The Dividend Mailbox®

How strong is your dividend growth portfolio? Send it to us for a free evaluation at dcm.team@growmydollar.com. Plus, join our market newsletter for more on dividend growth investing.Dividend investing isn’t about settling for slow growth. To grow your income, you need to own growing companies, and the real wins come when you find them at a discount. The trick is seeing past the headlines and recognizing value even in businesses the market assumes are at risk of disruption. In this milestone 50th episode, Greg kicks things off with a Wall Street Journal investor quiz that highlights the timeless power of compounding. From there, the focus shifts to Accenture ($ACN), the world’s largest consulting firm. Despite short-term headwinds from government budget cuts and fears of AI disruption, Accenture’s strong balance sheet, growing dividend, and unique position in the consulting landscape make it a compelling candidate for long-term dividend growth investors. Greg breaks down the numbers, the risks, and the upside scenario if Accenture turns AI into an accelerant for its business model. Topics Covered:  03:13 – The century-long compounding lesson: Coca-Cola, Nvidia, Altria, and Apple 05:15 – Berkshire Hathaway’s glitch and 60 years of outperformance 07:26 – Introducing Accenture ($ACN): A long-held but renewed idea 08:48 – Why the stock has fallen from $400 to the mid-$200s 10:39 – AI disruption fears: risk or opportunity? 11:33 – Morningstar and Value Line’s perspectives on Accenture 14:34 – Historical dividend, earnings, and revenue track record 16:25 – Margins, balance sheet strength, and net debt position 19:03 – Return on invested capital: consistent discipline over decades 20:08 – Acquisition strategy: why Accenture has succeeded where others fail 21:59 – Conservative debt issuance and bond market confidence 24:56 – Profitability metrics: margins remain steady through cycles 26:14 – Accounts receivable and customer credit strength 27:41 – Why the federal contract risk looks like a buying opportunity 28:10 – The 10-year dividend model and forward growth scenarios 30:01 – Potential upside if AI becomes a growth driver 31:45 – Valuation: PE, price-to-sales, and free cash flow yield at decade lows 32:48 – Risks: client concentration, acquisitions, regulation, and AI disruption 34:04 – Final thoughts 📩  Want your dividend portfolio reviewed?Email a list of your holdings (no dollar amounts necessary) to dcm.team@growmydollar.com. We’ll rate it from 1 to 5 and include a few helpful bullet points to show how well you're aligned with long-term dividend growth principles. Send us a text If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

How strong is your dividend growth portfolio? Send it to us for a free evaluation at dcm.team@growmydollar.com. Plus, join our market newsletter for more on dividend growth investing. In what may be the largest M&A deal of 2025 so far, Union Pacific ($UNP) has made a formal bid to merge with Norfolk Southern ($NSC). The proposed merger not only furthers the consolidation of the quasi-monopolistic railroad industry but also raises important questions about what it means for investors. Given the time we’ve spent highlighting Union Pacific as a model of dividend growth, we believe this surprise announcement warrants an early-stage analysis. In this Express Mail episode, Greg covers:[01:12] Merger Details Union Pacific makes a surprise $20B bid for Norfolk Southern—despite their past capital discipline.[03:54] Financial Analysis: Debt, EBIT, and Credit Ratings How the merger affects profitability, interest coverage, and debt loads.[10:29] Lessons from Canadian Pacific’s Kansas City Merger A similar deal that didn’t go quite as planned—and what it might signal for UNP.[15:36] Dividend Outlook: What Now? We break down whether the combined railroad can still deliver 7% dividend growth.[17:59] Final Thoughts Is Union Pacific now a total return story, not a dividend growth story? Why we’re holding through the uncertainty.  📩  Want your dividend portfolio reviewed?Email a list of your holdings (no dollar amounts necessary) to dcm.team@growmydollar.com.We’ll rate it from 1 to 5 and include a few helpful bullet points to show how well you're aligned with long-term dividend growth principles. Send us a text If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

