The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

In episode 387, we welcome our guest, Whitney Baker, founder of Totem Macro, an EM macro consultancy and hedge fund advisory boutique.In today’s episode, Whitney shares her flows based macro lens for looking at the markets, one she honed at famed shops like Bridgewater and Soros Fund. She says we’re experiencing a cyclical and secular regime change that the market has yet to adjust to.Then Whitney shares why she believes the US is in an once-in-a-lifetime bubble…and at the same time have a once-in-a-generation value opportunity in broad sections of EM. We touch on the implications of this for both foreign and domestic markets and hear where she sees opportunity. Whitney shared one of her recent research pieces which are normally only for a select number of the world’s most sophisticated investors, so be sure to check it out here. It – is – fire.-----Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTubeFor detailed show notes, click hereTo learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com-----Today’s episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world’s largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Join today and get access to quarterly CAPE ratios, an excel quant backtester and the entire research library. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In episode 386, we welcome our guest, John Arnold, arguably the best natural gas trader of all-time and now one of the largest philanthropists in the US, giving away almost half a billion dollars a year. In today’s episode, we start with John’s rapid rise at Enron and later launching his own fund, Centaurus Advisors, which posted eye-popping returns and led him to become the youngest billionaire in the US in 2007. We talk about the mindset that helped him become a successful trader, and even touch on the time he took the other side of Amaranth Advisors in a famous trade.Then we hear why, before the age of 40, he decided to wind down his fund, focus solely on philanthropy, and commit to giving away most of his fortune during his lifetime. We talk about some of the problems he’s tackling around public finance, election reform and health care, and hear what has surprised and frustrated him along the way.-----Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTubeCheck out Meb's Deals for discounts from a lot of companiesFor detailed show notes, click hereTo learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com-----This episode is sponsored by Masterworks. Masterworks is opening the doors to top-tier, blue-chip art investments to everyone. Visit masterworks.io/meb to skip their wait list. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In episode 385, we welcome our guest, Jeff Shaw, founder of Underground Cellar, a new way to discover, buy, and store limited edition wines.In today’s episode, we’re talking to one of the most passionate, gritty, and determined entrepreneurs around. Jeff begins by explaining where he got the idea to gamify the wine buying process. He shares how the company works – the process of buying the wine, the upgrade algorithm, and the logistics of storing the wine.Then we hear how Mark Cuban turned him down multiple times, and leveraged that to get an investment from Shark Tank’s Barbara Corcoran. We talk about the experience of going through Y Combinator, raising money from Jason Calacanis, and what lies ahead for this fast growing startup.  As a special offer for listeners of the show, visit Undergroundcellar.com and use the code MEB to get $100 off your first order of $150 or more.-----Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTubeFor detailed show notes, click hereTo learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com-----Today’s episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world’s largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Join today and get access to quarterly CAPE ratios, an excel quant backtester and the entire research library. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In episode 384, we welcome our guest, Robert Cantwell, founder and Chief Investment Officer of Upholdings and portfolio manager for the Compound Kings ETF.In today’s episode, we’re talking to the first person to convert a hedge fund into an ETF and invest in a private company through an ETF. Robert shares why he chose to do the conversion and some benefits of the ETF structure, including transparency, taxes and even short lending to generate income.Then we get into his ETF, ticker K-N-G-S. We talk about Robert’s philosophy for running a concentrated portfolio of companies that he defines as compounders. We hear his thought process for analyzing a company and he uses Facebook as an example.As we wind down, we touch on the Chinese Internet stocks and how investors should think about geopolitical risk when investing abroad.-----Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTubeFor detailed show notes, click hereTo learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com-----Today’s episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world’s largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Join today and get access to quarterly CAPE ratios, an excel quant backtester and the entire research library. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In episode 383, we welcome our guest, Mike Dudas, founder and General Partner of 6th Man Ventures, which focuses on investing in Web3 infrastructure and the metaverse. His previous experience at Disney, Google and Venmo gives him a unique perspective on these areas.In today’s episode, we have a primer on Web3 from someone who’s deploying over $100 million into the space over the next few years. We start with an overview of stablecoins and their role in Web3. Then we get into NFTs and how they relate to DAO’s – decentralized autonomous organizations. We even hear how Mike helped launch LinksDAO, which raised over $10 million in 48 hours with the goal of creating one of the world’s greatest golf clubs.As we wind down, we hear about some existing portfolio names and why Mike is bullish on the metaverse. (0:39) – Intro (1:24) - Welcome to our guest, Mike Dudas (2:29) - Early career at Disney, Google and Venmo (9:14) - Working for Paxos (12:30) - Overview of Web3 (15:49) - Overview of stablecoins & their importance (25:45) - Overview of NFTs (29:36) - Mike’s involvement with LinksDAO (40:20) - The possibility of a DAO buying a professional sports team (45:45) - The focus of his firm, 6th Man Ventures (49:25) - Some cool companies he’s invested in (55:23) - The biggest thing he wants to see come to fruition in 2022 (57:59) - Learn more about Mike; Twitter @mdudas; 6thman.ventures -----Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTubeFor detailed show notes, click hereTo learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com-----Today’s episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world’s largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Join today and get access to quarterly CAPE ratios, an excel quant backtester and the entire research library. