for the US, William Foster, and Chief Credit Officer for the Americas, Elena Duggar, to discuss their expectations for fiscal, trade and immigration policy under both US presidential candidates, and what they could mean for the US economy and credit.Speakers: William Foster, Senior Vice President at Moody's Ratings; Elena Duggar, MD-Credit Strategy at Moody's RatingsHost: Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President at Moody's Ratings
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Sep 30, 2024 • 25min

Multilateral development bank capital reforms will help increase lending capacity

In today’s episode, we’re joined by Hans Peter Lankes, Managing Director of the think tank ODI, as well as Kathrin Muehlbronner from Moody’s Ratings to discuss the effectiveness of recent reform proposals in increasing the lending capacity of multilateral development banks (MDBs) and what they think is needed for MDBs to better address global challenges like climate change, poverty, and inequality.Speakers: Hans Peter Lankes, Managing Director of ODI; Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President at Moody's RatingsHost: Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President at Moody's Ratings 
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Aug 28, 2024 • 20min

Entering new markets offers Chinese EV makers considerable promise (and challenges)

China has rapidly become the largest producer of electric vehicles (EV) globally, with a nearly 40% increase in sales volume last year. In this episode, Colin Ellis talks with our analyst Gerwin Ho about the drivers behind this growth, how a drive to boost scale amid intense domestic competition has prompted them to look elsewhere and the difficulties they will encounter in boosting exports and setting up overseas production.Speaker: Gerwin Ho, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group at Moody's RatingsHost: Colin Ellis, MD-Global Credit Strategist at Moody's RatingsRelated Research:Auto and Auto Parts Manufacturers – China: Chinese EV makers will broaden expansion into emerging markets amid US, EU tariffs
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Aug 5, 2024 • 25min

Geopolitics laid bare: a world of “wicked problems”

With macroeconomic matters moderating, geopolitics has taken center stage with conflicts in the Middle East and elsewhere threatening the world order. In this episode, host Colin Ellis calls on NATO advisor and geopolitics expert Klaus Dodds to assess today’s political and environmental flash points. Dodds sees a “world full of wicked problems” and considers some pragmatic outcomes, including potential Ukrainian concessions to Russia.Speaker: Klaus Dodds, Executive Dean and Professor of Geopolitics of the School of Life Sciences at Royal Holloway, University of LondonHost:  Colin Ellis, MD-Global Credit Strategist at Moody's Ratings
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Jul 17, 2024 • 13min

Huge demand for data centers right now masks underlying credit risks

We forecast growing demand for cloud services, the adoption of new AI products and cryptocurrencies will see investment in new data center capacity exceed $2 trillion globally over the next five years. But real customer demand and continued technological improvements could limit the amount of data center capacity that is actually needed over the longer term. In this episode, John Medina explains what risks this uncertainty poses to investors in the corporate credit, leveraged loan, bank, CMBS, ABS, private credit and project finance markets.Speaker: John Medina, Senior Vice President at Moody's RatingsHost: Colin Ellis, MD-Global Credit Strategist at Moody's RatingsRelated Research:Data Centers – Global: Rapid capacity growth to serve surging computing demand poses long-term risks 
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Jul 10, 2024 • 16min

Uncertainty hangs over France after legislative elections

On 7 July, France held the second and final round of legislative elections, which produced a shock upset for Marine Le Pen’s Rassemblement National party after strong first round. But with no clear path to a majority and France’s inexperience with broad political coalitions, the country now faces an uncertain political future. Sarah Carlson discusses what this could mean for the French sovereign rating and the rest of Europe.Speaker: Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President at Moody's RatingsHost: William Foster, Senior Vice President at Moody's RatingsRelated Research:Government of France: FAQ on hung parliament following National Assembly elections
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Jul 1, 2024 • 14min

Costs rising steadily as cyberattacks become more sophisticated and widespread

The digital transformation of the global economy offers big opportunities for companies and governments but also increases their exposure to private and state-backed cyberattacks. In this episode, we talk about the recent rise in these attacks, how new advances like Gen AI are making them more sophisticated, their effects on our assessment of credit risk, and the strategies companies are adopting to protect themselves.Speaker: Leroy Terrelonge, VP-Analyst/Cyber Credit Risk at Moody's RatingsHost: William Foster, Senior Vice President at Moody's Ratings

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