How strong is your dividend growth portfolio? Send it to us for a free evaluation at dcm.team@growmydollar.com. Plus, join our market newsletter for more on dividend growth investing. If you’ve ever struggled to stay disciplined in a world chasing growth or yield at all costs, this episode is for you. Whether you’re a seasoned dividend investor or new to the strategy, clarity, intention, and long-term thinking are essential to compounding your wealth over time. In this month’s episode, Greg reflects on a personal story about trying to sell his daughter’s old Honda CR-V. What begins with a frustrating lowball offer turns into an unexpected reminder of the core principles behind successful dividend investing. It’s a story that sets the stage for a broader discussion on the power of focus and the cost of distraction. Greg then connects this lesson to recent decisions within the portfolio:Why we sold Emerson Electric ($EMR), even after years of ownership and recent price gains.A quick update on Rémy Cointreau ($REMYY) and why the story has improved.Whether Stanley Black & Decker ($SWK) is a value play or a value trap.📩  Want your dividend portfolio reviewed? Email a list of your holdings (no dollar amounts necessary) to dcm.team@growmydollar.com. We’ll rate it from 1 to 5 and include a few helpful bullet points to show how well you're aligned with long-term dividend growth principles. Topics Covered:00:41 - Core theme of the episode: Clarity in investing, in mindset, and in strategy 02:01 - New offer: Get your dividend portfolio rated 1–5 by our team 03:17 - The $400 CR-V story and what it reveals about opportunity cost 11:32 - Applying the lesson: Compounding capital vs. chasing small gains 12:46 - Why clarity matters when dividend-based strategies lag 15:08 - Three paths: Pure growth, high yield, and dividend growth 16:08 - Why we sold Emerson: Weak dividend growth, poor capital efficiency 21:49 - Rémy update: Positive developments in the China tariff situation 23:23 - Stanley Black & Decker review: Great yield, but fading margins 30:21 - Dividend growth math: What would it take for Stanley to meet our hurdle? 34:32 - The truck analogy: Growth vs. yield vs. the dividend growth “sweet spot” 36:03 - Final thoughts: Clarity and discipline are non-negotiableSend us a text If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

 More on dividend growth investing  -> Join our market newsletter! The argument has long been made that venturing beyond America’s borders will offer investors higher yields. Many foreign companies do pay attractive dividends, but they lack consistency and predictable growth—factors that have kept us from investing overseas. But in this episode, we break the mold and head to the vineyards of France. Greg explores the under-the-radar story of Rémy Cointreau ($REMYY), the cognac maker behind the iconic Rémy Martin brand. What makes this story remarkable isn’t just the 3% dividend yield or the potential for earnings to normalize. It’s the value hiding in plain sight: aging inventory that becomes more valuable with time. With a wide moat and one of the most unique inventory structures we’ve seen, Rémy stands out as a compelling value play with rare downside protection. Markets are mostly efficient—but every now and then, a story slips through the cracks.  Topics Covered:01:46 Exploring Foreign Dividend Opportunities 02:40 Discovering Remy: A Value Play 03:31 A First Look at Rémy’s Dividend and Valuation 06:01 Performance History and the Power of Modest Growth 08:11 Understanding the Cognac Market 11:29 How Cognac Is Made and Why It Matters 16:07 What Is Wrong with Remy? 18:38 Cash Flow, EBIT History, and Financial Strength 22:28 The Inventory Advantage 25:18 Future Growth Potential and Valuation Scenarios 27:49 Three Catalysts for Re-Rating 33:32 Final Thoughts and Takeaways Send us a text If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