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In episode 382, we welcome our guest, Dan Zwirn, CEO and CIO of Arena Investors, a firm focused on global special situations and asset and credit investments.In today’s episode, we’re diving into the private credit market. Dan walks us through the process of sourcing private deals, the intricacies around structuring, and his framework for hedging currencies and commodities on a deal-by-deal basis. Then Dan explains why he thinks the CLO market is looking a little bubbly and the impact of COVID on his portfolio. Of course we talk about some examples of his recent deals, including one you’ll love hearing about with the AC Milan soccer club.-----Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTubeFor detailed show notes, click hereTo learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com-----Today’s episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world’s largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Join today and get access to quarterly CAPE ratios, an excel quant backtester and the entire research library. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In episode 381, we welcome our guest, Leonard Mlodinow, a theoretical physicist and best-selling author of a number of books, including The Drunkard’s Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives and Emotional: How Feelings Shape Our Thinking, which releases next week! In today’s episode, we look at the relationship between our emotions and decisions. Leonard explains how emotions can make us emphasize or de-emphasize certain beliefs and even completely ignore certain data points. Then we dive into how emotions impact our investment decisions. We hear what studies say about how the best traders handle their emotions and talk about the role of social and emotional contagion on financial markets. -----Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTubeFor detailed show notes, click hereTo learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com-----Today’s episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world’s largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Join today and get access to quarterly CAPE ratios, an excel quant backtester and the entire research library. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Episode 380 is a replay of The Meb Faber Show’s top podcasts of 2021. Guests include Jeremy Grantham, Chris Cole, & Jeff Seder. (2:53) - Jeremy Grantham puts 2020 in historical context, shares where he sees value outside of the US stock market, and discusses why he's so bullish on venture capital.(1:21:53) - Chris Cole covers the optimal portfolio to help you grow and protect your wealth for the next 100 years.(2:42:31) - Jeff Seder shares the best moneyball story you've never heard. He tells us how he used a quantitative approach to discover 2015 Triple Crown winner, American Pharoah.Click here to listen to the top podcasts of 2020Click here to listen to the top podcasts of 2019-----Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTubeFor detailed show notes, click hereTo learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com-----Today’s episode is sponsored by GiveWell. GiveWell searches for the charities that save or improve lives the most per dollar. GiveWell recommends a small number of charities that do an incredible amount of good. Visit Givewell.org and donate before the end of the year and have your donation matched up to $250 when you mention "The Meb Faber Show." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This year, we’re bringing you the entire volume of The Best Investment Writing Volume 5 in podcast format. You’ll hear from some of the most respected money managers and investment researchers all over the world. Contributors: (2:36) - Campbell Harvey and Michele Mazzoleni, Research Affiliates – Breaking Bad Trends(31:17) - Jack Vogel, Alpha Architect – Value Investing: An Examination of the 1,000 Largest Firms(45:09) - Brian Barish, Cambiar Investors – The Virus Plaguing Value(1:03:55) - Andrew Patterson, Vanguard – The Idea Multiplier: An acceleration in innovation is coming(1:29:25) - Peter Chiappinelli, GMO – The Passive Aggressive Agg, Revisited(1:43:26) - Amie Ko, Research Affiliates – A Quick Survey of “Broken” Asset Classes(2:02:09) - Sean Duffin, Cambridge Associates – Benefits of Global Diversification(2:18:50) - Greg Obenshain, Verdad Advisers – Sales and Distributions: How revenue growth and distributions drive equity returns(2:29:35) - John Pease, GMO – Value: If Not Now, When?(2:48:03) - David Blitz, Pim van Vliet & Guido Baltussen, Robeco – When Equity Factors Drop Their Shorts(3:00:06) - Vineer Bhansali, LongTail Alpha – Diversifying Diversification: Downside Risk Management with Portfolios of Insurance Securities(3:09:50) - Laurence Siegel, CFA Institute Research Foundation – Debunking Nine and a Half Myths of Investing(3:37:35) - Dan Rasmussen, Verdad Advisers – Crisis Investing: How To Maximize Return During Market PanicsClick here to listen to Volume 4Click here to listen to Volume 3-----Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTubeFor detailed show notes, click hereTo learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com-----Today’s episode is sponsored by GiveWell. GiveWell searches for the charities that save or improve lives the most per dollar. GiveWell recommends a small number of charities that do an incredible amount of good. Visit Givewell.org and donate before the end of the year and have your donation matched up to $250 when you mention "The Meb Faber Show." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In episode 379, we welcome back our guest, Peter Livingston, founder of Unpopular Ventures, which invests in early stage technology startups around the globe.In today’s episode, we hear what’s gone on with Unpopular Ventures since Peter’s first appearance last year and what led him to hire multiple partners to build out his syndicate. Then we take a look at the investment landscape in places like Asia, Africa, and Latin America and hear what he thinks about the high valuations in the private market today. And of course we walk through some names, including Jeeves, his best performing investment.Be sure to stick around to the end to hear what Peter thinks about some recent news in the venture space about Tiger Global & Sequoia.To listen to Peter’s first appearance on The Meb Faber Show, click here.-----Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTubeFor detailed show notes, click hereTo learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com-----Today’s episode is sponsored by GiveWell. GiveWell searches for the charities that save or improve lives the most per dollar. GiveWell recommends a small number of charities that do an incredible amount of good. Visit Givewell.org and donate before the end of the year and have your donation matched up to $250 when you mention "The Meb Faber Show." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices