On The Ledge

On the Ledge - Your Ontario politics podcast - June 19, 2025Host: Dave TraffordGuests: Tim Hudak, Keith Leslie, John Wright, Kathleen WynneThis season finale of On the Ledge dives deep into Premier Doug Ford’s tumultuous week of unscripted rants and calculated risk. The panel unpacks Ford’s inflammatory comments on bail reform and “weak-kneed judges,” his car theft anecdote, and the problematic framing of First Nations relations ahead of a high-stakes Ring of Fire meeting.While Ford’s base seems solid—polling at record highs—the fallout from Bill 5 and its sweeping powers is far from over.The crew also reflects on the broader political landscape, from G7 diplomacy under Prime Minister Carney to interprovincial cooperation amid economic uncertainty. As the legislature pauses for summer, unresolved tensions over Indigenous consultations, democratic transparency, and civil justice reform loom large.Chapters & Timecodes:00:00 – Introduction & Season Wrap-UpDave welcomes listeners to the season finale, marks his wedding anniversary, and outlines the summer hiatus.01:05 – Ford’s “Hoots” and the Greenbelt ScandalDiscussion on Doug Ford’s dismissive comments about the Greenbelt, declining public interest, and polling dynamics.07:46 – Crime, Bail, and Communication StrategyFord’s rant about judges and bail conditions; analyzing the political effectiveness and risk of going off-script.23:03 – Bill 5, First Nations, and Ring of Fire RhetoricPanelists react to Ford’s patronizing remarks about Indigenous communities and the growing opposition to Bill 5.39:13 – G7 Summit and Cross-Border StrategyPraise for Mark Carney’s diplomatic performance at the G7; discussion on Canada’s realignment in global trade.53:22 – Civil Justice Reform & Legislative ConcernsA critical look at proposed changes to Ontario’s civil litigation process and its potential unintended consequences.

On the Ledge – Your Ontario Politics Podcast - June 12, 2025Host: Dave TraffordGuests: Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, John Wright, Keith LeslieThis episode of On the Ledge confronts a deeply troubling issue: the lack of accountability and transparency following a violent assault involving Anwar Knight’s son at school. The discussion focuses on Knight’s public appeal for justice, after an 18-month struggle with school board officials, the police, and legal hurdles to get answers and action.He posted his appeal on Facebook. You can see it here.The panel unpacks the layers of systemic opacity, privacy shields, and administrative inertia that often frustrate parents and fail vulnerable students.Former Premier Kathleen Wynne reflects on her experience as a trustee, highlighting how critical leadership and culture are within schools, beyond policy.Keith Leslie underscores the serious consequences of denying parents access to basic information, while Tim Hudak and John Wright stress the need for more courage and common sense in school administration and governance.The conversation is wide-ranging but grounded in a central question: How do we ensure schools remain safe, responsive environments for every student? And what needs to change when systems designed to protect kids instead protect institutions?The OTL crew also discussed:The 30th anniversary of Mike Harris’ 1995 win and 40th anniversary of Peterson’s 1985 election.John A. McDonald's statue is unveiled at Queen's Park.The possibility of new trade frameworks or deals, especially involving the U.S., Canada, and MexicoAnticipating the G7 meeting in Kananaskis, AlbertaChapters:00:00 – Introduction and Light Banter04:00 – Anwar Knight’s Story: Assault, Silence, and Court Orders13:42 – Leadership, Accountability, and the Failure to Act19:27 – School Culture, Transparency, and Administrative Gaps26:03 – Reflecting on 30 Years Since Harris, 40 Years Since Peterson28:52 – Political Parallels and What Meaningful Change Looks Like39:20 – Revisiting Historical Legacies and John A. Macdonald’s Statue42:16 – Anticipating the G7 Summit and Its Global Stakes

On the Ledge - June 5, 2025Host: Dave TraffordGuests: Tim Hudak, Kathleen Wynne, John Wright, Keith LeslieThis week on On the Ledge, Dave Trafford and the panel dive deep into the fallout and implications of Ontario’s controversial Bill 5. With the legislature on summer break, the political temperature rises over Indigenous consultation, environmental oversight, and the Ford government’s legislative tactics.The conversation also ranges from pay raises and pensions for MPPs to the expectations around Mark Carney’s national leadership and the looming threat of Trump-era tariffs on Canadian steel. A thoughtful debate unfolds about trust, process, and the push for economic transformation in Ontario—and Canada.Chapters & Timecodes00:00 – IntroductionDave Trafford welcomes listeners and the panel shares anecdotes on family, school, and athletics before shifting to political topics.05:00 – Reflections on Youth Sports and Educational ValuesA heartwarming discussion about personal growth, character-building in school sports, and their long-term impact on leadership and public service.06:00 – The Bill 5 Debate and Indigenous OppositionA comprehensive look at the legislative chaos and political backlash surrounding Bill 5. Guests discuss environmental concerns, procedural issues, and the lack of meaningful consultation with First Nations leaders.24:00 – MPP Pay Raises, Pensions & Honorable TitlesDiscussion of the quiet passage of MPP salary increases and reinstatement of the “Honorable” title, with reflections on political compensation, public service, and political optics.36:00 – Mark Carney, Federal Alignment & Economic AnxietyThe panel reviews Carney’s handling of premiers' meetings, expectations around economic recovery, and public optimism amid fiscal uncertainty and steel tariffs.48:00 – Steel Tariffs and Regional Job ImpactsExploring the implications of 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian steel, with a focus on Hamilton and Sault Ste. Marie. The group debates economic resilience and the possibility of a trade deal ahead of the G7.54:00 – Closing Thoughts: Legal Reform and Federal-Provincial HarmonyDiscussion on proposed changes to Ontario’s civil litigation system, the need for thoughtful reform, and the rare federal-provincial consensus emerging around economic development and resource extraction