More on dividend growth investing  -> Join our market newsletter!  While dividend growth remains the core of what we do, it’s not the only path to building an income stream. In times of market distress, opportunities emerge that are simply too compelling to ignore. When venturing into troubled waters, the key is to stay disciplined and unemotional. Volatility may test you, but the potential rewards can be worth it. In this episode, Greg explores two distinct approaches to finding value from an income perspective. In the first half, he discusses business development corporations (BDCs), which often offer eye-catching yields north of 10%. Using Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. ($OCSL) as a case study, he unpacks how BDCs are structured, where their income potential comes from, and why they carry above-average risk. More importantly, he shares why patience and preparation are key to capturing value when these high-yield opportunities go on sale. In the second half, we shift gears back to a more traditional name for dividend growth investors. Greg introduces Sysco Corp. ($SYY), a 50-year dividend payer in the essential world of food distribution. Unlike the high-yield, high-volatility world of BDCs, Sysco represents steady, well-managed growth with consistent operations. Even though the stock appears to have been in a holding pattern over the past few years, it fits squarely into our 10-year framework. In both cases, price discipline is essential. Topics Covered:01:46 – Introduction to BDCs (Business Development Corporations)05:18 – Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp Case Study 14:57 – Knowing What You Own: Risk and Return in Distressed Markets 16:23 – When and How to Buy BDCs 19:22 – Total Return Recap from a Past Investment in Oaktree 24:37 – Transition to Traditional Dividend Growth: Enter Sysco Corp 28:17 – The 10-Year Model: Can Sysco Double? 30:08 – Margin & Capital Efficiency Strengths 32:52 – Comparison to Competitors 35:05 – Valuation and Price-to-Sales History 35:29 – Risks: Cyclicality & Debt Load 38:58 – Why a “Boring” Food Distributor Might Outperform 41:39 – Wrapping Up: Patience, Price, and Knowing What You Own Send us a text If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

More on dividend growth investing  -> Join our market newsletter!  Schedule a meeting with us ->  Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Almost everyone knows that tariffs and trade wars have sent global markets spiraling, with the Dow down 17% and the S&P 500 down 20% from their highs, based on our recording date. While technically that implies we have entered a bear market, it also means better prices for long-term cash flow. It is human nature to get nervous when markets seem to be on the brink of panic, but dividend growth investors should see times like these as a gift.  In this episode, Greg tackles the tough headlines and sinking sentiment in today’s markets. As recession fears grow and the market experiences significant volatility, Greg explains why focusing on sustainable cash flow and quality companies provides stability for long-term investors. From investor psychology to long-term GDP trends, Greg discusses how disciplined dividend investing turns market panic into wealth creation. Later, he highlights our recent purchase of Union Pacific ($UNP) as proof of concept. EDIT: In the episode, Greg mentions that paying $30 for $1 of earnings is about a 2.5% earnings yield. This comment was made in error; the correct number is a 3.33% earnings yield.Topics Covered: [01:00] Why focusing on cash flow provides clarity in a chaotic market[02:48] First quarter portfolio performance and the power of staying invested[05:00] Reframing a bear market: buying cash flow at a discount[06:55] How GDP and earnings trends support long-term optimism[10:17] Why market corrections test your investment mindset[11:50] Comparing stock ownership to rental property — and why we forget it's the same[16:33] Real numbers that contradict the media narrative (household debt, corporate cash, etc.)[24:52] New position: Why we bought Union Pacific and what makes it a dividend powerhouse[28:40] The case for quality, patience, and diversification during uncertainty[31:33] Index funds, dividend ETFs, and staying positioned for the rebound[34:01] The most dangerous investing phrase: "It's different this time"Send us a text If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

 More on dividend growth investing  -> Join our market newsletter!  Schedule a meeting with us ->  Financial Planning & Portfolio Management After Williams Sonoma reported earnings before market open on March 19th, 2025, we saw their results as an excellent example of how to execute a dividend growth strategy on a day-to-day basis. While we have covered $WSM in several previous episodes, it is a case study on dividend growth investing. In what normally takes 10+ years to deliver to investors, Williams Sonoma has provided us with attractive dividend growth and total return in less than 3 years. In this "express mail" episode, Greg looks at Williams-Sonoma's latest earnings and how recent weakness in the stock price could be a long-term positive for total return. He analyzes how if the stock goes lower, there is room for more share repurchases, which boosts dividend growth and earnings growth. Additionally, he points out that if the stock turns around and goes much higher again, we may consider selling more of the stock. As we stand somewhere in the middle, Greg concludes by looking at where he would buy into the stock again.00:55 Special Episode: Williams Sonoma Earnings Update01:24 Williams Sonoma: A Case Study in Dividend Growth02:33 Strategic Decisions and Market Reactions05:22 Evaluating Dividend Growth and Future Prospects12:27 Conclusion and Investment StrategySend us a text If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

More on dividend growth investing  -> Join our market newsletter!  Schedule a meeting with us ->  Financial Planning & Portfolio Management While it may be a somewhat misused paraphrase of Warren Buffett's famous baseball analogy, 'fat pitch' is a term often thrown around in investing circles. In most settings, it implies that an investment opportunity is extremely lucrative with a high probability of success—but they are rare. Beyond having the discipline to patiently wait for these opportunities, what does a 'fat pitch' actually look like?In this episode, Greg discusses the concept of 'fat pitches' by exploring the extraordinary long-term performance of Altria (formerly Philip Morris), despite numerous industry challenges and negative headlines. Through a detailed analysis of Altria's historical performance, including its high dividend yield and impressive cash flow management, he emphasizes the timeless principles of dividend growth, patient investing, and compounding. 00:00 Introduction to The Dividend Mailbox Podcast02:34 Review of Current Dividend Growth Performance and Market Observations06:13 Case Study: The Success of Philip Morris15:58 Key Takeaways from Philip Morris's Performance24:51 Lessons on Dividend Growth and Compounding32:14 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Send us a text If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

More on dividend growth investing  -> Join our market newsletter!  Schedule a meeting with us ->  Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Following brief upward momentum after we first bought Hershey, the stock proceeded to slide downward. Cocoa prices remain elevated, and there is significant uncertainty surrounding the short-term impacts on the company's operations. However, Hershey's recent earnings report shows that the company is more resilient than it may appear.Despite a 20% stock decline, Greg emphasizes that there are still many things to like about Hershey. Simply put, there is much more to the story than the current price of cocoa. Going a bit deeper, Greg examines the cocoa supply chain, specifically the impact of weather and geopolitical issues on production in major countries like Ivory Coast, Ecuador, and Ghana, highlighting several factors that suggest a possible future drop in cocoa prices. He further discusses Hershey's superb hedging strategies, strong balance sheet, and potential for high returns through dividends and stock growth within the next decade. Ultimately, Hershey's attractive valuation, dividend yield, and potential dividend growth allow investors to start with an advantage. In closing, Greg presents a Suber Bowl analogy to underscore the patience required for long-term investing, contrasting it with the short-term focus prevalent in current market analysis. 00:00 Introduction to The Dividend Mailbox02:16 Revisiting the Hershey Story05:37 Hershey's Market Position and Challenges07:36 Cocoa Market Dynamics12:04 Hershey's Financial Health and Strategy15:29 Investment Strategies and Long-Term Outlook25:50 Rant on Market Commentary and Short-Term Thinking31:14 Super Bowl Analogy and Final Thoughts37:50 Conclusion and Contact InformationSend us a text If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X

More on dividend growth investing  -> Join our market newsletter!  Is there anything predictable about the stock market? If so, how much power or truth does it hold? Do sophisticated models and strategies have a predictive edge? Even if you’re an investor with limited experience, the odds are at least one of these questions has piqued your interest at some point in your investing career.In episode 43, Greg discusses predictability in ETF income and dividend growth. He examines various ETFs tracking the S&P 500, such as SPY, IVV, and VOO, highlighting discrepancies in their dividend growth rates from year to year. Greg emphasizes the importance of not making investment decisions based solely on headline numbers, as these may not tell the full story. The episode also explores the limitations of discounted cash flow models, touching on the challenges of long-term forecasts and the uncertainties of market competition. Ultimately, he advises investors to focus on understanding what they own and cautions against overly sophisticated financial models that may introduce more risk and uncertainty. 00:00 Introduction to The Dividend Mailbox00:46 Understanding ETF Predictability01:46 Analyzing S&P 500 Dividend Growth04:09 Comparing Different S&P 500 ETFs10:49 Exploring the S&P 100 and Other Indexes16:57 The Complexity of Enhanced Income ETFs24:27 The Power and Pitfalls of Predictability25:46 Diving into Discounted Cash Flow Models31:13 The Terminal Value Trap38:53 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsSend us a text If you enjoy the show, we'd greatly appreciate it if you subscribe and leave a review RESOURCES: Schedule a meeting with us -> Financial Planning & Portfolio Management Getting into the weeds -> DCM Investment Reports & Models Visit our website to learn more about our investment strategy and wealth management services. Follow us on:Instagram | Facebook | LinkedIn | X