Show Notes for On the Ledge – May 29, 2025Host: Dave TraffordGuests: Tim Hudak, Kathleen Wynne, Keith Leslie, John WrightEpisode Summary:This week on On the Ledge, host Dave Trafford and the panel dive deep into Ontario’s Bill 5 and the mounting controversy surrounding its scope, timing, and lack of consultation—particularly with Indigenous communities. Kathleen Wynne calls it “a mess of this government’s own making,” while Tim Hudak views the push as necessary to unlock Ontario’s resource potential and economic resilience.The conversation also pivots to school board reforms, raising questions about transparency, local governance, and the future role of trustees. The episode wraps with an in-depth discussion on the family doctor shortage in Ontario and whether systemic changes in compensation and digital tools could reverse the trend of declining participation in primary care.Chapters & Timecodes:00:00 – IntroductionDave Trafford sets the stage for a wide-ranging discussion on Bill 5, school board reform, and the shortage of primary care physicians in Ontario.00:39 – Bill 5: Controversy and Consultation CrisisThe panel dissects the fallout from Bill 5, addressing inadequate consultation with Indigenous communities, implications for environmental protections, and the potential for civil unrest.33:12 – School Boards Under FireDebate shifts to proposed legislation that would increase ministerial control over school boards. Kathleen Wynne warns of long-term damage to local education governance, while Tim Hudak and Keith Leslie support reform and accountability measures.52:18 – Ontario’s Family Doctor DeficitA newly released report shows more family doctors are being trained, but fewer are staying in primary care. The panel explores the implications for healthcare delivery, lifestyle trade-offs, and how technology might help ease the burden.1:00:07 – Final Thoughts & Budget ConcernsDiscussion wraps with reflections on intergovernmental alignment, budget deficits, and the need to balance bold legislation with sound public engagement.

On the Ledge | May 23, 2025Host: Dave TraffordGuests: Tim Hudak (Partner, Counsel Public Affairs; former PC leader), Keith Leslie (CHCH political commentator), John Wright (Pollster and political analyst)In this episode of On the Ledge, Dave Trafford and guests dig into the political stories and policy debates dominating Ontario politics this week. From personal anecdotes about Catholic schools and long jump memories to a sharp analysis of legislative changes, the group covers a wide spectrum. Key discussions include the controversial provisions of Bill 5 and its potential impact on Indigenous consultation, environmental protection, and development processes in Northern Ontario. They also tackle the reintroduction of the “Honourable” title for former cabinet ministers, and broader concerns around MPP compensation and pensions. The episode wraps with scrutiny of proposed reforms to Ontario’s civil litigation procedures, sparking a wider conversation about access to justice and judicial efficiency.Chapters:00:00 – Introduction & Personal AnecdotesThe hosts share stories from school days and family life, setting a warm tone before diving into policy.10:00 – The Honourable DebateDiscussion on the reintroduction of “The Honourable” for former provincial cabinet ministers and broader issues of public service recognition.22:48 – Constituency Week & The Fallout from Bill 5The panel dissects Bill 5’s omnibus approach, concerns from environmental and Indigenous groups, and potential political blowback.48:51 – Changes to Civil Litigation RulesThe team critiques proposed changes to Ontario’s civil court procedures, focusing on the removal of discovery and access to justice.59:09 – Closing ThoughtsReflections on the fiscal outlook, federal-provincial alignment, and hopes for effective implementation of development policy.

On the Ledge – May 15, 2025Host: Dave TraffordGuests: Keith Leslie, John Wright, Tim Hudak (Kathleen Wynne sent regrets)In this episode of On the Ledge, Dave Trafford, Keith Leslie, John Wright, and Tim Hudak kick things off talking about the OTR Spring Fling at Queen's Park! Then they unpack Ontario’s budget day, dive into the affordability crisis, and explore how interprovincial cooperation and infrastructure expansion are key to Canada’s economic resilience. With Kathleen Wynne away, the panel examines the collegiality that once defined Queen’s Park and the real impacts of policy on housing, generational inequality, and labour shortages.They reflect on the provincial and federal approach to accelerating housing builds, and the political and policy implications of Premier Doug Ford’s relationship with Prime Minister Mark Carney.The group discusses how trade barriers, infrastructure, and environmental protections are converging in a time of economic uncertainty and how Canada’s unity is being put to the test—and perhaps strengthened—by global and domestic pressures.00:00 – Introduction & Spring Fling RecapDave opens the show with a joke about the Leafs and introduces the panel. Keith Leslie shares behind-the-scenes impressions of the Spring Fling at Queen’s Park and the podcast’s popularity among political insiders.05:55 – Budget Day Preview & Ford Government’s Housing Push**As Ontario’s budget drops later that day, the group discusses anticipated housing legislation and the credibility of the Ford government’s new approach. Tim Hudak defends Minister Rob Flack’s leadership potential in housing.13:20 – Cost of Living & Young Buyers Left BehindThe panel explores how housing unaffordability is affecting young Ontarians, from down payment challenges to increasing mortgage rates. John Wright and Keith Leslie highlight systemic barriers to ownership for millennials and Gen Z.25:22 – Labour Shortages & Ontario’s Condo Market SlumpDiscussion shifts to labour market issues and how immigration policies are mismatched with skilled trades demand. Keith and John discuss condo oversupply and shrinking urban appeal post-pandemic.33:51 – Budget Promises: Gas Tax Cuts, Toll Relief & Trump Tariff FalloutDoug Ford’s budget announcements—including permanent gas tax cuts and 407 toll relief—are analyzed. Keith explains how these choices reflect affordability politics amid economic threats from Trump’s tariff agenda.42:03 – Interprovincial Trade, Unity, and Carney’s Nation-Building VisionThe show pivots to national issues. Ford and Wab Kinew’s agreement on trade cooperation is discussed, and the panel praises Mark Carney’s leadership style and diplomatic success in Washington.52:03 – Infrastructure, Indigenous Partnerships & Economic Reconciliation**The hosts discuss the importance of Indigenous equity and decision-making in large infrastructure projects like the Ring of Fire and Nunavut hydro link. Kathleen Wynne stresses the need for government-to-government engagement.1:05:00 – Final Thoughts: Erskine-Smith’s Exit & Budget ExpectationsClosing thoughts cover Nate Erskine-Smith’s public complaints after being dropped from cabinet, and what voters will expect from Ontario’s long-term affordability strategy.

On the Ledge -- May 8, 2025Host: Dave TraffordGuests: Kathleen Wynne (former Premier of Ontario), John Wright (founding pollster at On the Ledge), Keith Leslie (journalist, joining from Nova Scotia)Absent: Tim Hudak (former PC leader, expected back next week)This episode of On the Ledge revisits last week's fiery discussion on judicial independence and fairness in Canada's legal system, sparked by contrasting views on elected judges and bail reform. The panel expands the conversation into a wide-ranging discussion on infrastructure, Indigenous partnerships, interprovincial trade, and Prime Minister Mark Carney’s growing role as a unifier on the national stage. Doug Ford’s emerging “Captain Canada” persona, new federal-provincial dynamics, and the urgency of equitable economic development also take center stage. Chapters00:00 – IntroductionDave Trafford recaps listener reaction to last week’s “vigorous” episode and sets the table for a continued conversation on courts, politics, and policy.02:15 – Elected Judges, Bail Reform & Judicial BacklogsThe panel debates whether Canada’s legal system is broken, the Ford government’s appeal of the Toronto bike lane decision, and the recent judicial appointments.13:36 – Autism Supports & Political NeglectKathleen Wynne passionately defends her government’s investments in autism services and critiques the Ford government's mismanagement of the file.16:44 – Mark Carney in Washington & Premiers MeetingThe group analyzes Carney’s Oval Office meeting with Trump, Ford’s supportive role, and the symbolic shift in federal leadership.33:16 – Pipelines, Interprovincial Trade, and the July 1 DeadlineDoug Ford’s push to remove internal trade barriers is explored, alongside provincial MOUs, environmental regulations, and infrastructure ambition.43:17 – Ring of Fire, Indigenous Equity & Infrastructure ReadinessFocus shifts to northern development, highlighting the need for Indigenous equity, smarter permitting, and climate-resilient investments.

On the Ledge – May 1, 2025Host: Dave Trafford Guests: Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, John WrightEpisode Summary:In this week's fiery edition of On the Ledge, host Dave Trafford is joined by Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, and John Wright to unpack a turbulent week in Canadian conservative politics.The panel dissects the fallout from the recent federal election, including Jamil Jivani’s scathing remarks about Doug Ford, rising tensions between provincial and federal Conservatives, and speculation about Pierre Poilievre’s future as leader.The discussion pivots to Premier Ford’s explosive rant about the judiciary, prompting a lively debate over judicial independence, policy-making, and political accountability.As Ontario barrels toward a new political season, the hosts reflect on the role of pragmatism, governance, and due process in a rapidly polarizing landscape.Key Takeaways:Jamil Jivani’s blistering critique of Doug Ford sparked fresh infighting between federal and provincial Conservatives.Kathleen Wynne called the tensions “more personal than strategic,” highlighting a leadership vacuum and raw post-election emotions.Tim Hudak framed Ford’s popularity as a national Conservative asset, cautioning against picking fights with Ontario’s three-time majority Premier.The panel debated Pierre Poilievre’s silence and whether he can unify the party or is losing control of the narrative.Premier Ford’s controversial rant about “electing judges” led to sharp critique from Wynne and Wright, who defended judicial independence.John Wright stressed the importance of due process, warning that undermining judicial trust sets a dangerous precedent.Melissa Lantsman was identified as a potential interim leader or strong voice for the Conservatives in the House if Poilievre delays running.The group agreed that bigger national issues—like economic downturns and the Carney government’s next moves—will soon eclipse the Conservative family feud.

On the Ledge – Special Election EditionHost: Dave TraffordGuests: Keith Leslie, Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, John WrightSummary:In this special post-election edition of On the Ledge, Dave Trafford convenes the panel to break down the federal election results.Keith Leslie, Kathleen Wynne, Tim Hudak, and John Wright dive into what the Liberal minority outcome means for the country, why polling predictions missed key shifts, and how the ground game, turnout, and last-minute voter motivations shaped the final result.They also examine the collapse of the NDP, the future of Pierre Poilievre’s leadership after losing his seat, and the challenges facing Prime Minister Mark Carney as he seeks to unify a fractured Parliament and prepare for an unpredictable Trump-led U.S.Key Takeaways:Poll Accuracy & Aggregators: John Wright defends pollsters but criticizes seat projection aggregators for inaccuracies that fueled public distrust.High Voter Turnout: Motivated by stark party contrasts and affordability concerns, Canadians turned out in record numbers.NDP Collapse: The New Democrats suffered devastating losses, notably in Hamilton and Northern Ontario, fueling leadership questions.Pierre Poilievre's Future: Despite leading the Conservatives to strong seat gains, losing his own riding could trigger leadership challenges.Carney’s Challenges: The new PM must rebuild Western trust, advance critical infrastructure projects, and present a fresh cabinet distinct from Trudeau’s.Minority Government Dynamics: Carney will rely heavily on NDP cooperation to survive, though few are eager for another election soon.Trump Factor: While the Trump threat remains, voters increasingly focused on domestic issues like affordability in the final campaign days.

Boomer Turnout, Betting Markets, and a Liberal Path to VictoryOn the Ledge –  April 24, 2025Host: Dave TraffordGuests: Kathleen Wynne, John Wright, Keith Leslie, Amanda Galbraith (filling in for Tim Hudak) In this edition of On the Ledge, Dave Trafford and the panel dig into the final days of the federal campaign. With polling margins narrowing, the conversation pivots to the strategic implications of the NDP collapse, the Conservatives’ stalled momentum, and whether Mark Carney’s Liberals can secure a fourth term.Amanda Galbraith delivers sharp insight on why the NDP’s decline may have done more to harm Pierre Poilievre’s chances than help.The panel also critiques political ad strategies, speculates on shifting voter coalitions, and debates whether the electorate is still moved by messages of hope or just fed up.In provincial politics, the crew discusses subway procurement, sole-sourcing, and the Ford government's growing tensions with school boards.Key Takeaways:Polling Plateau: Despite breathless media reports, the polls remain largely unchanged; regional shifts are minimal and final telephone-based polls may provide clearer trends (John Wright).NDP's Collapse: Amanda Galbraith argues the NDP's self-inflicted decline undermines the Conservatives' vote-splitting advantage and may cost Poilievre a path to power.Ad Wars and Missed Messages: The panel criticizes a Conservative ad targeting older male voters, suggesting it misses the emotional connection needed in a campaign’s final stretch.Boomer vs. Youth Turnout: Young conservative-leaning men may stay home, while reliable boomer voters help buoy Liberal support.Online Betting Markets: Unofficial political betting lines show rising odds for a Liberal majority — a surprising twist not yet echoed in public polling.Transit and Tariffs: Ford’s proposal to sole-source subway cars in Thunder Bay sparks debate over cost control and trade protectionism.School Board Frustration: The panel anticipates a public appetite for stronger oversight and accountability in Ontario’s school boards amid financial controversies.